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  1. Home
  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. Navy Midshipmen vs UAB Blazers
Fri 7:00 PM ET
Navy Midshipmen logo
Navy
Midshipmen20
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UAB Blazers logo
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Navy Midshipmen0137020
UAB Blazers0170724
NCAAF · Navy Midshipmen at UAB Blazers

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Navy Midshipmen vs UAB Blazers Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: September 25, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET

Venue: Protective Stadium — Birmingham, AL

Article updated Sep 23, 3:23 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

UAB’s recent struggles against the run give Navy an opening, but both teams bring enough uncertainty to leave the available prices without a supported betting edge.

Matchup overview

Navy’s option offense presents the central challenge when the Midshipmen visit UAB in American Conference football on September 25, 2026. The Blazers allowed 225 rushing yards in their September 19 loss at Louisiana, an uncomfortable result before this particular opponent. That comparison deserves attention, but it does not settle the game. UAB also delivered a scoreless defensive second half, while Navy’s most recent appearance required a comeback from a 38-7 deficit. The question is whether either team can turn its better stretches into a complete performance.

At a glance

Kickoff: Friday, September 25, 2026, at 6:00 p.m. CT / 7:00 p.m. ET.

Venue: Protective Stadium in Birmingham, Alabama.

Television: ESPN, with Anish Shroff, Andre Ware and Morgan Uber assigned.

Records: Navy is 1-1 overall and 0-1 in the American. UAB is 1-2 overall and 0-0 in conference play.

SportsJaw moneyline: Navy -275; UAB +225.

SportsJaw spread: Navy -7 (-110); UAB +7 (-110). SportsJaw total: over 51.5 (-105); under 51.5 (-115).

Navy Midshipmen outlook

Navy returns from a bye following its September 12 loss at Florida Atlantic. The final score, 38-30, captures the late recovery more readily than the trouble preceding it. Navy trailed 38-7 in the third quarter before backup quarterback Jackson Gutierrez helped generate the comeback. That rally is encouraging evidence of a response within one game, but it should not obscure the size of the deficit or become a promise of similar late production Friday.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Gutierrez’s involvement is relevant personnel context without establishing who will start against UAB. His contribution helps explain why the final margin was eight points. It does not, by itself, establish a quarterback change or resolve how Navy will avoid another difficult opening. The loss also ended a five-game overall winning streak dating to 2025, leaving Navy seeking its first conference victory of this season.

The opponent offers a plausible opening for Navy’s option offense. UAB has specifically identified assignment discipline as a priority, with linebacker Muaaz Byard describing a challenge lasting 60 to 70 plays. Louisiana’s rushing production makes that concern understandable. Still, one opponent’s success does not establish how efficiently Navy will run or how often it will score.

Navy leads the series 3-0. In the 2025 meeting at Annapolis, a 24-24 halftime tie became a 38-24 Navy victory. That finish is useful historical context, rather than proof that this year’s team will again control the second half.

UAB Blazers outlook

UAB enters its conference opener needing more sustained offense than it produced in the 21-14 loss at Louisiana. The Blazers finished with 218 total yards, divided between 144 passing and 74 rushing. They managed 11 first downs and converted 2 of 11 third downs. Those figures describe an offense that struggled to extend possessions, a concern regardless of the next opponent’s style.

Quarterback Burton Ryder completed 15 passes for 144 yards, with no touchdown passes and one interception. Running back Rod Robinson identified better quarterback protection as necessary for developing passing rhythm. That assessment establishes protection as a team concern, but it does not identify a particular blocker or quantify the pressure Ryder faced. UAB also incurred 85 penalty yards, another area where cleaner execution could help.

The scoring breakdown matters. Chris Burge supplied a touchdown with a 13-yard fumble return, while Nate Rogers scored on an 11-yard fourth-quarter run. UAB forced two turnovers, but its offense produced only one touchdown. Coach Alex Mortensen acknowledged that the offensive performance fell below the program’s expectations.

