SportsJaw
LeaderboardToday's GamesBest BetsOdds ComparisonConsensus PicksMake Picks
Login / Sign In
Today's GamesLatest PredictionsToday’s Best BetsOdds ComparisonConsensus PicksTeam PredictionsHead-to-Head MatchupsSJ CoinsAbout SportsJawContact UsLogin / Sign In
HomeMatchupsMake PicksLeaders
SportsJaw

The social platform for sports bettors.

Explore SportsJaw

  • Today’s Picks
  • Predictions
  • Best Bets
  • Leaderboard
  • Make Picks
  • Odds Comparison
  • Consensus Picks
  • Team Predictions
  • Head-to-Head
  • Game Briefing

Picks by Sport

  • NFL Picks
  • NCAAF Picks
  • NBA Picks
  • NCAAB Picks
  • MLB Picks
  • NHL Picks

About SportsJaw

  • How It Works
  • SJ Coins
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Contact Us

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

© 2026 SportsJaw. For entertainment purposes only. SportsJaw does not accept or place wagers.

  1. Home
  2. NFL Picks
  3. Detroit Lions vs Arizona Cardinals
Sun 4:25 PM ET
Detroit Lions logo
Detroit
Lions45
2-2
versus
Arizona Cardinals logo
Arizona
Cardinals21
1-3
Final
Team1234T
Detroit Lions02414745
Arizona Cardinals707721
NFL · Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals

Your Picks on Lions vs Cardinals

Picks closed
Spread
Moneyline
Total

Detroit Lions vs Arizona Cardinals Prediction, Odds and Best Bet for October 11, 2026

Game time: October 11, 2026 at 4:25 PM ET

Venue: State Farm Stadium — Glendale, AZ

Article updated Oct 11, 7:29 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Detroit Lions will beat the Arizona Cardinals, Lions 30, Cardinals 24, in our Week 5 forecast. Detroit’s strongest advantage is its offensive production, with Jared Goff coming off a 412-yard passing game and Jahmyr Gibbs leading the NFL in touches. Neither Detroit -5.5 (-110) nor the total of 54.5 (-110) offers enough projected separation for an actionable wager. The official recommendation is Pass.

Detroit Lions vs Arizona Cardinals prediction and best bet

Detroit gets the pick because its recent passing production and Gibbs’ substantial role offer the stronger offensive case. Arizona enters with three consecutive losses and a quarterback coming off three interceptions. Those factors favor the Lions, although Detroit’s own injury list keeps this from being a high-confidence forecast.

The best betting decision is Pass. Our Lions 30, Cardinals 24 projection puts Detroit just half a point beyond the supplied spread and the combined score half a point below the total. Those narrow differences are too fragile to justify either wager at -110. Picking Detroit to win requires less conviction than backing it to cover 5.5 points.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game time: Sunday, October 11, 2026, at 4:25 p.m. ET and 1:25 p.m. MST. This is a Week 5 matchup in the 2026 NFL season.

Venue: State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona.

Broadcast: FOX, with Kevin Kugler, Daryl Johnston and Allison Williams assigned to the game.

Records and schedule: Detroit is 2-2 and making its third road trip of the season before its Week 6 bye. Arizona is 1-3, with three straight losses following an opening win over the Los Angeles Chargers.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

SportsJaw odds: Detroit Lions -5.5 (+100); Arizona Cardinals +5.5 (-110). Moneyline: Detroit Lions -240; Arizona Cardinals +200. Total: Over 55 (-110); Under 55 (-110).

Detroit Lions outlook

Detroit’s latest result shows both the appeal and the limits of its offensive case. Goff completed 32 of 52 passes for 412 yards and one touchdown against Carolina, yet the Lions lost 32-26. Moving the ball through the air did not secure the win. Jameson Williams led Detroit with six receptions for 102 yards in that October 4 game.

Gibbs enters this matchup with an NFL-leading 102 total touches and five rushing touchdowns, tied for third in the league. That workload makes him central to the forecast, but his latest rushing performance was modest: 46 yards and a touchdown on 15 carries. His usage is a firmer reason for optimism than an assumption that Detroit will dominate on the ground.

