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  3. Appalachian St. Mountaineers vs North Carolina Tar Heels
Sat 5:15 PM ET
Appalachian St. Mountaineers logo
Appalachian St.
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North Carolina Tar Heels logo
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Appalachian St. Mountaineers0107107034
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Appalachian St. Mountaineers Take On North Carolina Tar Heels in Predicted Close Matchup

Game time: September 9, 2023 at 5:15 PM ET

Venue: Kenan Stadium — Chapel Hill, NC

Article updated Sep 3, 6:36 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

This Saturday night, the Appalachian State Mountaineers (1-0, 0-0 Sun Belt) will be heading to Kenan Stadium to face the North Carolina Tar Heels (1-0, 0-0 ACC) at 5:15 PM.

Game outlook

This Saturday night, the Appalachian State Mountaineers (1-0, 0-0 Sun Belt) will be heading to Kenan Stadium to face the North Carolina Tar Heels (1-0, 0-0 ACC) at 5:15 PM. ET. The Mountaineers come into the matchup off a 45-24 win over Gardner-Webb, meanwhile, the Tar Heels are coming off a 31-17 win over South Carolina. This marks the third meeting between the two sides, with the previous two ending in a split. North Carolina is the betting favorite, opening at -15.5 and currently sitting at -18.5.

Game Info

When: Saturday, 9/9/2023 @ 5:15pm EST

Where: Kenan Memorial Stadium Stadium Mountaineers vs Tar Heels Betting Odds Moneyline: Mountaineers +655 | Tar Heels -1,000

Spread: Mountaineers +18.5 (-110) | Tar Heels -18.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 58 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that North Carolina will win straight-up is 91%.

Appalachian St. Mountaineers

The Mountaineers started their season off with a win and are now looking to keep the momentum going with a win over the Tar Heels. Appalachian St. put up 45 points, throwing for 244 yards and rushing for 150 yards in violation of the Ryan Burger, who was injured, and was replaced with Joey Aguilar. Joey completed 85 percent of his passes for 174 yards, and four touchdowns, subsequently being named the starter of the upcoming game due to Burger's 3-4 week absence. Nate Noel had 24 carries for 115 yards and one touchdown, and Kaedin Robinson had four catches for 64 yards and one touchdown. The defense gave up 24 points in the win and will have to do a better job defending the pass to come out with the win. Appalachian St. is looking for their second win in a row with a victory over the Tar Heels. Their offense is ranked #56, scoring an average of 45 points per game, and their defense is ranked #, allowing an average of 24 points scored against them per game. Ryan Burger was injured and replaced with Joey Aguilar who completed 85 percent of his passes for 174 yards and four touchdowns. Nate Noel had 24 carries for 115 yards and one touchdown, and Kaedin Robinson had four catches for 64 yards and one touchdown. Appalachian St. will have to do a better job defending the pass if they want to come out with the win.

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NCAAF · Appalachian St. Mountaineers at North Carolina Tar Heels

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North Carolina Tar Heels Analysis

The North Carolina Tar Heels have gotten off to a good start to the season, having won their first game against South Carolina. In the win, they scored 31 points and threw for 269 yards, while rushing for 168. Drake Maye completed 75% of his passes for two touchdowns and two interceptions. British Brooks had 15 carries for 103 yards, while Kobe Paysour had seven catches for 66 yards. North Carolina played well on defence, only giving up 17 points. However, they must improve their pass defence if they want to keep their momentum going to beat Appalachian St. They have a power ranking of 57, Offense averaging 31.0 points per game Defence giving up 17.0 points 1-0 overall (1-0 ATS) Nate McCollum (Lower Body) is questionable for the game.

North Carolina Promises to Cover the Spread, Impressive Defense Seen Against Gamecocks

North Carolina’s offensive team performed excellently in their first game, netting 31 points against a capable South Carolina team. Their balanced offensive attack kept the Gamecocks on their toes, and these strategies should yield similar success against Mountaineers' run and pass defense. The Mountaineers also played well offensively in their first game, displaying proficiency in running and passing the ball. North Carolina’s defense was particularly intimidating against the run in their last game, restricting the Gamecocks to -2 yards on 31 carries, so an effective game strategy may be to stack the box and force backup quarterback Aguilar to pass, an unlikely scenario. North Carolina is promising to cover the spread.