The defense supplied a more encouraging second-half account. According to Mortensen, UAB held Louisiana scoreless and allowed 108 yards after halftime. That improvement belongs alongside the full-game rushing total, rather than being erased by it. The result supports a measured conclusion: UAB showed it could limit Louisiana for an extended stretch, but must now meet the different demands of Navy’s option.

Key matchup factors

Preparation time is one meaningful difference. Navy had a bye after September 12, while UAB played September 19 before this Friday kickoff. That gives Navy a longer interval between games. It does not establish better health, a specific preparation advantage or the success of any adjustments, so the calendar alone should carry limited weight in a betting decision.

The venue also changes the comparison with last year. UAB hosts this meeting after playing the 2025 game in Annapolis. Under Brian Newberry, Navy is 8-7 in true road games. That record offers relevant context for the trip without establishing either a decisive road strength or a reason to dismiss the favorite.

Last year’s opening provides another complication. Mortensen recalled UAB completing its first seven passes and scoring touchdowns on its first three drives, with a fumble and rain delay contributing to the reversal. Those details show why the eventual 14-point margin is an incomplete description of that contest. Last year’s weather interruption has no predictive role in Friday’s conditions.

Prediction

Pass. Navy’s option against a defense that just allowed 225 rushing yards is the strongest reason to consider the favorite. The counterargument is substantial: UAB improved defensively after halftime at Louisiana, and Navy needed a major recovery merely to make its own latest loss close. Neither result supplies a dependable basis for forecasting a comfortable Navy victory.

At Navy -250 moneyline, a plausible route to winning is insufficient without a supported estimate of how often it succeeds. Navy -7 (-110) similarly requires more confidence in the margin than this comparison provides. UAB +210 moneyline and UAB +7 (-110) offer different potential returns, but the Blazers’ offensive difficulties prevent treating either as an established value.

The total also remains a pass at over 51.5 (-105) or under 51.5 (-115). These recent games contain conflicting scoring signals rather than a clear direction. There is no projected winner or score, and confidence in any directional lean is low. The matchup merits analysis without requiring a wager.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass

Sources

  • Naval Academy AthleticsNavy Football Back in Action Friday Night Under the Lights at UAB
  • UAB AthleticsBlazers Turn the Page to Navy After Louisiana Loss
  • UAB AthleticsBlazers Drop 21-14 Decision at Louisiana
#NavyMidshipmen#UABBlazers

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Midshipmen vs Blazers game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Midshipmen vs Blazers matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Navy Midshipmen-530 → -250Moved
  • Moneyline · UAB Blazers+380 → +210Moved
  • Spread · Navy Midshipmen-11.5 (-112) → -6.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · UAB Blazers+11.5 (-109) → +6.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over54.5 (-110) → 50.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under54.5 (-110) → 50.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Navy Midshipmen
1-1 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
UAB Blazers
1-2 matchup record · 3-6-1 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-09-21T10:09:26.354Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2025-09-06UAB Blazers 24 · Navy Midshipmen 38
  • 2024-09-28Navy Midshipmen 41 · UAB Blazers 18
  • 2023-11-11UAB Blazers 6 · Navy Midshipmen 31
Final result

Matchup pick recap

UAB Blazers defeated Navy Midshipmen 24-20

UAB Blazers defeated Navy Midshipmen 24-20 on September 25, 2026, a 4-point decision in the series. UAB Blazers' strongest period was the 4th quarter, when it outscored its opponent 7-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Navy Midshipmen -6.5 (-110) spread, UAB Blazers covered, while the 44 combined points finished under the recorded total of 50.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable
  • SpreadPassPass
  • TotalPassPass

