SportsJaw
LeaderboardToday's GamesBest BetsOdds ComparisonConsensus PicksMake Picks
Login / Sign In
Today's GamesLatest PredictionsToday’s Best BetsOdds ComparisonConsensus PicksTeam PredictionsHead-to-Head MatchupsSJ CoinsAbout SportsJawContact UsLogin / Sign In
HomeMatchupsMake PicksLeaders
SportsJaw

The social platform for sports bettors.

Explore SportsJaw

  • Today’s Picks
  • Predictions
  • Best Bets
  • Leaderboard
  • Make Picks
  • Odds Comparison
  • Consensus Picks
  • Team Predictions
  • Head-to-Head
  • Game Briefing

Picks by Sport

  • NFL Picks
  • NCAAF Picks
  • NBA Picks
  • NCAAB Picks
  • MLB Picks
  • NHL Picks

About SportsJaw

  • How It Works
  • SJ Coins
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Contact Us

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

© 2026 SportsJaw. For entertainment purposes only. SportsJaw does not accept or place wagers.

  1. Home
  2. NFL Picks
  3. Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs
Sun 6:30 PM ET
Buffalo Bills logo
Buffalo
Bills29
15-4
versus
Kansas City Chiefs logo
Kansas City
Chiefs32
16-2
Final
Team1234T
Buffalo Bills3136729
Kansas City Chiefs71401132
NFL · Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs

Your Picks on Bills vs Chiefs

Picks closed
Spread
Moneyline
Total

Buffalo Bills Set to Face Kansas City Chiefs in AFC Championship Showdown at Arrowhead Stadium, Chiefs Favored by 1.5 Points

Game time: January 26, 2025 at 6:30 PM ET

Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium — Kansas City, MO

Article updated Jan 24, 7:15 PM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Buffalo Bills will face off against the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Championship game at Arrowhead Stadium. The Bills advanced to the championship game after defeating

Game outlook

The Buffalo Bills will face off against the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Championship game at Arrowhead Stadium. The Bills advanced to the championship game after defeating the Broncos and Ravens in previous rounds, while the Chiefs had a bye week before defeating the Texans. Kansas City is currently favored to win by 1.5 points. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:30 pm EST. Read more about the Bills vs. Chiefs prediction.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Bills +105 | Chiefs -125

Spread: Bills +1.5 (-110) | Chiefs -1.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 48.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Kansas City will win straight-up is 56%.

Buffalo Bills

The Buffalo Bills defeated the Baltimore Ravens and are now preparing for a matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Championship Game. Quarterback Josh Allen played a key role in the victory, scoring two rushing touchdowns. The Bills will rely on their efficient offense, strong red zone performance, and turnover margin to challenge the Chiefs. Defensively, the Bills will look to limit the impact of Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes. There are some key injuries to monitor, but the Bills are determined to overcome adversity and secure a spot in the Super Bowl. With a powerful offense, solid defense, and strong performance in the playoffs, the Bills are well-positioned to compete against the Chiefs.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Kansas City Chiefs Analysis

The Kansas City Chiefs maintained their bid for a third consecutive Super Bowl appearance by defeating the Houston Texans 23-14 at Arrowhead Stadium. Led by Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce, the Chiefs are headed to their seventh straight AFC Championship Game where they will face the Buffalo Bills for the second time this season. Despite a regular-season loss to Buffalo, the Chiefs have a 3-0 playoff record against them. The upcoming game will likely be determined by Mahomes and Kelce's performance, as they have excelled in previous playoff matchups. The Chiefs struggled in the red zone against the Texans but have a strong defense, ranking fourth in the league in scoring defense. Injuries to key players may impact the Chiefs' performance. Additionally, the Chiefs have a power ranking of 14 and a #15 ranking for offense, #3 for defense, and are 16-2 overall. Buffalo has gone 1-2 in their last three matchups against Kansas City.

