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  3. New Mexico St. Aggies vs Liberty Flames
Sat 6:00 PM ET
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New Mexico St.
Aggies17
0-0
versus
Liberty Flames logo
Liberty
Flames33
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Team1234T
New Mexico St. Aggies7100017
Liberty Flames71610033
NCAAF · New Mexico St. Aggies at Liberty Flames

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Liberty Flames Burst into C-USA Season With Unstoppable RPO Attack vs NMSU Aggies

Game time: September 9, 2023 at 6:00 PM ET

Venue: Williams Stadium (VA) — Lynchburg, VA

Article updated Sep 3, 6:36 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

This Saturday in Lynchburg, Virginia, the Liberty Flames and the New Mexico State Aggies open the Conference-USA season, with both teams expecting to make noise this year.

Game outlook

This Saturday in Lynchburg, Virginia, the Liberty Flames and the New Mexico State Aggies open the Conference-USA season, with both teams expecting to make noise this year. The Flames, 8-5 under Head Coach Jamey Chadwell last season, are the betting favorite opening at -13 and the current line is Liberty -10.5. The Aggies, 7-6 under Head Coach Jerry Kill in 2022, will be looking to improve on last season's success as the opening kick is scheduled for 7:00 PM EST.

Game Info

When: Saturday, 9/9/2023 @ 6:00pm EST

Where: Williams Stadium Stadium Aggies vs Flames Betting Odds Moneyline: Aggies +330 | Flames -410

Spread: Aggies +10.5 (-110) | Flames -10.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 53.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Liberty will win straight-up is 80%.

New Mexico St. Aggies

### New Mexico State Finishes Week 2 on a High Note The Aggies rebounded from an opening game loss to UMass at home to take down Western Illinois at home, 58-21. In the second half alone, they totaled 438 yards of offense with QB Diego Pavia going 16-20 for 317 yards, 2 TD's, and WR Jonathan Brady having 102 yards and 150 all-purpose yards. The Aggies defense turned it around after a poor performance in the opener, shutting down the Western Illinois attack and allowing only 32 yards rushing. Heading into C-USA play, New Mexico State is 1-1 with an offense ranked 28th in the country in scoring and defense 90th in points allowed. We win. We sing.😎 #AggieUp x #HHLP pic.twitter.com/46pIxKrs7O

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Liberty Flames Analysis

Liberty had a superb start to their season, with a 34-24 victory over Bowling Green at home, despite a 24-point second-half comeback by their opponents. The team had 389 total offensive yards, with 246 of them rushing which was led by Sophomre QB Kaidon Salter. The defense aided the win with five interceptions, the most since 1995, and two sacks. Jamey Chadwell earned his first win for the Flames. The Liberty Flames opened their season with a #60 ranking for offense, averaging 34 points per game, and #76 for defense, giving up an average of 24 points per game. They are currently 1-0 (1-0 ATS) overall. In their first victory, they were able to fight off a 24-point second-half comeback from Bowling Green and secure a 34-24 home win. Offensively, the Flames had 389 total yards and 246 rushing yards, led by Sophomore QB Kaidon Salter. Defensively, Liberty had five interceptions, the most since 1995, and two sacks. They were able to keep the game's momentum in their favor and secure the win, with rookie head coach Jamey Chadwell getting his first victory. who all guessed @billy_lucas5 ? 🙋‍♂️ https://t.co/rlNI39ixI1 pic.twitter.com/ip27JqmXAf

Liberty Poised to Capitalize on Weakened NMSU Defense in RPO Showdown

New Mexico State will face a formidable challenge in Liberty quarterback Salter, who is a dual-threat like their recent opponent UMass' Taisun Phommachanh. The Aggies lost the game to the Minutemen, with Phommachanh running for 99 yards and throwing for nearly 200. Liberty will also seek revenge from last season’s 49-14 defeat, as New Mexico State’s defense has been weakened compared to their line-up of last year. With their high-powered RPO offense, the Flames are expected to win by at least two scores. Liberty -13 is the recommended pick.

My Prediction: Aggies +10.5 (-110) to cover

Written by Simonsays Published on 09/06/2023 Category: NCAAF Picks

About the Author: Sports writer and professional handicapper. You will find that I don't release a lot of plays, but the ones he does release win at an extremely high rate, which only a handful of experts can match.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#NewMexicoStAggies#LibertyFlames

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Aggies vs Flames archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Aggies vs Flames matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · New Mexico St. Aggies+380 → +295Moved
  • Moneyline · Liberty Flames-530 → -375Moved
  • Spread · New Mexico St. Aggies+13 (-110) → +9.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Liberty Flames-13 (-110) → -9.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over55.5 (-110) → 54.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under55.5 (-110) → 54.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

New Mexico St. Aggies
0-0 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Liberty Flames
1-0 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-09-03T22:36:22.073Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-11-26New Mexico St. Aggies 49 · Liberty Flames 14
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Liberty Flames defeated New Mexico St. Aggies 33-17

Liberty Flames defeated New Mexico St. Aggies 33-17 on September 9, 2023, a 16-point decision in the series. Liberty Flames' strongest period was the 3rd quarter, when it outscored its opponent 10-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded New Mexico St. Aggies +9.5 (-110) spread, Liberty Flames covered, while the 50 combined points finished under the recorded total of 54.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • AdrianMariucciSpread · Liberty Flames -13 (-110)Win
  • RcollinsSpread · Liberty Flames +13 (-110)Win
  • JohnnywalkerTotal · Under 56.5 (-110)Win
  • StevehSpread · New Mexico St. Aggies +13 (-110)Loss
  • SimonsaysSpread · New Mexico St. Aggies +10.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoversSpread · Liberty Flames -10 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · New Mexico St. Aggies +9.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 53 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · New Mexico St. Aggies +9.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 53 (-110)Loss