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  1. Home
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  3. Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles
Sun 1:00 PM ET
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Washington Commanders710014031
Philadelphia Eagles731110334
NFL · Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles

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Washington Faces Uphill Battle in Matchup with Undefeated Eagles

Game time: October 1, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET

Venue: Lincoln Financial Field — Philadelphia, PA

Article updated Sep 22, 2:35 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

This Sunday, the 3-0-0 Eagles (2-0-1 against the spread) will take on the 2-1-0 Washington Commanders. In their last meeting, which was in the Lincoln Financial Field,

Game outlook

This Sunday, the 3-0-0 Eagles (2-0-1 against the spread) will take on the 2-1-0 Washington Commanders. In their last meeting, which was in the Lincoln Financial Field, Washington won but in the past ten confrontations the Eagles have won seven. It is scheduled to kickoff at 1:00 p.m. EDT.

Game Info

When: Sunday, 10/1/2023 @ 1:00pm EST

Where: Lincoln Financial Field Stadium Commanders vs Eagles Betting Odds Moneyline: Commanders +330 | Eagles -420

Spread: Commanders +9 (-110) | Eagles -9 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 43.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Philadelphia will win straight-up is 81%.

Washington Commanders

Washington began the year 2-0 after comeback wins over the Cardinals and Broncos, however, last week’s game against Buffalo proved to be too much for the Commanders resulting in a 37-3 loss. The Commanders gained only 230 yards on offense, went 1-9 on third down, allowed nine sacks and turned the ball over five times in a first game against a strong defense. For the offense, quarterback Sam Howell's tenure as a starter is in its first full season. The Commanders averaged 8.1 yards per carry last week and have 5.0 average yards per carry this season, which is currently ranked 3rd. Logan Thomas appears to be set to clear concussion protocols and, therefore, all offensive starters should be suiting up for this week’s Eagles game. The Commanders defense finished seventh in scoring last season, however, have allowed at least 30 points in their past two weeks. Last Sunday was the first game without a sack, but they still recorded a takeaway. Their run defense has been struggling, allowing 5.0 yards per rush in the past two weeks and receiving little to no air testing due to the trailing of the Commanders in most of their games. Even the back seven of their defense is allowing 7.0 yards per pass attempt. In conclusion, Washington is bleeding 5.4 yards per snap and this needs to change before the Eagles game. Washington began the season 2-0, but lost to Buffalo 37-3 last week. Offense currently averages 5.0 yards per carry (ranked 3rd), and all offensive starters will be suiting up against the Eagles. Defense has allowed 30+ points in two of the past three weeks, and are bleeding 5.4 yards per snap. Washington is ranked 20th overall, 7th in offense, 18th in defense, and is 2-1 (1-2 ATS).

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Philadelphia Eagles Analysis

The Philadelphia Eagles have had an impressive start to the season, with a 3-0 record and that offense averaging 29.50 points per game (#5 in the league). They have effectively run the ball, averaging 6.1 yards play with 4.9 yards per rush. Despite this success, the passing game has had a few challenges already with Hurts being sacked 8 times and throwing three interceptions. On defense, the Eagles looked impressive in their most recent game, posting two takeaways, two sacks and 174 yards allowed against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Despite usually dominating the trenches, the Eagles have only seen six sacks this season, potentially caused for concern due to Fletcher Cox's knee injury. They gave up 24.0 points averages per game (#16 in the league) but regularly defend many passes, allowing a modest 6.7 yards pass conversion. In their last three matchups against Washington, the Eagles went 2-1 (1-2 ATS). Washington have held the Eagles under 25 in each of the last three meetings. To break through on Sunday afternoon, the Eagles must take advantage of a struggling Washington offensive line and make full use of the defensive X-factor to watch for.

