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  1. Home
  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. San Diego St. Aztecs vs Air Force Falcons
Sat 8:00 PM ET
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NCAAF · San Diego St. Aztecs at Air Force Falcons

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Air Force to Extend Winning Streak Against San Diego State in Saturday's Mountain West Showdown

Game time: September 30, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET

Venue: Falcon Stadium — USAF Academy, CO

Article updated Sep 24, 6:36 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The game total is 43.5 and they meet in Saturday night's Mountain West Conference showdown at Falcon Stadium in USAF Academy, Colorado. San Diego State and Air Force both

Game outlook

The game total is 43.5 and they meet in Saturday night's Mountain West Conference showdown at Falcon Stadium in USAF Academy, Colorado. San Diego State and Air Force both have a 1-1 record in the conference and the Falcons look to extend their winning streak after beating the Aztecs 13-3 as 2-point road favorites in 2022.

Game Info

When: Saturday, 9/30/2023 @ 8:00pm EST

Where: Falcon Stadium Stadium Aztecs vs Falcons Betting Odds Moneyline: Aztecs +315 | Falcons -400

Spread: Aztecs +10.5 (-110) | Falcons -10.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 43 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Air Force will win straight-up is 80%.

San Diego St. Aztecs

The San Diego State Aztecs suffered a 34-31 home loss to the Boise State Broncos, their third consecutive loss: The Aztecs outgained the Broncos 439-403 in total yards, but lost the turnover battle 2-0. Senior quarterback Jalen Mayden led the charge for SDSU in Week 4, tallying 241 passing yards and 85 rushing yards and a TD on 16 carries. Junior running back Jaylon Armstead had ten totes for 35 yards and a couple of scores. Freshman wideout Baylin Brooks posted five receptions for 117 yards and a TD. San Diego State is ranked 106 in offense (averaging 21.20 points per game), 88 in defense (allowing an average of 27.20 points to be scored against them), with a power ranking of 58 and a record of 2-3 (3-2 ATS).

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Air Force Falcons Analysis

Air Force Falcons have 9 consecutive victories dating back to the beginning of the season. Air Force came out victorious with a 45-20 win against San Jose State Spartans, covering a 6.5-point spread. Air Force had 400 rushing yards on 73 carries, while holding the Spartans scoreless in the second half. Senior fullback Emmanuel Michel had 33 carries for 148 yards and three touchdowns. Senior running back John Lee Eldridge III had ten carries for 102 yards and two scores, and senior signal-caller Zac Larrier went 2-of-2 for 28 yards and 11 carries for 39 yards. Air Force ranks #43 for offense (34.8 points per game) and #19 for defense (12.8 points per game). San Diego St. went 1-2 (2-1 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Air Force.

Air Force Falcons Look to Capitalize on SDSU's Defensive Struggles in Upcoming Matchup

The recent defensive performance of Air Force has been impressive and the Falcons appear to be in a favorable position against the Aztecs. SDSU's defensive struggles in recent weeks have been evident and their lackluster performance is likely to continue in this matchup. Air Force is 8-3 Against The Spread in their last 11 match-ups against the Aztecs, six of which they have covered the spread. The Falcons could certainly stand to benefit from a successful ground game, while the Aztecs have yet to show the offensive capabilities necessary to seriously challenge Air Force.

Written by Gsimms Published on 09/27/2023 Category: NCAAF Picks

About the Author: I use a private handicapping system that I've created and adjusted over the last 20 years. My betting philosophy is discipline and bankroll management.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#SanDiegoStAztecs#AirForceFalcons

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Aztecs vs Falcons archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Aztecs vs Falcons matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · San Diego St. Aztecs+310 → +315Moved
  • Moneyline · Air Force Falcons-405 → -420Moved
  • Spread · San Diego St. Aztecs+10.5 (-110) → +10.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Spread · Air Force Falcons-10.5 (-110) → -10.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Over43 (-110) → 43.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under43 (-110) → 43.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

San Diego St. Aztecs
0-3 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Air Force Falcons
3-0 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-09-24T22:36:42.054Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-11-26Air Force Falcons 13 · San Diego St. Aztecs 3
  • 2021-10-23San Diego St. Aztecs 20 · Air Force Falcons 14
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Air Force Falcons defeated San Diego St. Aztecs 49-10

Air Force Falcons defeated San Diego St. Aztecs 49-10 on September 30, 2023, a 39-point decision in the series. Air Force Falcons' strongest period was the 3rd quarter, when it outscored its opponent 21-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded San Diego St. Aztecs +10.5 (-110) spread, Air Force Falcons covered, while the 59 combined points finished over the recorded total of 43.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • TphamSpread · Air Force Falcons -10.5 (-110)Win
  • JohnmiznerSpread · Air Force Falcons +10.5 (-110)Win
  • SfdanSpread · Air Force Falcons -10.5 (-110)Win
  • Roderick806Spread · Air Force Falcons +10.5 (-110)Win
  • DoclocksSpread · San Diego St. Aztecs +10.5 (-110)Loss
  • HitmanhartSpread · Air Force Falcons -10.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · San Diego St. Aztecs +10.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 42.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · San Diego St. Aztecs +10.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 42.5 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · Air Force Falcons -10.5 (-110)Win