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  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. Bowling Green Falcons vs Texas A&M Aggies
Sat 7:30 PM ET
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Aggies26
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Bowling Green Falcons0314320
Texas A&M Aggies767626
NCAAF · Bowling Green Falcons at Texas A&M Aggies

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Bowling Green Falcons vs Texas A&M Aggies Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: September 21, 2024 at 7:30 PM ET

Venue: Kyle Field — College Station, TX

Article updated Sep 19, 6:14 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

No. 25 Texas A&M is coming off a solid 33-20 win over the Florida Gators, with redshirt freshman Marcel Reed stepping up at quarterback in place of the injured Connor

Game outlook

No. 25 Texas A&M is coming off a solid 33-20 win over the Florida Gators, with redshirt freshman Marcel Reed stepping up at quarterback in place of the injured Connor Weigman. The Aggies dominated time of possession and forced three interceptions on defense. They now face the 1-1 Bowling Green Falcons, who are coming off a close loss to Penn State. Veteran QB Connor Bazelak had a solid performance for Bowling Green, but their lackluster run game may pose a challenge against the Aggies. Texas A&M is the betting favorite at -22.5 in this matchup.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Falcons +1,000 | Aggies -2,000

Spread: Falcons +22.5 (-110) | Aggies -22.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 52.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Texas A&M will win straight-up is 95%.

Bowling Green Falcons

Mid-American Conference (MAC) football teams have made a name for themselves this season with surprising victories over powerhouse programs. After Northern Illinois and Toledo secured impressive wins, Bowling Green looks to continue the trend as they face off against No. 25 Texas A&M. BGSU head coach Scot Loeffler acknowledges the challenge ahead, recognizing the size, strength, and athleticism of the SEC program. Despite their underdog status, Bowling Green has proven their ability to compete with power conference opponents in the past. Players like senior wide receiver Malcolm Johnson Jr. and cornerback Jacorey Benjamin believe in the potential of MAC programs to succeed against larger schools. Although Bowling Green showed promise with a halftime lead against Penn State, they ultimately fell short as the Nittany Lions' defense tightened in the second half. Bowling Green is currently ranked 51 in offense, 94 in defense, and has a 0-1 record this season.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Texas A&M Aggies Analysis

Following the Texas A&M Aggies' victory over Florida, head coach Mike Elko discussed the quarterback situation, with freshman Marcel Reed impressing as a substitute for injured starter Conner Weigman. While Elko praised Reed's performance, he did not confirm whether Reed would start in the next game against Bowling Green, pending Weigman's recovery. The team's defense showed improvement in run defense but struggled in the secondary, despite intercepting three passes. Texas A&M ranks 62nd in offense and 54th in defense, with a 2-1 overall record. Bowling Green has not won against Texas A&M in their last three matchups.

Bowling Green's Experienced Squad Poised to Upset Texas A&M Despite Underdog Status

Bowling Green enters this matchup with a wealth of experience, particularly led by senior quarterback Connor Bazelak, who has played at high levels in the SEC and Big Ten. Bazelak isn't just a seasoned player, but also a proven leader with victories over Power Five opponents and a close game against Michigan last season, where they trailed only 14-6 at halftime. Despite being considered underdogs, Bowling Green has consistently shown their ability to compete with stronger teams, as demonstrated by their upsets over Minnesota and competitive performances against Power Five programs in 2021. The MAC conference, known for creating chaos in college football, has already seen some major upsets this season, highlighting the strength of the league. On the opposing side, Texas A&M is facing challenges with a young and relatively untested quarterback situation. Considering Bowling Green's experience and track record against tough opponents, a +23 spread appears to be a solid bet.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
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Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Falcons vs Aggies archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Falcons vs Aggies matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Bowling Green Falcons+1,030 → +875Moved
  • Moneyline · Texas A&M Aggies-2,050 → -1,600Moved
  • Spread · Bowling Green Falcons+23 (-110) → +20.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Texas A&M Aggies-23 (-110) → -20.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over52.5 (-110) → 50.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under52.5 (-110) → 50.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Bowling Green Falcons
0-1 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Texas A&M Aggies
1-1 matchup record · 3-6-1 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-09-19T22:14:52.027Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No. 25 Texas A&M is coming off a solid 33-20 win over the Florida Gators, with redshirt freshman Marcel Reed stepping up at quarterback in place of the injured Connor Weigman. The Aggies dominated time of possession and forced three interceptions on defense. They now face the 1-1 Bowling Green Falcons, who are coming off a close loss to Penn State. Veteran QB Connor Bazelak had a solid performance for Bowling Green, but their lackluster run game may pose a challenge against the Aggies. Texas A&M is the betting favorite at -22.5 in this matchup.

Following the Texas A&M Aggies' victory over Florida, head coach Mike Elko discussed the quarterback situation, with freshman Marcel Reed impressing as a substitute for injured starter Conner Weigman. While Elko praised Reed's performance, he did not confirm whether Reed would start in the next game against Bowling Green, pending Weigman's recovery. The team's defense showed improvement in run defense but struggled in the secondary, despite intercepting three passes. Texas A&M ranks 62nd in offense and 54th in defense, with a 2-1 overall record. Bowling Green has not won against Texas A&M in their last three matchups.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Texas A&M Aggies defeated Bowling Green Falcons 26-20

Texas A&M Aggies defeated Bowling Green Falcons 26-20 on September 21, 2024, a 6-point decision in the series. Texas A&M Aggies' strongest period was the 1st quarter, when it outscored its opponent 7-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Bowling Green Falcons +20.5 (-110) spread, Bowling Green Falcons covered, while the 46 combined points finished under the recorded total of 50.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • WarbuczSpread · Texas A&M Aggies -23 (-110)Loss
  • Fisher49Spread · Bowling Green Falcons +23 (-110)Win
  • HitmanhartSpread · Texas A&M Aggies -23 (-110)Loss
  • IrishblueSpread · Bowling Green Falcons +23 (-110)Win
  • Novacek84Total · Over 52.5 (-110)Loss
  • DoclocksSpread · Texas A&M Aggies -22.75 (-110)Loss
  • Sarah_MillerSpread · Texas A&M Aggies -22.5 (-110)Loss
  • AliencreationSpread · Bowling Green Falcons +22.5 (-110)Win
  • JohnTharpMoneyline · Texas A&M Aggies -2,000Win
  • JohnTharpSpread · Texas A&M Aggies -22.5 (-110)Loss