Buffalo Bills Poised for Super Bowl Spot in Close Matchup Against Kansas City Chiefs

The Buffalo Bills face a critical opportunity to secure a spot in the Super Bowl after a three-decade absence. With an improved running game led by MVP candidate Josh Allen and running back Cook, the Bills have demonstrated efficiency in both rushing and passing. Their ability to control possession and minimize turnovers has been key to their success. On the defensive end, the Chiefs have shown vulnerabilities in stopping the run, which the Bills plan to exploit with their versatile running backs. Meanwhile, the Chiefs heavily rely on Mahomes and Kelce for offensive production, as their ground game has faltered. The Bills' strong red-zone offense and turnover margin give them a significant advantage in a potentially close matchup. Ultimately, the Bills are poised to secure victory and advance to the Super Bowl. Consider betting on Buffalo +1 for this game.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#BuffaloBills#KansasCityChiefs

Share this preview

Facebook X Reddit Email
SportsJaw logo
Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Bills vs Chiefs archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Bills vs Chiefs matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Buffalo Bills+105 → -107Moved
  • Moneyline · Kansas City Chiefs-122 → -115Moved
  • Spread · Buffalo Bills+1.25 (-110) → +1 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Kansas City Chiefs-1.25 (-110) → -1 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over48.5 (-110) → 49.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under48.5 (-110) → 49.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Buffalo Bills
15-4 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Kansas City Chiefs
16-2 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2025-01-25T00:15:28.447Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The Buffalo Bills defeated the Baltimore Ravens and are now preparing for a matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Championship Game. Quarterback Josh Allen played a key role in the victory, scoring two rushing touchdowns. The Bills will rely on their efficient offense, strong red zone performance, and turnover margin to challenge the Chiefs. Defensively, the Bills will look to limit the impact of Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes. There are some key injuries to monitor, but the Bills are determined to overcome adversity and secure a spot in the Super Bowl. With a powerful offense, solid defense, and strong performance in the playoffs, the Bills are well-positioned to compete against the Chiefs.

The Kansas City Chiefs maintained their bid for a third consecutive Super Bowl appearance by defeating the Houston Texans 23-14 at Arrowhead Stadium. Led by Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce, the Chiefs are headed to their seventh straight AFC Championship Game where they will face the Buffalo Bills for the second time this season. Despite a regular-season loss to Buffalo, the Chiefs have a 3-0 playoff record against them. The upcoming game will likely be determined by Mahomes and Kelce's performance, as they have excelled in previous playoff matchups. The Chiefs struggled in the red zone against the Texans but have a strong defense, ranking fourth in the league in scoring defense. Injuries to key players may impact the Chiefs' performance. Additionally, the Chiefs have a power ranking of 14 and a #15 ranking for offense, #3 for defense, and are 16-2 overall. Buffalo has gone 1-2 in their last three matchups against Kansas City.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-11-17Kansas City Chiefs 21 · Buffalo Bills 30
  • 2024-01-21Kansas City Chiefs 27 · Buffalo Bills 24
  • 2023-12-10Buffalo Bills 20 · Kansas City Chiefs 17
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Kansas City Chiefs defeated Buffalo Bills 32-29

