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  3. UMass Minutemen vs Miami-OH RedHawks
Sat 3:30 PM ET
UMass Minutemen logo
UMass
Minutemen20
0-3
versus
Miami-OH RedHawks logo
Miami-OH
RedHawks23
0-3
Final/OT
Team12345T
UMass Minutemen73010020
Miami-OH RedHawks7373323
NCAAF · UMass Minutemen at Miami-OH RedHawks

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UMass Minutemen Face Uphill Battle Against Miami (OH) RedHawks, Favored by 18 Points

Game time: September 28, 2024 at 3:30 PM ET

Venue: Yager Stadium — Oxford, OH

Article updated Sep 26, 6:07 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

In Week 5 of the college football season, the Massachusetts Minutemen will face off against the Miami (OH) RedHawks. Both teams have had a rough start to the season, with

Game outlook

In Week 5 of the college football season, the Massachusetts Minutemen will face off against the Miami (OH) RedHawks. Both teams have had a rough start to the season, with UMass at 1-3 and Miami (OH) at 0-3. The RedHawks are heavily favored to win this matchup, with oddsmakers placing them at -17.5. It will be interesting to see how the game unfolds and if UMass can defy the odds.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Minutemen +613 | RedHawks -901

Spread: Minutemen +17.5 (-110) | RedHawks -17.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 45 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Miami-OH will win straight-up is 90%.

UMass Minutemen

UMass Minutemen have struggled since turning Independent in 2016. After a disappointing 3-9 season in 2023, they currently stand at 1-3 this year. Despite quarterback Taisun Phommachanh's decent performance, the team's offense has not been effective, averaging only 3 yards per carry. Their defense is particularly weak, allowing an average of 33 points per game. With a power ranking of 127, UMass ranks 129 in offense and 118 in defense. They have a 1-3 record this season.

Miami-OH RedHawks Analysis

The Miami of OH Redhawks have had a challenging start to the season, facing strong opponents in their first three games resulting in an 0-3 record. Despite high expectations following a successful 2023 season, the team is looking to bounce back at home against UMass. Quarterback Brett Gabbert, returning from injury, has struggled to find his rhythm with middling stats so far, completing 55% of his passes for 685 yards with 2 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. The running game has also been ineffective, with leading rushers averaging just 3.7 and 3.2 yards per game. Defensively, the Redhawks are allowing 22 points per game, with difficulty defending against the run. Currently ranked 66th overall, the team ranks 133rd in offense and 59th in defense, with a 0-3 record. UMass has a recent winning record against Miami-OH, going 3-0 in their last three matchups.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

UMass Minutemen Favored by 18 Points Against Miami (OH) Despite Uncertainties

The UMass Minutemen are projected to cover an 18-point spread against Miami (OH) this Saturday. Despite UMass's poor performance this season, it is uncertain whether Miami's struggles can be attributed to their schedule. It is noteworthy that UMass has not scored more than 18 points in a game this season. Brett Gabert's performance may improve against UMass following his injury, but the extent of his improvement is unknown. Taisun Phommachanh has shown promise for UMass, allowing them to potentially compete against Miami. While UMass only narrowly defeated an FCS school, they have not lost by more than 18 points in a game this season.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

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#UMassMinutemen#MiamiOHRedHawks

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Minutemen vs RedHawks archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Minutemen vs RedHawks matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · UMass Minutemen+550 → +520Moved
  • Moneyline · Miami-OH RedHawks-820 → -723Moved
  • Spread · UMass Minutemen+17 (-110) → +16 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Miami-OH RedHawks-17 (-110) → -16 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over46.5 (-110) → 44.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under46.5 (-110) → 44.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

UMass Minutemen
0-3 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Miami-OH RedHawks
0-3 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 1-9-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-09-26T22:07:01.986Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The Miami of OH Redhawks have had a challenging start to the season, facing strong opponents in their first three games resulting in an 0-3 record. Despite high expectations following a successful 2023 season, the team is looking to bounce back at home against UMass. Quarterback Brett Gabbert, returning from injury, has struggled to find his rhythm with middling stats so far, completing 55% of his passes for 685 yards with 2 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. The running game has also been ineffective, with leading rushers averaging just 3.7 and 3.2 yards per game. Defensively, the Redhawks are allowing 22 points per game, with difficulty defending against the run. Currently ranked 66th overall, the team ranks 133rd in offense and 59th in defense, with a 0-3 record. UMass has a recent winning record against Miami-OH, going 3-0 in their last three matchups.

The UMass Minutemen are projected to cover an 18-point spread against Miami (OH) this Saturday. Despite UMass's poor performance this season, it is uncertain whether Miami's struggles can be attributed to their schedule. It is noteworthy that UMass has not scored more than 18 points in a game this season. Brett Gabert's performance may improve against UMass following his injury, but the extent of his improvement is unknown. Taisun Phommachanh has shown promise for UMass, allowing them to potentially compete against Miami. While UMass only narrowly defeated an FCS school, they have not lost by more than 18 points in a game this season.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-09-09Miami-OH RedHawks 41 · UMass Minutemen 28
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Miami-OH RedHawks defeated UMass Minutemen 23-20

Miami-OH RedHawks defeated UMass Minutemen 23-20 on September 28, 2024, a 3-point decision in the series. Miami-OH RedHawks' strongest period was the 3rd quarter, when it outscored its opponent 7-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded UMass Minutemen +16 (-110) spread, UMass Minutemen covered, while the 43 combined points finished under the recorded total of 44.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • DoclocksTotal · Under 46.5 (-110)Win
  • DpxsportsSpread · UMass Minutemen +18 (-110)Win
  • DpxsportsTotal · Over 47 (-110)Loss
  • BrycetSpread · Miami-OH RedHawks -18 (-110)Loss
  • MbcSpread · UMass Minutemen +18 (-110)Win
  • SwamipicksSpread · UMass Minutemen +18 (-110)Win
  • JohnmiznerSpread · UMass Minutemen +18 (-110)Win
  • WarbuczSpread · Miami-OH RedHawks -17 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioSpread · UMass Minutemen +16.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · UMass Minutemen +16.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 44.5 (-110)Loss