Ben Bartch, Rock Ya-Sin, Brian Branch and Cade Mays are out. Tyleik Williams is questionable with a foot injury. Alim McNeill recorded his third sack of the season against Carolina, giving Detroit a recent defensive bright spot alongside those availability concerns.

Arizona Cardinals outlook

Arizona’s most urgent improvement is ball security. Jacoby Brissett threw for 166 yards and two touchdowns in the 36-24 loss to the Giants, but also threw three interceptions. One became a 98-yard touchdown return on the final play. That detail matters: the Giants’ 36 points should not be treated as a measure of points surrendered entirely by Arizona’s defense.

The Cardinals expect rookie Jayden Williams to take the left-tackle role alongside veteran left guard Isaac Seumalo. Right guard Isaiah Adams is out with an ankle injury. That personnel setup makes protection an important question, although the lineup changes alone are no reason to assume a particular sack total.

Jeremiyah Love practiced fully Friday after an ankle issue and is expected to play. On defense, safety Andrew Wingard is out with a knee injury. Defensive lineman Walter Nolen III is questionable with a calf injury, and linebacker Karson Sharar is questionable with a hamstring injury. Love’s expected availability helps the offensive outlook; the defensive uncertainties complicate Arizona’s preparation for Detroit.

Key matchup factors

The central question is whether Detroit turns offensive opportunities into enough points to separate. Its latest game showed that substantial passing yardage can coexist with a loss. Arizona’s route to a closer finish starts with avoiding the giveaways that damaged its previous outing, especially if Detroit again moves the ball effectively.

The spread consensus is divided. At the October 11 update of 11:16:58 UTC, the combined consensus favored Detroit -5.5 (-110) at 62%, up three percentage points from the previous day. Its modeled equivalent count was 379 Detroit selections and 232 Arizona selections, totaling 611. These figures combine a modeled sportsbook sample with SportsJaw participation through an 80/20 blend; they are not observed sportsbook ticket counts.

SportsJaw members favored Arizona +5.5 (-110) at 55%, while qualified handicappers favored Arizona at 56%. Those percentages describe pick preferences, not Detroit’s probability of winning or the confidence of this forecast. The disagreement is a useful reason to keep the expected winner separate from the spread decision.

Detroit Lions vs Arizona Cardinals spread prediction

Pass on Detroit Lions -5.5 (-110) and Arizona Cardinals +5.5 (-110). Detroit’s offensive production and Arizona’s recent turnover trouble make the Lions the preferred winner. The six-point projected margin technically favors a Detroit cover, but only by half a point.

Arizona’s home setting and Detroit’s absences provide a credible counterargument to laying the points. The member and qualified-handicapper preferences also lean toward the Cardinals, while the combined consensus favors Detroit. Neither side offers a convincing enough advantage at the supplied line to become the official wager.

Detroit Lions vs Arizona Cardinals total prediction

Pass on Over 54.5 (-110) and Under 54.5 (-110). Detroit’s passing output and Arizona’s defensive availability concerns suggest scoring potential. Conversely, Brissett’s 166-yard outing and three interceptions raise questions about Arizona sustaining its share of the scoring.

The combined total consensus favors Over 54.5 (-110) at 76%. SportsJaw members and qualified handicappers each favor the Over at 71%, although the day-over-day movement was two percentage points toward the Under. That support for the Over is distinct from a scoring projection. Our forecast totals 54 points, just half a point below the line, leaving too little room for an Under recommendation.

Detroit Lions vs Arizona Cardinals Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: Detroit Lions 30, Arizona Cardinals 24. Detroit’s demonstrated passing production and Gibbs’ prominent workload make the Lions the more persuasive choice. The strongest counterargument is that Detroit just lost despite those offensive contributions and now plays with several confirmed absences.

