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  1. Home
  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. Kentucky Wildcats vs Vanderbilt Commodores
Sat 12:00 PM ET
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Kentucky
Wildcats45
2-0
versus
Vanderbilt Commodores logo
Vanderbilt
Commodores28
0-2-1
Final
Team1234T
Kentucky Wildcats21371445
Vanderbilt Commodores01031528
NCAAF · Kentucky Wildcats at Vanderbilt Commodores

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Kentucky Look to Avenge Last Season's Loss When Taking on Vanderbilt at FirstBank Stadium

Game time: September 23, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET

Venue: FirstBank Stadium — Nashville, TN

Article updated Sep 17, 6:36 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

On Saturday, 12PM ET, Kentucky, who have achieved three straight 3-0 seasons for the third time in school history, look to continue their unbeaten streak against Vanderbilt

Game outlook

On Saturday, 12PM ET, Kentucky, who have achieved three straight 3-0 seasons for the third time in school history, look to continue their unbeaten streak against Vanderbilt at FirstBank Stadium in Nashville. Last season, the Commodores came out on top in a major upset, completing a 24-21 win away from home when they were 17-point underdogs. Kentucky are the betting favorites at -13.5, and the current line is -13.75.

Game Info

When: Saturday, 9/23/2023 @ 12:00pm EST

Where: FirstBank Stadium Stadium Wildcats vs Commodores Betting Odds Moneyline: Wildcats -550 | Commodores +410

Spread: Wildcats -13.75 (-110) | Commodores +13.75 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 50.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Kentucky will win straight-up is 85%.

Kentucky Wildcats

Kentucky opened with a 2-0 record, having beaten Ball State (44-14), FCS Eastern Kentucky (28-17) and Akron (35-3). Quarterback Devin Leary has thrown for 855 yards, eight TDs and three picks in the first three games. Robinson leads in receptions with 14 catches for 260 yards and three TDs. Davis leads in rushing with 236 yards and three TDs on 7.2 yards per carry. Defensively, Kentucky ranks 27th overall in yards allowed (281.7ypg). On offense, they are averaging 407 yards per game (58th). Power Ranking 72, with an average score of 36.00 (42 on offense) and 15.50 (37 on defense) and a 3-0 (2-1 ATS) record.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Vanderbilt Commodores Analysis

Vanderbilt opened the season with a 35-28 road win over Hawaii and a 47-13 win against FCS Alabama A&M. They followed this with a 36-20 loss at Wake Forest and a 40-37 loss to UNLV. Vanderbilt are dealing with a boatload of injuries moving the depth chart around. QB A.J. Swann is completing 57.1% of his passes with 11 TDs and four picks. Defensively, Vandy are allowing 389 yards per game (100th), and 147.5 rushing yards (89th). Their offensive ranking is #53 (scoring an average of 34.00 per game) and defensive ranking is #85 (giving up an average of 25.67 points per game). Vanderbilt Commodores have a power ranking of 126 and are 2-2 (0-4 ATS).

Kentucky Look to Make Most of Vanderbilt's Weaknesses with Help from Ray Davis

Kentucky looks to redeem themselves after last season’s difficult loss at home. Former opposition player Ray Davis is now with the Wildcats and should contribute positively in the upcoming game against Vanderbilt. Leary is expected to make the most of the Commodores’ substandard pass defence, which could be compromised due to injury. Kentucky’s wide receivers have been flying under the radar but are of the same high calibre of other SEC teams. The team have yet to reach their full offensive potential, which they may demonstrate against Vanderbilt.

Written by Gsimms Published on 09/20/2023 Category: NCAAF Picks

About the Author: I use a private handicapping system that I've created and adjusted over the last 20 years. My betting philosophy is discipline and bankroll management.

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Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
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#KentuckyWildcats#VanderbiltCommodores

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Wildcats vs Commodores archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Wildcats vs Commodores matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Kentucky Wildcats-608 → -500Moved
  • Moneyline · Vanderbilt Commodores+433 → +393Moved
  • Spread · Kentucky Wildcats-13.5 (-110) → -13 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Vanderbilt Commodores+13.5 (-110) → +13 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over51.5 (-110) → 50.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under51.5 (-110) → 50.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Kentucky Wildcats
2-0 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 1-9-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Vanderbilt Commodores
0-2-1 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-09-17T22:36:13.889Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Vanderbilt opened the season with a 35-28 road win over Hawaii and a 47-13 win against FCS Alabama A&M. They followed this with a 36-20 loss at Wake Forest and a 40-37 loss to UNLV. Vanderbilt are dealing with a boatload of injuries moving the depth chart around. QB A.J. Swann is completing 57.1% of his passes with 11 TDs and four picks. Defensively, Vandy are allowing 389 yards per game (100th), and 147.5 rushing yards (89th). Their offensive ranking is #53 (scoring an average of 34.00 per game) and defensive ranking is #85 (giving up an average of 25.67 points per game). Vanderbilt Commodores have a power ranking of 126 and are 2-2 (0-4 ATS).

Kentucky looks to redeem themselves after last season’s difficult loss at home. Former opposition player Ray Davis is now with the Wildcats and should contribute positively in the upcoming game against Vanderbilt. Leary is expected to make the most of the Commodores’ substandard pass defence, which could be compromised due to injury. Kentucky’s wide receivers have been flying under the radar but are of the same high calibre of other SEC teams. The team have yet to reach their full offensive potential, which they may demonstrate against Vanderbilt.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-11-12Vanderbilt Commodores 24 · Kentucky Wildcats 21
  • 2021-11-13Kentucky Wildcats 34 · Vanderbilt Commodores 17
  • 2020-11-14Vanderbilt Commodores 35 · Kentucky Wildcats 38
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Kentucky Wildcats defeated Vanderbilt Commodores 45-28

Kentucky Wildcats defeated Vanderbilt Commodores 45-28 on September 23, 2023, a 17-point decision in the series. Kentucky Wildcats' strongest period was the 1st quarter, when it outscored its opponent 21-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Kentucky Wildcats -13 (-110) spread, Kentucky Wildcats covered, while the 73 combined points finished over the recorded total of 50.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • DerekFisherSpread · Vanderbilt Commodores +14 (-110)Loss
  • MikehuffTotal · Over 50.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 49.5 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · Kentucky Wildcats -13.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · Kentucky Wildcats -13 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Under 50.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · Kentucky Wildcats -13 (-110)Win