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  3. Illinois Fighting Illini vs Purdue Boilermakers
Sat 3:30 PM ET
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Illinois Fighting Illini3100619
Purdue Boilermakers61021744
NCAAF · Illinois Fighting Illini at Purdue Boilermakers

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Big Ten West Showdown: Illinois Fighting Illini to Take on Struggling Purdue Boilermakers

Game time: September 30, 2023 at 3:30 PM ET

Venue: Ross-Ade Stadium — West Lafayette, IN

Article updated Sep 24, 6:36 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Illinois Fighting Illini will face the Purdue Boilermakers on Saturday at 3:30 pm Eastern in a Big Ten West showdown. Purdue opens as the betting favorite at -1.5 and is

Game outlook

The Illinois Fighting Illini will face the Purdue Boilermakers on Saturday at 3:30 pm Eastern in a Big Ten West showdown. Purdue opens as the betting favorite at -1.5 and is looking to extend their three-game winning streak against Illinois, having won 31-24 in the last matchup in 2022. Both teams are searching for their first conference win of 2023.

Game Info

When: Saturday, 9/30/2023 @ 3:30pm EST

Where: Ross-Ade Stadium Stadium Fighting Illini vs Boilermakers Betting Odds Moneyline: Fighting Illini -107 | Boilermakers -113

Spread: Fighting Illini +0.5 (-110) | Boilermakers -0.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 53 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Purdue will win straight-up is 53%.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Illinois stopped a two-game skid on Saturday against Florida Atlantic Owls with a 23-17 victory at home. Luke Altmyer threw for 303 yards with no interceptions, and Aidan Laughery scored from three yards away to give Illinois the lead for good. Illinois had 510 total yards of offense and was able to hold their opponent to 353 total yards. Illinois has an overall power ranking of 53, and is #104 in offense (averaging 22.00 points per game), #106 in defense (allowing an average of 30.67 points per game), and are 2-2 (0-4 ATS) this season. Running back Reggie Love III is listed as probable for Saturday's game with an ankle injury, and two defensive backs are out for the season due to injuries. Illini INT 👐 📺: @BigTenNetwork pic.twitter.com/eckRbA4ALY

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Purdue Boilermakers Analysis

• Purdue Boilermakers lost their third home game of the season, 38-17, to the Wisconsin Badgers (3-1 SU, 1-0 in Big Ten West) • Purdue was held to just a field goal in the first half and rallied for two rushing scores in the third quarter • Totals: 194 rushing yards, 202 passing yards, 209 yards and four TDs allowed to the Badgers, and 174 yards passing to Wisconsin QB Tanner Mordecai • Power ranking: #94 overall, #93 for offense (24.00 points/game average), #114 for defense (32.25 points/game average) • Record: 1-3 (1-3 ATS) • Key injuries: WR Andrew Sowinski, TE Paul Piferi both questionable PURDUE TAKES IT RIGHT BACK! 🫴 @BotrosAlisandro x @BoilerFootball pic.twitter.com/9I6nOI0Kzw

Illinois Set to Defy the Odds Against Struggling Purdue in 2023 Showdown

In 2023, Purdue has not seen any success, either straight up or against the spread. The Boilermakers have lost seven consecutive spread games at Ross-Ade Stadium, included a 38-17 defeat from Wisconsin last week. The defense is struggling to stop the run, allowing an average of 150 yards in the two prior seasons and ceded four touchdowns to the Badgers. Illinois, ranked in the top half of the league for rushing yards in 2022, will look to utilize the run to keep the game under control. Over their last five road games, the Fighting Illini have posted a 4-1 spread record. The overall trends here suggest Illinois will come out victorious. Take the Fighting Illini.

Written by Steveh Published on 09/27/2023 Category: NCAAF Picks

About the Author: Steve Hirshfeld has been involved in the Las Vegas Sports Investment Industry for more than 20 years and consistently beats the book.

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#IllinoisFightingIllini#PurdueBoilermakers

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Fighting Illini vs Boilermakers archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Fighting Illini vs Boilermakers matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Illinois Fighting Illini-107 → -112Moved
  • Moneyline · Purdue Boilermakers-114 → -108Moved
  • Spread · Illinois Fighting Illini+1.5 (-110) → -1 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Purdue Boilermakers-1.5 (-110) → +1 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over53.5 (-110) → 53.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under53.5 (-110) → 53.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Illinois Fighting Illini
2-2 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Purdue Boilermakers
1-3 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-09-24T22:36:28.899Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Illinois stopped a two-game skid on Saturday against Florida Atlantic Owls with a 23-17 victory at home. Luke Altmyer threw for 303 yards with no interceptions, and Aidan Laughery scored from three yards away to give Illinois the lead for good. Illinois had 510 total yards of offense and was able to hold their opponent to 353 total yards. Illinois has an overall power ranking of 53, and is #104 in offense (averaging 22.00 points per game), #106 in defense (allowing an average of 30.67 points per game), and are 2-2 (0-4 ATS) this season. Running back Reggie Love III is listed as probable for Saturday's game with an ankle injury, and two defensive backs are out for the season due to injuries. Illini INT 👐 📺: @BigTenNetwork pic.twitter.com/eckRbA4ALY

• Purdue Boilermakers lost their third home game of the season, 38-17, to the Wisconsin Badgers (3-1 SU, 1-0 in Big Ten West) • Purdue was held to just a field goal in the first half and rallied for two rushing scores in the third quarter • Totals: 194 rushing yards, 202 passing yards, 209 yards and four TDs allowed to the Badgers, and 174 yards passing to Wisconsin QB Tanner Mordecai • Power ranking: #94 overall, #93 for offense (24.00 points/game average), #114 for defense (32.25 points/game average) • Record: 1-3 (1-3 ATS) • Key injuries: WR Andrew Sowinski, TE Paul Piferi both questionable PURDUE TAKES IT RIGHT BACK! 🫴 @BotrosAlisandro x @BoilerFootball pic.twitter.com/9I6nOI0Kzw

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-11-12Purdue Boilermakers 31 · Illinois Fighting Illini 24
  • 2021-09-25Illinois Fighting Illini 9 · Purdue Boilermakers 13
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Purdue Boilermakers defeated Illinois Fighting Illini 44-19

Purdue Boilermakers defeated Illinois Fighting Illini 44-19 on September 30, 2023, a 25-point decision in the series. Purdue Boilermakers' strongest period was the 3rd quarter, when it outscored its opponent 21-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Illinois Fighting Illini -1 (-110) spread, Purdue Boilermakers covered, while the 63 combined points finished over the recorded total of 53.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • OddssharkTotal · Over 53.5 (-110)Win
  • DemarcusBryantTotal · Under 53.5 (-110)Loss
  • NutinbutlocksTotal · Over 53.5 (-110)Win
  • CovergirlTotal · Under 53.5 (-110)Loss
  • BjenkinsSpread · Purdue Boilermakers -2 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · Purdue Boilermakers +1 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · Illinois Fighting Illini -1 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Under 53.75 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · Illinois Fighting Illini -1 (-110)Loss
  • 2387960509Total · Under 53.75 (-110)Loss