Confidence is medium for the winner, reflecting a supported but ordinary edge. The projected margin and total sit close to the supplied prices, so both markets remain passes. The single official SportsJaw betting recommendation is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Lions30

Cardinals24

Projected winner Detroit LionsConfidencemedium
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass: Detroit Lions -5.5 (-110) and Arizona Cardinals +5.5 (-110).

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Sources

  • CBS DetroitHow to watch Detroit Lions vs. Arizona Cardinals game for NFL Week 5
  • Arizona CardinalsInjury Report: Week 5 vs Lions
  • Arizona Cardinals3x3: Week 5 Cardinals vs Lions
#DetroitLions#ArizonaCardinals

Share this preview

Facebook X Reddit Email
SportsJaw logo
Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Lions vs Cardinals game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Lions vs Cardinals matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Detroit Lions-395 → -240Moved
  • Moneyline · Arizona Cardinals+310 → +200Moved
  • Spread · Detroit Lions-8.5 (-110) → -5.5 (+100)Moved
  • Spread · Arizona Cardinals+8.5 (-110) → +5.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over48.5 (-110) → 55 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under48.5 (-110) → 55 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Detroit Lions
2-2 matchup record · 2-7-1 ATS · 8-2-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Arizona Cardinals
1-3 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-10-04T13:25:34.923Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Detroit gets the pick because its recent passing production and Gibbs’ substantial role offer the stronger offensive case. Arizona enters with three consecutive losses and a quarterback coming off three interceptions. Those factors favor the Lions, although Detroit’s own injury list keeps this from being a high-confidence forecast.

Ben Bartch, Rock Ya-Sin, Brian Branch and Cade Mays are out. Tyleik Williams is questionable with a foot injury. Alim McNeill recorded his third sack of the season against Carolina, giving Detroit a recent defensive bright spot alongside those availability concerns.

The Cardinals expect rookie Jayden Williams to take the left-tackle role alongside veteran left guard Isaac Seumalo. Right guard Isaiah Adams is out with an ankle injury. That personnel setup makes protection an important question, although the lineup changes alone are no reason to assume a particular sack total.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Detroit Lions defeated Arizona Cardinals 45-21

Detroit Lions defeated Arizona Cardinals 45-21 on October 11, 2026, a 24-point decision in the series. Detroit Lions' strongest period was the 2nd quarter, when it outscored its opponent 24-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Detroit Lions -5.5 (+100) spread, Detroit Lions covered, while the 66 combined points finished over the recorded total of 55.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerDetroit LionsWin
  • SpreadPass: Detroit Lions -5.5 (-110) and Arizona Cardinals +5.5 (-110).Pass
  • TotalPass: Over 54.5 (-110) and Under 54.5 (-110).Pass

Tipster picks

  • CodexSpread · Arizona Cardinals +5.5 (-110)Loss
  • CovergirlSpread · Arizona Cardinals +5.5 (-108)Loss
  • Sammy52Spread · Detroit Lions -5.5 (-112)Win
  • HopkinspicksTotal · Over 54.5 (-110)Win
  • DerekFisherSpread · Detroit Lions -5.5 (-112)Win
  • Sarah_MillerSpread · Arizona Cardinals +5.5 (-108)Loss
  • MtgoldsteinTotal · Under 54.5 (-108)Loss
  • SfdanTotal · Over 54.5 (-110)Win
  • SimonsaysTotal · Over 54.5 (-110)Win
  • 72dolphinsSpread · Detroit Lions -5.5 (-110)Win
  • 72dolphinsTotal · Over 54.5 (-108)Win
  • PeytoncTotal · Over 54.5 (-108)Win
  • Leadpipe_LocksSpread · Arizona Cardinals +5.5 (-110)Loss
  • FlyigglesflySpread · Arizona Cardinals +5.5 (-110)
Loss
  • BluedevilSpread · Detroit Lions -5.5 (-110)Win
  • SwamipicksTotal · Under 54.5 (-110)Loss
  • BadmanSpread · Arizona Cardinals +5.5 (-110)Loss
  • Ttran206Spread · Detroit Lions -5.5 (-110)Win
  • Amp2224Spread · Arizona Cardinals +5.5 (-110)Loss