Tipster picks

  • CodexSpread · Navy Midshipmen -7 (-110)Loss
  • MiamimikeSpread · UAB Blazers +7 (-110)Win
  • BookieslayerTotal · Under 51.5 (-113)Win
  • Steve512Total · Under 51.5 (-113)Win
  • MrpinkSpread · UAB Blazers -7 (-110)Win
  • WarbuczSpread · UAB Blazers +7 (-110)Win
  • JaredkuntzSpread · UAB Blazers +7 (-110)Win
  • JeffjacksonSpread · UAB Blazers +7 (-110)Win
  • PremierPicksSpread · Navy Midshipmen -7 (-110)Loss
  • PeytoncSpread · UAB Blazers -7 (-110)Win
  • PeytoncTotal · Under 51.5 (-113)Win
  • Sarah_MillerSpread · Navy Midshipmen -7 (-110)Loss
  • Drew_WestcottSpread · UAB Blazers +7 (-110)Win
  • RcollinsSpread · UAB Blazers +7 (-110)Win
  • Jw
Spread · UAB Blazers -7 (-110)
Win
  • TgodfreySpread · UAB Blazers +7 (-110)Win
  • BjenkinsSpread · Navy Midshipmen -7 (-110)Loss
  • MackintoshTotal · Over 51.5 (-106)Loss
  • FlyigglesflySpread · Navy Midshipmen -7 (-110)Loss
  • Randy54Spread · Navy Midshipmen -7 (-110)Loss
  • MikeVargasSpread · UAB Blazers +7 (-110)Win
  • TweiskoffSpread · Navy Midshipmen -7 (-110)Loss
  • GeorgewTotal · Under 51.5 (-113)Win
  • GeorgewSpread · Navy Midshipmen -7 (-110)Loss
  • IroncladlocksTotal · Over 51.5 (-106)Loss
  • SimonsaysTotal · Under 51.5 (-113)Win
  • MbcTotal · Under 51.5 (-113)Win
  • SfdanSpread · Navy Midshipmen -7 (-110)Loss
  • Roderick806Spread · UAB Blazers +7 (-110)Win
  • EmcSpread · UAB Blazers +7 (-110)Win
  • JoeyBergSpread · UAB Blazers +7 (-110)Win
  • KrockpicksTotal · Over 51.5 (-106)Loss
  • Josh720Total · Over 51.5 (-106)Loss
  • 1707662905Total · Under 51.5 (-113)Win
  • TjwinsTotal · Over 51.5 (-106)Loss
  • RoycejacobsSpread · UAB Blazers +7 (-110)Win
  • ThinkmakegrowSpread · Navy Midshipmen -7 (-110)Loss
  • 1735203231Spread · Navy Midshipmen -7 (-110)Loss
  • AveragejoeSpread · Navy Midshipmen -7 (-110)Loss
  • Novacek84Spread · Navy Midshipmen -7 (-110)Loss
  • Mickey619Total · Over 51.5 (-105)Loss
  • DrpaulSpread · UAB Blazers -7 (-110)Win
  • ThetotalerSpread · Navy Midshipmen -7 (-110)Loss
  • MtgoldsteinSpread · Navy Midshipmen -7 (-110)Loss
  • ThehitmanSpread · Navy Midshipmen -7 (-110)Loss
  • BillywatersSpread · Navy Midshipmen -7 (-110)Loss
  • DtownsendTotal · Under 51.5 (-115)Win
  • PurplebloodSpread · Navy Midshipmen -6.5 (-110)Loss
  • MrpinkTotal · Over 51.5 (-105)Loss
  • HopkinspicksSpread · UAB Blazers +6.5 (-110)Win
  • Kentc_Spread · UAB Blazers +6.5 (-110)Win
  • Leadpipe_LocksSpread · UAB Blazers +6.5 (-110)Win
  • Randy54Total · Under 51.5 (-115)Win
  • StevehSpread · Navy Midshipmen -6.5 (-110)Loss
  • EmcTotal · Under 51.5 (-115)Win
  • Josh720Spread · Navy Midshipmen -6.5 (-110)Loss
  • 1707662905Spread · UAB Blazers +6.5 (-110)Win
  • IrishblueSpread · Navy Midshipmen -6.5 (-110)Loss
  • Philly267Spread · Navy Midshipmen -6.5 (-110)Loss
  • BadmanTotal · Over 51.5 (-105)Loss
  • SJ_3d017c20c1ba2c5fSpread · Navy Midshipmen -6.5 (-110)Loss