



1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | ODDS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CIN | 0 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 48.5 |
KC | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 23 | -2 |
Bengals vs Chiefs Predictions, Picks & Best Bets
Cincinnati is on the road playing Kansas City at the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium stadium on Sunday, 1/29/2023 @ 6:30pm EST. The Cincinnati Bengals are one game away from a return trip to the Super Bowl, and for the second year in a row, it is the Kansas City Chiefsstanding in their way. This time the Bengals are not going in as plucky underdogs riding a hot playoff streak. Kansas City -1 was the opening favorite and current line is Cincinnati -0.5.
In the divisional round, the Chiefs beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 27-20, but it didn't come without consequence, as QB Patrick Mahomes sustained a high ankle sprain late in the first quarter. Despite playing through the injury, it's clear the 27-year-old signal caller is clearly not 100 percent.
The Bengals dominated Buffalo last weekend, 27-10, even with backups all over the offensive line. Running back Joe Mixon ran for a postseason-high 105 yards and two touchdowns.
Bengals vs Kansas City Who is Going to Win
A number of factors have contributed to bettors jumping on the Bengals early line in this game. For starters, the news of Patrick Mahomes reported grade 3 ankle spraing and being on crutches after the Jags game. Also because they have looked best team since starting the season 0-2 and have won 14 consecutive games since then. This includes winning 10 straight games, including a dominant performance against Buffalo last weekend. Since last season, they have won three consecutive games against the Chiefs.
A major factor is Patrick Mahomes' ankle status with the Chiefs. Despite returning to Saturday's game against Jacksonville for the second half, he did not look 100 percent and will continue to deal with a high ankle sprain until Sunday. But the good news for Chiefs bettors is Mahomes was spotted at a press conference on Wednesday walking without an air boot and seemingly without any limp. Chiefs' offense relies heavily on Mahomes ability to extend plays, and if he can't do that against the Bengals, it could be a problem. But during a press conference on Thursday, Mahomes said he plans to play.
While the Chiefs finished with the best record in the AFC, they were terrible against the spread this season. Kansas City finished 5-12-1 ATS this year including a woeful 1-7-1 in its last nine games at home. The team is 9-24-1 against the spread in its past 34 versus AFC teams and have failed to cover in five straight against an opponent with a winning record.
Cincinnati has also covered five of the last six meetings including three straight. Bet on the Bengals to win by at least three points.
Cincinnati Betting
With a power ranking of 2, Cincinnati is ranked #7 in offense (scoring an average of 26.00 per game), #7 in defense (allowing an average of 19.94 points to be scored against them per game) and are 14-4 (13-5 ATS) this season.
Kansas City Betting
Kansas City Chiefs has a power ranking of 3 and are #1 for offense (scoring an average of 29.06 per game), #15 for defense (giving up an average of 19.94 points per game) and 15-3 (7-11 ATS) overall. Cincinnati went 0-3 (0-3 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Kansas City.
Curated Picks & Predictions
- From the lines set by Sportsbooks, they predict the score to be CIN 23.25, KC 24.25.
- The SportsJaw community predicts Cincinnati Bengals to cover (58%)
- OddsShark predicts Kansas City will win, cover the spread, and the total will go over.
- 69% picked Cincinnati Bengals on Covers.com
- Our ScoreCaster predicts Bengals 17 to Chiefs 32.
Kansas City vs Cincinnati Prediction
Cincinnati has covered five of the last six meetings including three straight. I assume Mahomes is playing and by all indications the high ankle sprain wasn't as bad as originally suggested. I predict this stingy Bengals defense will pressure Mahomes and do a good job of slow down Kelce. Take away Mahomes and Kelce and the Chiefs become pretty pedestrian. Kansas City and Cincinnati have comparable offenses, but I give the edge in this game to the Bengals nasty defense.
Chiefs vs. Bengals Over/Under: Under 46.5
Even with the total going over this projected line in five straight matchups, I'm on the under and here's why:
Cincinnati has gone under in nine of its last 10 playoff games including five straight, 26 of its past 39 road games and in 15 of its last 23 overall. For the Chiefs, they've gone under in six of their previous 7 games at home and in eight of their previous 11 after they won the game prior. Also I predict this Bengals defense is going to wreck havoc on Mahomes (especially if not 100%) and limit the Chiefs points.
Score prediction: Bengals 24 to Chiefs 17
Written by SportsJaw Staff
Categorized as NFL Predictions
Current Odds[ - ]
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Power Rankings[ - ]


