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Tampa Bay Buccaneers Favored to Beat New Orleans Saints in Divisional Matchup on Sunday

Game time: January 5, 2025 at 1:00 PM ET

Venue: Raymond James Stadium — Tampa, FL

Article updated Jan 3, 10:00 PM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The New Orleans Saints will face off against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in a divisional matchup on Sunday. The Saints are coming off a loss to the Raiders while the Buccaneers

Game outlook

The New Orleans Saints will face off against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in a divisional matchup on Sunday. The Saints are coming off a loss to the Raiders while the Buccaneers secured a win against the Panthers recently. Tampa Bay previously beat the Saints with a score of 51-27. The Buccaneers are favored to win with an opening line of -13, which has since moved to -14. Keep reading for a prediction on the outcome of the game.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Saints +625 | Buccaneers -950

Spread: Saints +14 (-110) | Buccaneers -14 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 43.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Tampa Bay will win straight-up is 90%.

New Orleans Saints

The New Orleans Saints are wrapping up a disappointing season with struggles on both offense and defense. They have lost four of their past five games, including a close home loss to the Commanders and a 25-10 defeat against the Raiders. The team has faced challenges with injuries to key players such as QB Derek Carr and RB Alvin Kamara. The offense has been unable to score consistently, while the defense has shown some improvement in recent games. With a power ranking of 28 and a record of 5-11, the Saints are looking to finish the season on a stronger note. For assistance with NFL betting, consider choosing our top NFL Handicappers.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Analysis

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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are currently in a tight battle with the Falcons for the top spot in their division. They need a win to secure the division title but could still clinch it with a loss if the Falcons also lose their game, although that scenario is unlikely. Tampa Bay has been performing well, collecting wins in five of their past six games, with their only recent loss being against the Cowboys. Quarterback Baker Mayfield has been dominant, throwing for impressive yardage in multiple games, while running back Bucky Irving has also been solid despite a shoulder injury. The Buccaneers offense has been scoring an average of 33 points in their recent games, with an average of 400 yards per game. The defense has had some struggles but has shown improvement, particularly in their recent game against the Panthers. Overall, Tampa Bay is performing well offensively and has a solid defense, making them a strong contender in their division.

New Orleans Saints Face Tough Challenge Against Dominant Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The New Orleans Saints are currently experiencing a challenging season, having lost five of their last six road games. In their previous encounter with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, the Saints were defeated by a significant margin of 24 points. The Buccaneers have the opportunity to secure the division title with a victory in this upcoming game, regardless of the outcome of the Falcons game. The Buccaneers have been performing exceptionally well, winning five of their last six games. The Saints heavily rely on their rushing offense to score points, which plays into the strengths of the Buccaneers' solid rush defense, holding opponents to an average of just 100 rushing yards per game, ranking fifth in the league. Tampa Bay's quarterback, Mayfield, has been effectively exploiting opposing defenses, which is expected to continue against the Saints' pass defense, ranked 28th. The Buccaneers have been dominating their opponents, with four of their last five victories coming by margins of 15 points or more.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#NewOrleansSaints#TampaBayBuccaneers

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Saints vs Buccaneers archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Saints vs Buccaneers matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · New Orleans Saints+608 → +800Moved
  • Moneyline · Tampa Bay Buccaneers-900 → -1,400Moved
  • Spread · New Orleans Saints+13 (-110) → +14.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Tampa Bay Buccaneers-13 (-110) → -14.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over43 (-110) → 44.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under43 (-110) → 44.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

New Orleans Saints
5-11 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
9-7 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2025-01-04T03:00:28.851Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The New Orleans Saints are wrapping up a disappointing season with struggles on both offense and defense. They have lost four of their past five games, including a close home loss to the Commanders and a 25-10 defeat against the Raiders. The team has faced challenges with injuries to key players such as QB Derek Carr and RB Alvin Kamara. The offense has been unable to score consistently, while the defense has shown some improvement in recent games. With a power ranking of 28 and a record of 5-11, the Saints are looking to finish the season on a stronger note. For assistance with NFL betting, consider choosing our top NFL Handicappers.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are currently in a tight battle with the Falcons for the top spot in their division. They need a win to secure the division title but could still clinch it with a loss if the Falcons also lose their game, although that scenario is unlikely. Tampa Bay has been performing well, collecting wins in five of their past six games, with their only recent loss being against the Cowboys. Quarterback Baker Mayfield has been dominant, throwing for impressive yardage in multiple games, while running back Bucky Irving has also been solid despite a shoulder injury. The Buccaneers offense has been scoring an average of 33 points in their recent games, with an average of 400 yards per game. The defense has had some struggles but has shown improvement, particularly in their recent game against the Panthers. Overall, Tampa Bay is performing well offensively and has a solid defense, making them a strong contender in their division.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-10-13Tampa Bay Buccaneers 51 · New Orleans Saints 27
  • 2023-12-31New Orleans Saints 23 · Tampa Bay Buccaneers 13
  • 2023-10-01Tampa Bay Buccaneers 26 · New Orleans Saints 9
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Tampa Bay Buccaneers defeated New Orleans Saints 27-19

Tampa Bay Buccaneers defeated New Orleans Saints 27-19 on January 5, 2025, a 8-point decision in the series. Tampa Bay Buccaneers' strongest period was the 4th quarter, when it outscored its opponent 14-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded New Orleans Saints +14.5 (-110) spread, New Orleans Saints covered, while the 46 combined points finished over the recorded total of 44.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • AveragejoeSpread · New Orleans Saints +14 (-110)Win
  • Tbone91Spread · New Orleans Saints +14 (-110)Win
  • EmcSpread · New Orleans Saints +13 (-110)Win
  • PeytoncSpread · New Orleans Saints +13 (-110)Win
  • Drew_WestcottSpread · New Orleans Saints +13 (-110)Win
  • KrockpicksSpread · New Orleans Saints +13 (-110)Win
  • MrpinkSpread · Tampa Bay Buccaneers -13 (-110)Loss
  • JwTotal · Over 43.5 (-110)Win
  • TweiskoffSpread · Tampa Bay Buccaneers -13.5 (-110)Loss
  • DtownsendSpread · New Orleans Saints +13.5 (-110)Win
  • JtmcentireTotal · Under 43.5 (-110)Loss
  • Ironcladlocks
Total · Under 43.5 (-110)
Loss
  • BjenkinsSpread · New Orleans Saints +13.5 (-110)Win
  • ThinkmakegrowTotal · Under 43.5 (-110)Loss
  • 1118240754Spread · Tampa Bay Buccaneers -14 (-110)Loss
  • Barry713Spread · Tampa Bay Buccaneers -14 (-110)Loss
  • Lockpicker69Total · Over 43.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 44.5 (-110)Win
  • GsimmsSpread · Tampa Bay Buccaneers -14 (-110)Loss
  • MbcTotal · Under 44.5 (-110)Loss
  • GeauxtigersTotal · Under 44.5 (-110)Loss
  • DengWinsSpread · Tampa Bay Buccaneers -14 (-110)Loss
  • Barry713Total · Under 45 (-110)Loss