Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers prediction: Bears 20-17, Under 47 best bet
The Chicago Bears will beat the Green Bay Packers 20-17, with their recent defensive performance providing the strongest edge. Chicago has allowed two touchdowns over its past three games, although injuries make another dominant outing uncertain. Under 47 (-111) offers the best betting opportunity at the supplied price; Chicago -1.5 (-110) is a pass because the projected winning margin leaves little cushion.
Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers prediction and best bet
Chicago gets the pick because its recent defensive results offer the clearest reason to separate these teams. The Bears beat the Jets 23-12 last Sunday and now seek their third consecutive victory. That gives Chicago a narrow advantage in this 2026 NFL Week 5 matchup, with a 20-17 forecast.
Under 47 (-111) is the official SportsJaw wager. Chicago’s defensive form and Green Bay’s offensive production make the lower side attractive, though defensive injuries on both sides weaken the case. Confidence is low: the recent results favor Chicago, but replacing Kyle Monangai and relying on another Tyson Bagent start introduce meaningful uncertainty.
Odds, game time and how to watch
Kickoff: Sunday, Oct. 11, 2026, at 12:00 p.m. CT.
Venue: Lambeau Field. Television: FOX.
Records and streaks: Chicago is 3-1 with two consecutive wins. Green Bay is 2-2 following its victory at Tampa Bay.
Expected Chicago quarterback: Bagent is slated for his second consecutive start. Caleb Williams was listed as questionable Friday; Saturday’s Bears preview identified Bagent as the expected starter.
SportsJaw spread and moneyline: Chicago -1.5 (-110) and -123 to win; Green Bay +1.5 (-110) and +105 to win.