Washington's Tough Task Ahead: Eagles' Dominant Defense & Ground Game Looms Large in Divisional Matchup

Washington's defense struggled against both the Bills and Broncos, with each team averaging 5.1 and 5.3 yards per rush, respectively. The Eagles, however, present an even tougher task; they have averaged 4.9 yards per carry and are coming off consecutive 200-yard performances. Additionally, their defense is allowing just 3.0 yards per carry and has recorded a league-high eight takeaways this season. The Commanders will have to make up ground in the air, which could be difficult due to the Eagles' 19 sacks, and Sam Howell's propensity for turnovers. With all these factors in play, it is likely that Philadelphia will dominate this divisional matchup.

Written by Jamescashiola Published on 09/29/2023 Category: NFL Picks

About the Author: Poker player and sports bettor. Cut my teeth working at Oddsboard.com writing picks content for a couple of old codgers. I've been betting on sports for over 10 years and last couple years I've won more than I've lost. NFL & College football are my jam.

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Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
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#WashingtonCommanders#PhiladelphiaEagles

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Commanders vs Eagles archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Commanders vs Eagles matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Washington Commanders+295 → +340Moved
  • Moneyline · Philadelphia Eagles-375 → -425Moved
  • Spread · Washington Commanders+7.25 (-110) → +8.75 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Philadelphia Eagles-7.25 (-110) → -8.75 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over44.25 (-110) → 43 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under44.25 (-110) → 43 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Washington Commanders
2-1 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 2-7-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Philadelphia Eagles
3-0 matchup record · 4-5-1 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-09-22T06:35:46.845Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The Philadelphia Eagles have had an impressive start to the season, with a 3-0 record and that offense averaging 29.50 points per game (#5 in the league). They have effectively run the ball, averaging 6.1 yards play with 4.9 yards per rush. Despite this success, the passing game has had a few challenges already with Hurts being sacked 8 times and throwing three interceptions. On defense, the Eagles looked impressive in their most recent game, posting two takeaways, two sacks and 174 yards allowed against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Despite usually dominating the trenches, the Eagles have only seen six sacks this season, potentially caused for concern due to Fletcher Cox's knee injury. They gave up 24.0 points averages per game (#16 in the league) but regularly defend many passes, allowing a modest 6.7 yards pass conversion. In their last three matchups against Washington, the Eagles went 2-1 (1-2 ATS). Washington have held the Eagles under 25 in each of the last three meetings. To break through on Sunday afternoon, the Eagles must take advantage of a struggling Washington offensive line and make full use of the defensive X-factor to watch for.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-11-14Washington Commanders 32 · Philadelphia Eagles 21
  • 2022-09-25Philadelphia Eagles 24 · Washington Commanders 8
  • 2022-01-02Philadelphia Eagles 20 · Washington Commanders 16
  • 2021-12-21Washington Commanders 17 · Philadelphia Eagles 27
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Philadelphia Eagles defeated Washington Commanders 34-31

Philadelphia Eagles defeated Washington Commanders 34-31 on October 1, 2023, a 3-point decision in the series. Philadelphia Eagles' strongest period was the 3rd quarter, when it outscored its opponent 11-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Washington Commanders +8.75 (-110) spread, Washington Commanders covered, while the 65 combined points finished over the recorded total of 43.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • 1735203231Spread · Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-110)Loss
  • Fisher49Total · Under 44.5 (-110)Loss
  • JohnmiznerSpread · Washington Commanders +7 (-110)Win
  • FlyigglesflySpread · Washington Commanders +7 (-110)Win
  • VfernandezSpread · Washington Commanders +7 (-110)Win
  • IroncladlocksTotal · Under 44.5 (-110)Loss
  • MauriceJonesSpread · Washington Commanders +7 (-110)Win
  • DtownsendSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-110)Loss
  • PurplebloodSpread · Washington Commanders +7 (-110)Win
  • HitmanhartSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-110)Loss
  • DemarcusBryantSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-110)Loss
  • EmcSpread · Washington Commanders +7 (-110)Win
  • RainmanTotal · Over 44.5 (-110)Win
  • PeytoncSpread · Washington Commanders +7 (-110)Win
  • 1118240754Spread · Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-110)Loss
  • CoversSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -9 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -9 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Under 43 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -9 (-110)Loss
  • JohnTharpMoneyline · Philadelphia Eagles -440Win