Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots Predictions October 11, 2026
The Las Vegas Raiders are projected to beat the New England Patriots 23-20, with their early pass-rush production offering the strongest matchup advantage against New England’s recently unsettled right tackle position. Confidence is low because the protection concerns precede this game and the market favors the Patriots. Neither Raiders +3.5 (-110) nor the total of 44 (-110) offers a clear enough edge for an official wager.
Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots prediction and best bet
Las Vegas is the pick for a narrow road win, but the official betting recommendation is Pass. The Raiders’ pressure production gives them a credible route to disrupting New England’s offense. That matchup drives the forecast more than their early takeaway total, which should not be treated as a promise of another turnover-heavy performance.
The distinction matters at this price. Picking an upset does not make the underdog an automatic bet. Three games of defensive production and injury reports for the preceding week leave enough uncertainty to keep confidence low and the spread off the official card.
Odds, game time and how to watch
Game time: Sunday, Oct. 11, 2026, at 1 p.m. EDT, during the 2026 NFL season.
Venue: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts. Broadcast: CBS.
SportsJaw spread: Las Vegas Raiders +3.5 (-110); New England Patriots -3.5 (-110).
SportsJaw moneyline: Las Vegas +160; New England -192. Total: Over 44 (-110) or Under 44 (-110).
Record context: Las Vegas entered Week 4 at 3-0. That is its record before the Oct. 4 Kansas City game, not a confirmed record entering this matchup.