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  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. Nevada Wolfpack vs Fresno St. Bulldogs
Sat 10:30 PM ET
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Fresno St. Bulldogs logo
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Nevada Wolfpack00099
Fresno St. Bulldogs776727
NCAAF · Nevada Wolfpack at Fresno St. Bulldogs

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Fresno State Ready to Retain Mountain West Title: Bulldogs Take on Nevada in Rivalry Showdown

Game time: September 30, 2023 at 10:30 PM ET

Venue: Bulldog Stadium (CA) — Fresno, CA

Article updated Sep 24, 6:36 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

This Saturday evening, Mountain West rivalry contest will see the Bulldogs and Wolf Pack battle for an exciting game. The Bulldogs are coming off a successful two seasons and

Game outlook

This Saturday evening, Mountain West rivalry contest will see the Bulldogs and Wolf Pack battle for an exciting game. The Bulldogs are coming off a successful two seasons and are looking to set the tone for 2023, while Nevada has had a difficult start to the year and are looking to win their first conference game. Last year, Fresno St. dominated the matchup and they will aim to replicate this result in the rematch at their home stadium.

Game Info

When: Saturday, 9/30/2023 @ 10:30pm EST

Where: Valley Children's Stadium Stadium Wolf Pack vs Bulldogs Betting Odds Moneyline: Wolfpack +1,114 | Bulldogs -2,500

Spread: Wolfpack +24.5 (-110) | Bulldogs -24.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 49.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Fresno St. will win straight-up is 96%.

Nevada Wolfpack

Nevada had one of the better programs in the Mountain West but a coaching change has them struggling to find success again. They come into the weekend without any injuries to worry about and their quarterback, Brendon Lewis, has seen the majority of the snaps and has the ability to be successful on the ground and through the air. The defense has struggled, ranking in the bottom handful of teams when it comes to scoring defense, with only one interception on the year, and Emany Johnson (25 tackles) leading the way. Power ranking of 129, and ranked 124 in offense (scoring an average of 17.00 per game) and #129 in defense (allowing an average of 41.25 points to be scored against them per game), with a 0-4 overall record (2-2 ATS).

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Fresno St. Bulldogs Analysis

Fresno State are the defending Mountain West champs and have seen success this season, dropping only three points against Eastern Washington. The team is monitoring one injury of Damien Moore (undisclosed), but have seen success without him. The Bulldogs have seen success through the air, sitting at 14th nationally in passing yards per game. They rank 23rd nationally in total defense, sitting in the top 50 in most other categories. Fresno St. have a power ranking of 9 and are #21 for offense and #39 for defense . Fresno St. has gone 4-0 (3-1 ATS) so far while Nevada is 2-1 (1-2 ATS).

Fresno State Poised to Decimate Nevada in Best Possible Scenario

Fresno State, boasting a 4-0 record and a home-field advantage, will likely decimate Nevada this weekend. The Wolf Pack has been among the weakest teams in the country, and their shortcomings will be no match for the Bulldogs. Armed with a prolific passing offense, Fresno State will turn possessions into points rapidly, building an enormous lead early that Nevada will struggle to negate. Nevada, unable to keep up or stop the Bulldogs, will become increasingly prone to mistakes.

Written by Jtpham Published on 09/28/2023 Category: NCAAF Picks

About the Author: I apply several statistical and situational models to find the best probable winners with the highest percentage odds of winning and that offers the best chance of making a profit.

SportsJawGame Predictions
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Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
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#NevadaWolfpack#FresnoStBulldogs

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Wolfpack vs Bulldogs archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Wolfpack vs Bulldogs matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Nevada Wolfpack+1,400 → +1,200Moved
  • Moneyline · Fresno St. Bulldogs-5,000 → -3,000Moved
  • Spread · Nevada Wolfpack+24 (-110) → +25.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Fresno St. Bulldogs-24 (-110) → -25.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over54.5 (-110) → 50.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under54.5 (-110) → 50.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Nevada Wolfpack
0-3 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 3-6-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Fresno St. Bulldogs
3-0 matchup record · 8-2-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-09-24T22:36:46.622Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Nevada had one of the better programs in the Mountain West but a coaching change has them struggling to find success again. They come into the weekend without any injuries to worry about and their quarterback, Brendon Lewis, has seen the majority of the snaps and has the ability to be successful on the ground and through the air. The defense has struggled, ranking in the bottom handful of teams when it comes to scoring defense, with only one interception on the year, and Emany Johnson (25 tackles) leading the way. Power ranking of 129, and ranked 124 in offense (scoring an average of 17.00 per game) and #129 in defense (allowing an average of 41.25 points to be scored against them per game), with a 0-4 overall record (2-2 ATS).

Fresno State are the defending Mountain West champs and have seen success this season, dropping only three points against Eastern Washington. The team is monitoring one injury of Damien Moore (undisclosed), but have seen success without him. The Bulldogs have seen success through the air, sitting at 14th nationally in passing yards per game. They rank 23rd nationally in total defense, sitting in the top 50 in most other categories. Fresno St. have a power ranking of 9 and are #21 for offense and #39 for defense . Fresno St. has gone 4-0 (3-1 ATS) so far while Nevada is 2-1 (1-2 ATS).

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-11-19Fresno St. Bulldogs 41 · Nevada Wolfpack 14
  • 2021-10-23Nevada Wolfpack 32 · Fresno St. Bulldogs 34
  • 2020-12-05Fresno St. Bulldogs 26 · Nevada Wolfpack 37
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Fresno St. Bulldogs defeated Nevada Wolfpack 27-9

Fresno St. Bulldogs defeated Nevada Wolfpack 27-9 on September 30, 2023, a 18-point decision in the series. Fresno St. Bulldogs' strongest period was the 1st quarter, when it outscored its opponent 7-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Nevada Wolfpack +25.5 (-110) spread, Nevada Wolfpack covered, while the 36 combined points finished under the recorded total of 50.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • TphamTotal · Over 54.5 (-110)Loss
  • MackintoshTotal · Under 54.5 (-110)Win
  • DrpaulSpread · Nevada Wolfpack -24 (-110)Win
  • BadmanTotal · Over 53.5 (-110)Loss
  • Teddy718Total · Under 53.5 (-110)Win
  • JtmcentireSpread · Nevada Wolfpack +24.5 (-110)Win
  • Fisher49Spread · Fresno St. Bulldogs -24.5 (-110)Loss
  • FlyigglesflySpread · Nevada Wolfpack +24.5 (-110)Win
  • JohnTharpMoneyline · Fresno St. Bulldogs -3,000Win
  • CoolioSpread · Fresno St. Bulldogs -25.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 50.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · Fresno St. Bulldogs -25.5 (-110)
Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 50.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoversSpread · Fresno St. Bulldogs -25.5 (-110)Loss