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  3. Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots
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Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: January 5, 2025 at 1:00 PM ET

Venue: Gillette Stadium — Foxborough, MA

Article updated Jan 4, 1:38 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Buffalo Bills are set to face off against the New England Patriots in a divisional game this Sunday. The Bills, with a record of 13-3, are coming off a win against the

Game outlook

The Buffalo Bills are set to face off against the New England Patriots in a divisional game this Sunday. The Bills, with a record of 13-3, are coming off a win against the Jets, while the Patriots, at 3-13, suffered a loss to the Chargers in their last game. Buffalo emerged victorious in their previous meeting with a 24-21 home win against New England. The current betting line favors Buffalo at -3 after opening at -2. Can the Patriots end their season with four wins? Stay tuned for the prediction.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Bills -165 | Patriots +145

Spread: Bills -3 (-110) | Patriots +3 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 36.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Buffalo will win straight-up is 62%.

Buffalo Bills

The Buffalo Bills have secured the division and the #2 seed in the AFC East, allowing them to rest key players in their upcoming game as it has no implications in the standings. The team is having a dominating season, winning nine of their past ten games, including a road win against Detroit. QB Josh Allen, a potential MVP candidate, has been a significant contributor with 3731 passing yards and a 28:6 TD to INT ratio. Backup QB Mitch Trubisky will also see action. RB James Cook and WR Khalil Shakir have had solid seasons as well, contributing to the team's success on offense. The Bills' defense, while having some issues in recent weeks, has been strong overall. The team is averaging 31.8 points per game on offense and allows an average of 21.6 points on defense. Buffalo is 13-3 (10-6 ATS) this season, demonstrating their strength in the NFL. For those in need of NFL handicapping assistance, choosing the top NFL Handicappers may be beneficial.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

New England Patriots Analysis

The New England Patriots are currently ranked last in the NFL and have had a disastrous season, losing six straight games. Rookie QB Drake Maye has been a bright spot, but the team's offense and defense have struggled, averaging only 16.6 points per game and conceding an average of 25.1 points per game. The Patriots have the opportunity to secure the #1 pick in the draft with a defeat in their next game. Their offense has struggled to score points, and their defense has given up over 25 points in four of their past five games. The team will need to make improvements in all areas to turn their season around. Fans can check out some betting opportunities and sportsbook promotions for upcoming games.

Buffalo Bills to Rest Key Players Against New England Patriots, Mitch Trubisky Set to Lead Offense

The Buffalo Bills have clinched the #2 seed in the standings, rendering this upcoming game of little consequence. As a result, the team plans to play conservatively and rest key players. Despite a close matchup a few weeks ago in which the New England Patriots narrowly lost on the road by only three points, the Bills are expected to have backup quarterback, Mitch Trubisky, see significant playing time alongside starter Josh Allen. Trubisky, who has had limited playing time this season, will likely face a challenge against the Patriots' strong pass defense, which ranks 15th in the league by conceding an average of 215 passing yards per game. While James Cook is anticipated to play only a few series, rookie QB Drake Maye is expected to showcase his skills against the Bills' 22nd-ranked pass defense.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#BuffaloBills#NewEnglandPatriots

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Bills vs Patriots archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Bills vs Patriots matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Buffalo Bills-126 → -165Moved
  • Moneyline · New England Patriots+107 → +145Moved
  • Spread · Buffalo Bills-2 (-110) → -3 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · New England Patriots+2 (-110) → +3 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over41 (-110) → 36.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under41 (-110) → 36.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Buffalo Bills
13-3 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
New England Patriots
3-13 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2025-01-04T06:38:01.189Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-12-22New England Patriots 21 · Buffalo Bills 24
  • 2023-12-31New England Patriots 21 · Buffalo Bills 27
  • 2023-10-22Buffalo Bills 25 · New England Patriots 29
Final result

Matchup pick recap

New England Patriots defeated Buffalo Bills 23-16

New England Patriots defeated Buffalo Bills 23-16 on January 5, 2025, a 7-point decision in the series. New England Patriots' strongest period was the 1st quarter, when it outscored its opponent 7-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Buffalo Bills -3 (-110) spread, New England Patriots covered, while the 39 combined points finished over the recorded total of 36.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • Hustle$Spread · New England Patriots +2.25 (-110)Win
  • Sarah_MillerTotal · Over 38.5 (-110)Win
  • BluedevilSpread · New England Patriots +3 (-110)Win
  • JackCohenTotal · Under 38 (-110)Loss
  • AdrianMariucciTotal · Over 38.25 (-110)Win
  • Fisher49Spread · Buffalo Bills -3 (-110)Loss
  • MrpinkSpread · New England Patriots +2.5 (-110)Win
  • Drew_WestcottSpread · Buffalo Bills -2.5 (-110)Loss
  • SfdanSpread · Buffalo Bills -2.5 (-110)Loss
  • Randy54Total · Over 38 (-110)Win
  • JtphamSpread · New England Patriots +2.5 (-110)Win
  • StevedSpread · New England Patriots +2.5 (-110)Win
  • IrishblueSpread · Buffalo Bills -2.5 (-110)Loss
  • StevehSpread · Buffalo Bills -2.5 (-110)Loss
  • RcSpread · New England Patriots +2.5 (-110)Win
  • MtgoldsteinSpread · New England Patriots -2.5 (-110)
Win
  • DemarcusBryantSpread · Buffalo Bills -3 (-110)Loss
  • Leadpipe_LocksTotal · Under 36.5 (-110)Loss
  • JoeThomasSpread · New England Patriots +3.5 (-110)Win
  • Barry713Spread · Buffalo Bills -3.5 (-110)Loss