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  3. Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills
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Dolphins vs Bills Football Picks & Predictions

Game time: January 15, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET

Venue: Highmark Stadium — Orchard Park, NY

Article updated Jan 15, 8:59 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

Miami is on the road playing Buffalo at the Highmark Stadium stadium on Sunday, 1/15/2023 @ 1:00pm EST. Buffalo -11 was the opening favorite and current line is Buffalo

Game outlook

Miami is on the road playing Buffalo at the Highmark Stadium stadium on Sunday, 1/15/2023 @ 1:00pm EST. Buffalo -11 was the opening favorite and current line is Buffalo -13.5.

Miami Highlights

A total of 6,197 yards have been obtained by the Dolphins this season. They have accounted for 220 first downs as a team and have been penalized by 111 penalties totaling 881 yards. As a team, Miami has scored 30 touchdowns through the air and 12 through the rushing process. In addition to surrendering the ball 21 times (15 interceptions and six fumbles), they average 99.2 yards per game on the ground, placing them 25th in the National Football League. Miami Dolphins average 23.4 points per game when it comes to scoring in the endzone.

It is the 24th team defense in the league that allows 23.5 points per game. The opposition runs for an average of 4.1 yards per carry and 103.0 yards per carry. In 17 games, the Dolphins have surrendered 1,751 rushing yards. Passing yards are 27th in football, with the Dolphins surrendering 234.8 yards per contest and giving up a completion percentage of 66.7%. Overall, they have surrendered 1,751 rushing yards. As a team, they are allowing 337.8 yards per game, which ranks them 18th in the league. They have surrendered 27 touchdowns by air and 15 by ground.

With a power ranking of 10, Miami is ranked #10 in offense (scoring an average of 24.13 per game), #26 in defense (allowing an average of 24.56 points to be scored against them per game) and are 9-8 (9-8 ATS) this season.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Buffalo Highlights

With an average of 397.6 yards per game and an average of 139.5 yards per game on the ground, the Buffalo Bills are 2nd in the NFL. In terms of hurting your team, Buffalo's offense has accrued 709 penalty yards on 92 violations, placing it 16th in the league. On the other hand, they have tallied 212 first downs despite throwing 14 picks, allowing opponents to recover 13 fumbles, and tagging 14 fumbles. Averaging 258.1 throwing yards per game, the Bills rank 7th in the league and have compiled 4,129 yards through the air so far this year. With an average of 28.4 points per game, the Bills rank 2nd in the NFL when it comes to scoring points.

There are 17.9 points allowed by the Bills per game, which puts them 2nd in the league. They have also given up 21 passing touchdowns and 214.6 yards per game, which puts them 15th. In total, they have given up 286 points in total. The Bills defense has taken part in 997 plays, placing them 3rd in the league. In total, they have surrendered 1,673 rushing yards (104.6 yards/game) and 10 touchdowns on the ground. This season, they have committed 27 turnovers (10 fumbles and 17 interceptions).

Buffalo Bills has a power ranking of 6 and are #4 for offense (scoring an average of 28.00 per game), #2 for defense (giving up an average of 24.56 points per game) and 13-3 (8-7-1 ATS) overall. Miami went 2-1 (0-2-1 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Buffalo.

Curated Picks & Predictions

Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the score to be MIA 35.25, BUF 8.25.

61% of SportsJaw players predict Buffalo Bills to cover.

OddsShark 's prediction is Buffalo will win, cover the spread, and the total will go over.

67% picked Buffalo Bills on Covers.com

SportsJaw's ScoreCaster prediction: Dolphins 17 to Bills 34.

Staff Prediction

Bills will have no issue in this one. Crazy story they are riding at the moment and they have the whole country on their side. Their defense has allowed just 17.4 PPG in the last 5 games and Thompson, being a third stringer, I see little offense for the Dolphins. Bills win big

Pick: BUF -13.5

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NFL Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#MiamiDolphins#BuffaloBills

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Dolphins vs Bills archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Dolphins vs Bills matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Miami Dolphins+425 → +725Moved
  • Moneyline · Buffalo Bills-575 → -1,100Moved
  • Spread · Miami Dolphins+11 (-110) → +14 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Buffalo Bills-11 (-110) → -14 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over44 (-110) → 44.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under44 (-110) → 44.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Miami Dolphins
9-8 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Buffalo Bills
13-3 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-01-15T13:59:21.000Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-12-17Miami Dolphins 29 · Buffalo Bills 32
  • 2022-09-25Buffalo Bills 19 · Miami Dolphins 21
  • 2021-10-31Miami Dolphins 11 · Buffalo Bills 26
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Buffalo Bills defeated Miami Dolphins 34-31

Buffalo Bills defeated Miami Dolphins 34-31 on January 15, 2023, a 3-point decision in the series. Buffalo Bills' strongest period was the 1st quarter, when it outscored its opponent 14-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Miami Dolphins +14 (-110) spread, Miami Dolphins covered, while the 65 combined points finished over the recorded total of 44.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • ryry663Moneyline · Buffalo Bills -575Win
  • CoachpcSpread · Buffalo Bills -13.5 (-110)Loss
  • BrycetSpread · Miami Dolphins +13.5 (-110)Win
  • MaddogTotal · Under 43.5 (-110)Loss
  • DrfeelgoodSpread · Buffalo Bills -13.5 (-110)Loss
  • DrpaulSpread · Buffalo Bills -13.5 (-110)Loss
  • JamescashiolaSpread · Buffalo Bills -13.5 (-110)Loss
  • Tbone91Spread · Miami Dolphins +13.5 (-110)Win
  • TEXIERA NIEBLA GDLMoneyline · Buffalo Bills -925Win
  • Rcobbett22Spread · Buffalo Bills -13.5 (-110)Loss
  • Slugmcgurk38Moneyline · Buffalo Bills -900Win
  • BtMoneyline · Buffalo Bills -900Win
  • BtSpread · Buffalo Bills -13.5 (-110)Loss
  • BtTotal · Over 43.5 (-110)Win
  • MILKTYSONMoneyline · Buffalo Bills -900Win
  • MILKTYSONTotal · Over 43.5 (-110)
Win
  • MiamimikeSpread · Miami Dolphins +13.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · Buffalo Bills -13.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 43.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · Buffalo Bills -13.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 43.5 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · Buffalo Bills -13.5 (-110)Loss
  • JohnTharpTotal · Under 43.5 (-110)Loss
  • JohnTharpMoneyline · Buffalo Bills -925Win
  • Markds86Spread · Buffalo Bills -13.5 (-110)Loss
  • 241969622Spread · Buffalo Bills -13.5 (-110)Loss
  • MrshinySpread · Buffalo Bills -13.5 (-110)Loss
  • BabybillySpread · Buffalo Bills -13.5 (-110)Loss
  • BabybillyTotal · Over 43.5 (-110)Win
  • ryry663Spread · Buffalo Bills -13.5 (-110)Loss
  • CorSpread · Buffalo Bills -13.5 (-110)Loss
  • AliencreationSpread · Buffalo Bills -13.5 (-110)Loss
  • 2078986141Spread · Buffalo Bills -13.5 (-110)Loss
  • 2078986141Moneyline · Buffalo Bills -925Win