Kansas City Chiefs defeated Buffalo Bills 32-29 on January 26, 2025, a 3-point decision in the series. Kansas City Chiefs' strongest period was the 1st quarter, when it outscored its opponent 7-3. Against SportsJaw's recorded Buffalo Bills +1 (-110) spread, Kansas City Chiefs covered, while the 61 combined points finished over the recorded total of 49.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • DtownsendTotal · Over 48.5 (-110)Win
  • JaredkuntzSpread · Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-110)Win
  • JohnnywalkerTotal · Under 48.5 (-110)Loss
  • CovergirlSpread · Buffalo Bills +1.5 (-110)Loss
  • 1735203231Spread · Buffalo Bills +1.5 (-110)Loss
  • 1735203231Total · Over 47.5 (-110)Win
  • BookieslayerSpread · Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-110)Win
  • Steve512Spread · Buffalo Bills +1.5 (-110)Loss
  • Kentc_Total · Under 47.5 (-110)Loss
  • BjenkinsTotal · Under 47.5 (-110)Loss
  • MikehuffTotal · Over 47.5 (-110)Win
  • Teddy718Total · Over 47.5 (-110)Win
  • MbcTotal · Under 47.5 (-110)Loss
  • EmcTotal · Over 47.5 (-110)Win
  • RainmanSpread · Buffalo Bills +1.5 (-110)Loss
  • Altuve27Total · Under 47.5 (-110)Loss
  • VfernandezTotal · Over 47.5 (-110)Win
  • BookieslayerTotal · Under 47.5 (-110)Loss
  • MaddogSpread · Buffalo Bills +1.5 (-110)Loss
  • GsimmsTotal · Over 47.5 (-110)Win
  • Barry713Spread · Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-110)Win
  • HitmanhartSpread · Buffalo Bills +1.5 (-110)Loss
  • JackCohenSpread · Kansas City Chiefs +1.5 (-110)Win
  • GustavosintoSpread · Buffalo Bills +1.5 (-110)Loss
  • TphamSpread · Kansas City Chiefs -2 (-110)Win
  • VegaspatTotal · Under 47.5 (-110)Loss
  • RcollinsSpread · Kansas City Chiefs -2 (-110)Win
  • EmcSpread · Kansas City Chiefs -2 (-110)Win
  • MookiebetsSpread · Kansas City Chiefs +2 (-110)Win
  • Drew_WestcottTotal · Under 47.5 (-110)Loss
  • JohnmiznerSpread · Buffalo Bills +1.75 (-110)Loss
  • GeorgewTotal · Under 47.5 (-110)Loss
  • EljefeSpread · Buffalo Bills +1.75 (-110)Loss
  • IrishblueSpread · Kansas City Chiefs -1.75 (-110)Win
  • MauriceJonesTotal · Under 47.5 (-110)Loss
  • SwamipicksTotal · Under 47.5 (-110)Loss
  • DpxsportsSpread · Buffalo Bills +1.75 (-110)Loss
  • JeffjacksonTotal · Under 47.5 (-110)Loss
  • PremierPicksSpread · Kansas City Chiefs -1.75 (-110)Win
  • MikeVargasSpread · Kansas City Chiefs -1.75 (-110)Win
  • MikehuffSpread · Kansas City Chiefs -1.75 (-110)Win
  • Teddy718Spread · Buffalo Bills +1.75 (-110)Loss
  • AdrianMariucciTotal · Under 47.5 (-110)Loss
  • BrycetSpread · Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-110)Win
  • JaredkuntzTotal · Over 47.5 (-110)Win
  • Kentc_Spread · Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-110)Win
  • JamescashiolaTotal · Over 47.5 (-110)Win
  • FlyigglesflyTotal · Under 47.5 (-110)Loss
  • StevedSpread · Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-110)Win
  • MookiebetsTotal · Over 47.5 (-110)Win
  • NutinbutlocksTotal · Under 47.5 (-110)Loss
  • 1707662905Total · Over 47.5 (-110)Win
  • TjwinsTotal · Over 47.5 (-110)Win
  • Hustle$Spread · Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-110)Win
  • BadmanTotal · Over 47.5 (-110)Win
  • PurplebloodSpread · Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-110)Win
  • KrockpicksSpread · Buffalo Bills +1.5 (-110)Loss
  • 1707662905Spread · Buffalo Bills +1.5 (-110)Loss
  • DawhizTotal · Under 47.5 (-110)Loss
  • DawhizSpread · Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-110)Win
  • SwamipicksSpread · Buffalo Bills +1.5 (-110)Loss
  • Sarah_MillerSpread · Buffalo Bills +1.5 (-110)Loss
  • JwSpread · Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-110)Win
  • FlyigglesflySpread · Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-110)Win
  • ThetotalerSpread · Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-110)Win
  • 1118240754Spread · Buffalo Bills +1.5 (-110)Loss