My Prediction: Mountaineers +18.5 (-110) to cover

Written by Johnmizner Published on 09/07/2023 Category: NCAAF Picks

About the Author: Information is what wins games, having the upper edge in ways of injuries, knowing who's starting, and the coaching philosophies are just a few key eliminates that go into each and every play I put out.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#AppalachianStMountaineers#NorthCarolinaTarHeels

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Mountaineers vs Tar Heels archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Mountaineers vs Tar Heels matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Appalachian St. Mountaineers+525 → +700Moved
  • Moneyline · North Carolina Tar Heels-1,000 → -1,100Moved
  • Spread · Appalachian St. Mountaineers+15.5 (-110) → +18.75 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · North Carolina Tar Heels-15.5 (-110) → -18.75 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over61.75 (-110) → 58 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under61.75 (-110) → 58 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Appalachian St. Mountaineers
0-0 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
North Carolina Tar Heels
1-0 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-09-03T22:36:20.274Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The Mountaineers started their season off with a win and are now looking to keep the momentum going with a win over the Tar Heels. Appalachian St. put up 45 points, throwing for 244 yards and rushing for 150 yards in violation of the Ryan Burger, who was injured, and was replaced with Joey Aguilar. Joey completed 85 percent of his passes for 174 yards, and four touchdowns, subsequently being named the starter of the upcoming game due to Burger's 3-4 week absence. Nate Noel had 24 carries for 115 yards and one touchdown, and Kaedin Robinson had four catches for 64 yards and one touchdown. The defense gave up 24 points in the win and will have to do a better job defending the pass to come out with the win. Appalachian St. is looking for their second win in a row with a victory over the Tar Heels. Their offense is ranked #56, scoring an average of 45 points per game, and their defense is ranked #, allowing an average of 24 points scored against them per game. Ryan Burger was injured and replaced with Joey Aguilar who completed 85 percent of his passes for 174 yards and four touchdowns. Nate Noel had 24 carries for 115 yards and one touchdown, and Kaedin Robinson had four catches for 64 yards and one touchdown. Appalachian St. will have to do a better job defending the pass if they want to come out with the win.

The North Carolina Tar Heels have gotten off to a good start to the season, having won their first game against South Carolina. In the win, they scored 31 points and threw for 269 yards, while rushing for 168. Drake Maye completed 75% of his passes for two touchdowns and two interceptions. British Brooks had 15 carries for 103 yards, while Kobe Paysour had seven catches for 66 yards. North Carolina played well on defence, only giving up 17 points. However, they must improve their pass defence if they want to keep their momentum going to beat Appalachian St. They have a power ranking of 57, Offense averaging 31.0 points per game Defence giving up 17.0 points 1-0 overall (1-0 ATS) Nate McCollum (Lower Body) is questionable for the game.

About the Author: Information is what wins games, having the upper edge in ways of injuries, knowing who's starting, and the coaching philosophies are just a few key eliminates that go into each and every play I put out.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-09-03North Carolina Tar Heels 63 · Appalachian St. Mountaineers 61
Final result

Matchup pick recap

North Carolina Tar Heels defeated Appalachian St. Mountaineers 40-34

North Carolina Tar Heels defeated Appalachian St. Mountaineers 40-34 on September 9, 2023, a 6-point decision in the series. North Carolina Tar Heels' strongest period was the overtime, when it outscored its opponent 6-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Appalachian St. Mountaineers +18.75 (-110) spread, Appalachian St. Mountaineers covered, while the 74 combined points finished over the recorded total of 58.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • JtphamTotal · Over 61.75 (-110)Win
  • AdrianMariucciTotal · Over 61.75 (-110)Win
  • AdrianMariucciSpread · North Carolina Tar Heels -15.5 (-110)Loss
  • RcollinsSpread · North Carolina Tar Heels -15.5 (-110)Loss
  • JohnmiznerSpread · Appalachian St. Mountaineers +18.5 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · North Carolina Tar Heels -19.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioSpread · Appalachian St. Mountaineers +19.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 58 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · Appalachian St. Mountaineers +19.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 58 (-110)Win