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New England Patriots vs Dallas Cowboys Go Head-to-Head with 43 Point Predicted Score

Game time: October 1, 2023 at 4:25 PM ET

Venue: AT&T Stadium — Arlington, TX

Article updated Sep 22, 2:35 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The game total is 43 points. The New England Patriots are coming off a win against the New York Jets, but are 1-2 SU and ATS heading into this matchup. The Dallas Cowboys are

Game outlook

The game total is 43 points. The New England Patriots are coming off a win against the New York Jets, but are 1-2 SU and ATS heading into this matchup. The Dallas Cowboys are 2-1 SU and ATS, following an upset loss to the Arizona Cardinals. The Patriots have several players listed as out and questionable for the game, while the Cowboys are facing multiple questions marks with their offensive line.

Game Info

When: Sunday, 10/1/2023 @ 4:25pm EST

Where: AT&T Stadium Stadium Patriots vs Cowboys Betting Odds Moneyline: Patriots +235 | Cowboys -278

Spread: Patriots +6.5 (-110) | Cowboys -6.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 43.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Dallas will win straight-up is 74%.

New England Patriots

The New England Patriots have started the 2021 season with a record of 1-2 (1-2 against the spread). Last week they recorded their first win, a 15-point victory against the New York Jets that extended their winning streak over the team to fifteen games. Mac Jones completed 15 of 29 passing attempts for 201 yards and a touchdown, while Ezekiel Elliott rushed for eighty yards on sixteen carries. It was the first time since 2000 that the Patriots avoided an 0-3 start under longstanding head coach Bill Belichick. NE are currently ranked 24th in offense, scoring an average of 18.50 points per game, and 17th in defense, allowing an average of 24.50 points per game. They have been led by QB Jones who has passed for 748 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions, with his favourite targets being WR Kendrick Bourne (14 receptions for 139 yards and two scores) and TE Hunter Henry (13 receptions for 125 yards and two scores). The running game has been a combination of Rhamondre Stevenson (46 carries for 134 yards and 1 touchdown) and Elliott (28 carries for 122 yards). The Patriots defense has allowed 19.7 points (11th) and 270.3 total yards per game (5th), including 177.0 passing yards (5th) and 93.3 rushing yards (9th). After conceding 49 points in their first two games, they limited their last opponents, New York, 5 points. To strengthen their defense they need to improve their ability to sack the quarterback (7 sacks in 3 games) and generate more takeaways (1 interception). Record: 1-2 (1-2 ATS) Offense rank: 24th (averaged 18.50 points per game) Net Yards (total): 342.7 total yards (13th) Rushing yards: 235.7 passing yards (11th) and 107.0 rushing yards (14th) Defense rank: 17th (allowing an average of 24.50 points to be scored against them per game) Net Yards (defense): 270.3 total yards (5th) Passing Yards (defense): 177.0 passing yards

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Dallas Cowboys Analysis

The Dallas Cowboys had a disappointing performance in their 12 point loss to the Arizona Cardinals last week; they were 13-point favourites going into the game, but never led the Cardinals. Dallas was called for 13 penalties (107 yards) and were unable to score in the red zone, having three possessions inside the Arizona ten-yard line. This loss was particularly inconsequential due to the Cowboys losing their star cornerback Trevon Diggs earlier in the week. Quarterback Dak Prescott said, “We thought we had a good opportunity to come in here even with the adversity and get a win and we didn’t.” Offensively, the Cowboys score 28.7 points per game (5th) and 350.3 total yards (11th); they are successful due to Prescott having 647 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Dallas are also able to move the ball due to CeeDee Lamb receiving 19 passes for 273 yards and Tony Pollard's 264 yards with 62 carries. Defensively, Dallas give up 12.7 points (3rd) and 262.0 total yards (4th) per game. The Cowboys have a 2-1 (2-1 ATS) record overall and have been receiving criticism due to the quality of their opponent. They have gone 1-2 (2-1 ATS) in their last three matchups against the New England Patriots.

Cowboys Look to Prove Spread Wrong Against Patriots, Prescott and Pass Rush Lead the Way

I have faith that the Cowboys can handle the 6.5-point spread against the New England Patriots this week. Dallas has shown they can't play poorly two weeks in a row, and New England doesn't have the talent or ingenuity to scare them. Prescott has been impressive in the new offensive scheme, and with the Cowboys' pass rush this game should be a sure win. Keep in mind that Prescott's has taken care of the ball throughout the season, so that won't be a concern. The Pats have good players on the defensive side, but I don't believe their pass rush will be enough to keep the game close. My advice is to bet on the Cowboys this weekend.

Written by Jtpham Published on 09/29/2023 Category: NFL Picks

About the Author: I apply several statistical and situational models to find the best probable winners with the highest percentage odds of winning and that offers the best chance of making a profit.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#NewEnglandPatriots#DallasCowboys

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Patriots vs Cowboys archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Patriots vs Cowboys matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · New England Patriots+285 → +225Moved
  • Moneyline · Dallas Cowboys-360 → -265Moved
  • Spread · New England Patriots+7.75 (-110) → +6 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Dallas Cowboys-7.75 (-110) → -6 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over43 (-110) → 43 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under43 (-110) → 43 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

New England Patriots
1-2 matchup record · 2-8-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Dallas Cowboys
2-1 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-09-22T06:35:48.783Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The game total is 43 points. The New England Patriots are coming off a win against the New York Jets, but are 1-2 SU and ATS heading into this matchup. The Dallas Cowboys are 2-1 SU and ATS, following an upset loss to the Arizona Cardinals. The Patriots have several players listed as out and questionable for the game, while the Cowboys are facing multiple questions marks with their offensive line.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Dallas Cowboys defeated New England Patriots 38-3

Dallas Cowboys defeated New England Patriots 38-3 on October 1, 2023, a 35-point decision in the series. Dallas Cowboys' strongest period was the 2nd quarter, when it outscored its opponent 18-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded New England Patriots +6 (-110) spread, Dallas Cowboys covered, while the 41 combined points finished under the recorded total of 43.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • DawhizTotal · Under 42.5 (-110)Win
  • 1735203231Spread · New England Patriots +7.5 (-110)Loss
  • JaredkuntzSpread · Dallas Cowboys -7.5 (-110)Win
  • BjenkinsSpread · Dallas Cowboys -7.5 (-110)Win
  • Hustle$Spread · Dallas Cowboys -7.5 (-110)Win
  • PeytoncSpread · New England Patriots +7 (-110)Loss
  • ThetotalerSpread · New England Patriots +7 (-110)Loss
  • PremierPicksTotal · Under 43 (-110)Win
  • JoeThomasSpread · New England Patriots +7 (-110)Loss
  • ryry663Moneyline · Dallas Cowboys -278Win
  • DouwannaSpread · Dallas Cowboys -6.5 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · Dallas Cowboys -6 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · Dallas Cowboys -6 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 43 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · Dallas Cowboys -6 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 43 (-110)
Loss
  • JohnTharpTotal · Over 43 (-110)Loss
  • JohnTharpMoneyline · Dallas Cowboys -260Win
  • VegaspatTotal · Over 43 (-110)Loss
  • Amp2224Moneyline · Dallas Cowboys -260Win