  • SfdanTotal · Over 47.5 (-110)Win
  • KingjamesSpread · Buffalo Bills +1.5 (-110)Loss
  • Joem81Spread · Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-110)Win
  • Tbone91Spread · Buffalo Bills +1.5 (-110)Loss
  • Randy54Spread · Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-110)Win
  • VfernandezSpread · Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-110)Win
  • DtownsendSpread · Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-110)Win
  • JeffjacksonSpread · Buffalo Bills +1.5 (-110)Loss
  • PeytoncTotal · Over 48.5 (-110)Win
  • DerekFisherSpread · Kansas City Chiefs +1.5 (-110)Win
  • DerekFisherTotal · Under 48.5 (-110)Loss
  • JoeThomasSpread · Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-110)Win
  • UncledavidSpread · Buffalo Bills +1.5 (-110)Loss
  • SfdanSpread · Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-110)Win
  • DengWinsSpread · Buffalo Bills +1.5 (-110)Loss
  • StevedTotal · Under 48.5 (-110)Loss
  • EljefeTotal · Under 48.5 (-110)Loss
  • GeauxtigersSpread · Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-110)Win
  • AveragejoeSpread · Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-110)Win
  • TgodfreySpread · Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-110)Win
  • MbcSpread · Buffalo Bills +1.5 (-110)Loss
  • RcTotal · Under 48.5 (-110)Loss
  • WarbuczSpread · Buffalo Bills +1.5 (-110)Loss
  • HopkinspicksSpread · Buffalo Bills +1.5 (-110)Loss
  • JwTotal · Under 48.5 (-110)Loss
  • DemarcusBryantSpread · Kansas City Chiefs +1.5 (-110)Win
  • BillywatersSpread · Buffalo Bills +1.5 (-110)Loss
  • JoeyBergTotal · Under 48.5 (-110)Loss
  • JoeyBergSpread · Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-110)Win
  • MlzyfbabyMoneyline · Buffalo Bills +110Loss
  • JtgarciaSpread · Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-110)Win
  • MickeytSpread · Buffalo Bills +1.5 (-110)Loss
  • Altuve27Spread · Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-110)Win
  • ThinkmakegrowSpread · Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-110)Win
  • TheBetDoctorSpread · Buffalo Bills +1.5 (-110)Loss
  • TheBetDoctorMoneyline · Buffalo Bills +110Loss
  • Sammy52Spread · Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-110)Win
  • DrfeelgoodSpread · Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-110)Win
  • Drew_WestcottSpread · Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-110)Win
  • JamescashiolaSpread · Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-110)Win
  • TweiskoffSpread · Buffalo Bills +1.5 (-110)Loss
  • AliencreationTotal · Under 48.5 (-110)Loss
  • AliencreationSpread · Buffalo Bills +1.5 (-110)Loss
  • AliencreationMoneyline · Buffalo Bills +110Loss
  • BtMoneyline · Kansas City Chiefs -130Win
  • JohnTharpSpread · Buffalo Bills +1.5 (-110)Loss
  • Mickey619Spread · Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-110)Win
  • GeorgewSpread · Buffalo Bills +1.5 (-110)Loss
  • Barry713Total · Under 48.5 (-110)Loss
  • BluedevilSpread · Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-110)Win
  • IroncladlocksSpread · Kansas City Chiefs +1.5 (-110)Win
  • Amp2224Moneyline · Buffalo Bills +110Loss
  • JtmcentireSpread · Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-110)Win
  • 72dolphinsSpread · Buffalo Bills +1.5 (-110)Loss
  • Fisher49Total · Under 48.5 (-110)Loss
  • MtgoldsteinTotal · Under 48.5 (-110)Loss
  • DrpaulTotal · Under 48.5 (-110)Loss
  • SimonsaysSpread · Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-110)Win
  • Josh720Spread · Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-110)Win
  • AdrianMariucciSpread · Buffalo Bills +1.5 (-110)Loss
  • HitmanhartTotal · Under 48.5 (-110)Loss
  • RoycejacobsSpread · Buffalo Bills +1.5 (-110)Loss
  • BadmanSpread · Buffalo Bills +1.5 (-110)Loss
  • BooksworstnightmareMoneyline · Kansas City Chiefs -130Win
  • Mr_BiggsSpread · Buffalo Bills +2 (-110)Loss