TCU Horned Frogs vs
Kansas JayhawksPredictions & Preview

Kansas Jayhawks Favored by 1.5 Points as They Face TCU Horned Frogs in BIG12 Matchup at Arrowhead Stadium - A Close Game Expected Despite Shaky Starts for Both Teams

The upcoming BIG12 football game between TCU Horned Frogs and Kansas Jayhawks at Arrowhead Stadium is generating interest despite both teams having a shaky start this season. Both teams are 0-4 ATS, but one will break this trend in this game with Kansas as the slight favorite at -1.5. TCU has historically dominated the series, winning 9 of the last 10 matchups. The game is scheduled for 2:30 PM CST on Saturday, September 28. Kansas opened as the betting favorite at -2 and the line has remained unchanged.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Horned Frogs +108 | Jayhawks -128
• Spread: Horned Frogs +2 (-110) | Jayhawks -2 (-110)
• Total: Over/Under 59 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Kansas will win straight-up is 56%.

TCU vs Kansas Stats

TCU Horned Frogs

The TCU Horned Frogs have had a mixed start to their season, currently holding a 2-2 record. They secured victories in their season opener against Stanford and LIU, but suffered close losses to BIG12 opponent UCF and the SMU Mustangs. Coach Sonny Dykes, who led the team to the National Championship game in 2022, was ejected for the first time in his coaching career during the game against SMU. The team's offense is pass-heavy, with quarterback Josh Hoover impressively completing 68.5% of his passes and throwing 11 touchdowns. The O-line has been strong, limiting sacks on Hoover to just 2 this season. The running game has also contributed, with starting back Cam Cook scoring 5 touchdowns. The team has a strong 3rd down conversion rate of 56.52%, a trademark of Sonny Dykes' TCU teams. However, the placekicker has struggled, making just 5 of 8 field goals. On defense, the team is allowing 325 yards per game, with the majority coming from rushing yards. Despite this, the defense has performed well against the pass, ranking 25th in yards allowed and holding a 27th ranking in completion rate. With a power ranking of 56, TCU is ranked 26 in offense and 64 in defense, with an average of 37.67 points scored per game and 20.67 points allowed. Overall, TCU is 2-2 this season, but has yet to cover the spread in any games.

Kansas Jayhawks Analysis

The Kansas Jayhawks have had a challenging start to the season, falling out of favor with a 1-3 record. Despite this, all three losses were close games against quality opponents, showing promise for improvement. The team's offense is producing well with a strong rushing attack, but struggles with QB accuracy. The upcoming schedule remains tough, including a matchup against ASU. Key players Devil Neal and Daniel Hishaw Jr. have been instrumental on offense, with Hishaw Jr. currently questionable due to injury. The team's power ranking is 39, and they rank #77 for offense and #43 for defense. In their last 3 matchups against TCU, TCU went 0-3.

Kansas Jayhawks Favorable Matchup Against TCU Defense Expected in Close Contest

The Kansas Jayhawks have faced challenges this season due to errors and a lack of confidence in quarterback Jalon Daniels' decision-making abilities. As a result, there has been heavy reliance on the rushing game. This strategy may work in their favor against the TCU defense, which has shown weakness in stopping the run, as seen in recent games against UCF and SMU.

Kansas' defense has performed well this season, ranking 33rd nationally despite facing tough opponents. The team's ability to limit third-down conversions could prove crucial in this matchup. On the other hand, TCU has struggled defensively, particularly in allowing a high third-down conversion rate.

Although TCU has historically dominated this series, the 2024 season has presented challenges for them. However, this upcoming game is expected to be closely contested, with Kansas potentially coming out victorious. Betting on the Jayhawks to win by a narrow margin may be a wise choice.

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