Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots prediction: Raiders +3.5 is the best bet
The Las Vegas Raiders will beat the New England Patriots 24-20, with their productive passing offense positioned to exploit the absence of both Patriots starting cornerbacks. The best bet is the Las Vegas +3.5 (-110) spread, which adds protection against a narrow defeat. Confidence is medium because New England has defended well through four games. Pass on the total of 45.
Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots prediction and best bet
Las Vegas has the stronger scoring foundation for this Week 5 matchup. Its offense averages 28.8 points through four games, compared with New England's 16.3. With Christian Gonzalez and Carlton Davis III ruled out, the Patriots must defend that offense without either starting cornerback. That combination favors the Raiders in a close game.
The best bet is the Las Vegas Raiders +3.5 (-110) spread. New England's defensive results deserve respect, but laying more than a field goal asks the Patriots to create separation despite significant receiving absences. Taking the points gives the Raiders room to fall short of the outright-win forecast and still cover.
Odds, game time and how to watch
Game: Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots, Week 5 of the 2026 NFL season.
Time: Sunday, October 11, 2026, at 1:00 p.m. ET.
Venue: Gillette Stadium.
Broadcast: CBS, with Kevin Harlan and Trent Green in the booth.
Records: Las Vegas Raiders 3-1; New England Patriots 2-2.
SportsJaw odds: Las Vegas Raiders +3.5 (-115); New England Patriots -3.5 (-105). Moneyline: Las Vegas Raiders +155; New England Patriots -180. Total: Over 45.5 (-105); Under 45.5 (-109).