Last 10 Games Stats[ + ]
Bengals
Chiefs
Betting Trends[ + ]
Cincinnati Bengals
- Cincinnati are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games.
- Cincinnati are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games.
- Cincinnati are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against Kansas City.
- Cincinnati are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games against Kansas City.
- Cincinnati are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on the road.
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing on the road against Kansas City.
- Cincinnati are 8-0 SU in their last 8 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
- Cincinnati are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference West division.
- Cincinnati are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games played in January.
Kansas City Chiefs
- Kansas City are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games.
- Kansas City are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Kansas City's last 14 games against Cincinnati.
- Kansas City are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home.
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Kansas City's last 8 games when playing at home against Cincinnati.
- Kansas City are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
- Kansas City are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference North division.
- The total has gone OVER in 10 of Kansas City's last 14 games played in January.
- Kansas City are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played on a Sunday.
Injuries[ - ]
Bengals
- TEClark Harris (IR, Biceps)
- TLa'el Collins (IR, Knee)
- WRTyler Boyd (Is doubtfult to return, Quad)
- CBChidobe Awuzie (IR; is out for season, Knee)
- TEHayden Hurst (Is probable Sunday vs Kansas City, Calf)
- GAlex Cappa (Is OUT Sunday vs Kansas City, Ankle)
- CBTre Flowers (Is probable Sunday vs Kansas City, Undisclosed)
- TJonah Williams (Is OUT Sunday vs Kansas City, Knee)
- TEDrew Sample (IR, Knee)
- RBElijah Holyfield (IR, Leg)
- STycen Anderson (IR, Hamstring)
- CBen Brown (IR, Biceps)
Chiefs
- TETravis Kelce (Is probable Sunday vs Cincinnati, Back)
- QBPatrick Mahomes (Is probable Sunday vs Cincinnati, Ankle)
- WRJustin Watson (Is downgraded to OUT Sunday vs Cincinnati, Illness)
- WRMecole Hardman (Is "?" to return, Groin)
- TEJody Fortson (Is probable Sunday vs Cincinnati, Elbow)
- RBClyde Edwards-Helaire (Is probable Sunday vs Cincinnati, Ankle)
- LBWillie Gay Jr. (Is "?" to return, Shoulder)
- TLucas Niang (PUP, Knee)
- SL'Jarius Sneed (Is OUT for remainder of game, Concussion)
- DTTershawn Wharton (Is out for season, ACL)
- WRKadarius Toney (Is "?" to return, Foot)
- WRJustyn Ross (IR, Foot)
Infographics & Predictions[ - ]
🚨 DRAKE JUST BET $1.1 MILLION ON CHIEFS ML 🚨
— Pickswise (@Pickswise) January 29, 2023
(via: @drake/IG) pic.twitter.com/Klf8lQEMCz
Just got out of #chiefs practice. We watched Patrick Mahomes throw three passes. Here they are all three. Next time we see him on the field will be at Arrowhead Sunday vs the #bengals pic.twitter.com/0VePAnUmqK
— James Palmer (@JamesPalmerTV) January 27, 2023
A bettor at @BetMGM wagered $300,000 on @Bengals over 23.5 points (-120).
— John Ewing 🦁 (@johnewing) January 27, 2023
Bet would win $250,000.
Bengals averaged 26.1 ppg this season and have scored 24 or more points in 4 of their last 5 games.
99% of bets are on Hayden Hurst over 3.5 receptions (-145).
— John Ewing 🦁 (@johnewing) January 27, 2023
Hurst has caught 4 or more balls in four straight games. pic.twitter.com/kOzKHM6Gt7
"I have so much faith in what we do here."
— NFL (@NFL) January 25, 2023
Joe Burrow credits the @Bengals' success on the collaboration between coaches and players throughout the week and making adjustments in-game. pic.twitter.com/x3LDCeiL4d
"Nothing."
— Yahoo Sports (@YahooSports) January 26, 2023
Chiefs LB Willie Gay on what impresses him about the Bengals offense 👀🍿
(via @PJGreenTV)pic.twitter.com/fklNoV756Y
.@Bengals spread at Chiefs:
— John Ewing 🦁 (@johnewing) January 25, 2023
+1.5: Open
-1.5: Monday
-2.5: Tuesday
-1.5: This morning
-1: Now
75% of bets, 77% of money on Cincy to cover at @BetMGM.
Mahomes moving well😳😳😳 pic.twitter.com/ZbHqKvXb1f
— Braiden Turner (@bturner23) January 25, 2023
In the past 10 postseasons, road favorites have gone 3-8-2 (27%) ATS per @Bet_Labs.@Bengals -2.5 at Chiefs. pic.twitter.com/12sIkt3nUP
— John Ewing 🦁 (@johnewing) January 24, 2023
1 MO

The Chiefs have a slightly better offense and the Chiefs have a significantly better defense. The Bengals won more games straight up and against the spread over their last 3 matchups. Adjusted score predictions based on power rankings and strength of schedule: Bengals 19 to Chiefs 30.
1 MO
Bengals Injuries
- TE Clark Harris IR, Biceps
- T La'el Collins IR, Knee
- WR Tyler Boyd Is doubtfult to return, Quad
- CB Chidobe Awuzie IR; is out for season, Knee
- TE Hayden Hurst Is probable Sunday vs Kansas City, Calf
- G Alex Cappa Is OUT Sunday vs Kansas City, Ankle
- CB Tre Flowers Is probable Sunday vs Kansas City, Undisclosed
- T Jonah Williams Is OUT Sunday vs Kansas City, Knee
- TE Drew Sample IR, Knee
- RB Elijah Holyfield IR, Leg
- S Tycen Anderson IR, Hamstring
- C Ben Brown IR, Biceps
1 MO
Chiefs Injuries
- TE Travis Kelce Is probable Sunday vs Cincinnati, Back
- QB Patrick Mahomes Is probable Sunday vs Cincinnati, Ankle
- WR Justin Watson Is downgraded to OUT Sunday vs Cincinnati, Illness
- WR Mecole Hardman Is "?" to return, Groin
- TE Jody Fortson Is probable Sunday vs Cincinnati, Elbow
- RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire Is probable Sunday vs Cincinnati, Ankle
- LB Willie Gay Jr. Is "?" to return, Shoulder
- T Lucas Niang PUP, Knee
- S L'Jarius Sneed Is OUT for remainder of game, Concussion
- DT Tershawn Wharton Is out for season, ACL
- WR Kadarius Toney Is "?" to return, Foot
- WR Justyn Ross IR, Foot
1 MO