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  3. Texas State Bobcats vs Baylor Bears
Sat 7:00 PM ET
Texas State Bobcats logo
Texas State
Bobcats42
0-0
versus
Baylor Bears logo
Baylor
Bears31
0-0
Final
Team1234T
Texas State Bobcats14147742
Baylor Bears6711731
NCAAF · Texas State Bobcats at Baylor Bears

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Texas State Bobcats Make Statement at McLane Stadium With Upset Over Baylor Bears

Game time: September 2, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET

Venue: McLane Stadium — Waco, TX

Article updated Aug 19, 2:36 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

On Saturday night, the Texas State Bobcats will travel to McLane Stadium in Waco, Texas to face the Baylor Bears in an in-state battle. The Bobcats come from the Sun-Belt

Game outlook

On Saturday night, the Texas State Bobcats will travel to McLane Stadium in Waco, Texas to face the Baylor Bears in an in-state battle. The Bobcats come from the Sun-Belt Conference and rounded out their last season with a 0-0 record. The Bears went 6-7 last season and finished with a loss in the Armed Forces Bowl to Air Force. These two teams met last season with Baylor winning 42-7, and the Bears are currently seen as 27.5 point favorites. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 EST and will be broadcast on the Big 12 Network.

Game Info

When: Saturday, 9/2/2023 @ 7:00pm EST

Where: McLane Stadium Stadium Bobcats vs Bears Betting Odds Moneyline: Bobcats +1,510 | Bears -7,500

Spread: Bobcats +27.5 (-110) | Bears -27.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 61 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Baylor will win straight-up is 99%.

Texas State Bobcats

Texas State University has been an FBS team since 2012, yet never been invited to a bowl game. In order to try to achieve this, Coach GJ Kinne was brought in, taking over last season after a successful campaign at FCS school Immaculate World. Unfortunately, the Bobcats only managed a 4-win season. This season, multiple transfers have been acquired, including QBs TJ Finley (previously at LSU and Auburn) and Malik Hornsby (transferred from Arkansas). Offensively, RB Lincoln Pare is back after rushing for 772 yards and 5 TDs and WR Ashtyn Hawkins had 587 yards and 7 TDs in 2022. Defense-wise ,Texas State must improve drastically, ending last season 94th in passing defense, allowing 244.9 passing yards per game. Safety Tory Spears (77 tackles, 1 interception, 3 pass deflections) is the main returner on this side of the ball. Power ranked at #102, they are currently 0-0 (0-0 ATS). #TakeBackTexas23 Signing Class 👀 #EatEmUp #SunBeltFB pic.twitter.com/AoCPiJwmIK

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Baylor Bears Analysis

Quarterback Blake Shapen returns for Baylor with a strong supporting cast in what should be an improved offensive line. The tandem of Richard Reese and Dominic Richardson provide an elite 1-2 punch for Baylor's backfield. Monaray Baldwin is the top returning receiver, posting 565 yards and 4 touchdowns last season. Baylor's defense has underwent significant changes but the addition of Mike Smith from Liberty and Gabe Hall (6'6 and 296 pounds) will be key pieces to their success. Baylor has a #39 power ranking for offense, #69 for defense, and 0-0 record overall. Baylor has gone 3-0 in their last three matchups against Texas State. Feels good to say 🗣 IT'S GAME WEEK #SicEm | #PersonOverPlayer pic.twitter.com/fAPxSAOaK1

Baylor Ready to Extend Winning Streak Against Newcomers Texas State

Last season, Baylor and Texas State met in Waco, where Baylor won by 35. This season, Baylor boasts an improved offensive line, returning quarterback, and a powerful running back duo. Conversely, Texas State has brought in a great number of new players, half coming from Immaculate World and the other half being transfer students. A starting quarterback has been yet to be named, and they’ll face the toughest defense they have all season. After successfully defeating Albany 69-10 in their season opener, it is fair to anticipate a high margin win in their next game. Consequently, taking Baylor to win and cover is the likely option.

My Prediction: Bobcats +27.5 (-110) to cover

Written by Brycet Published on 08/30/2023 Category: NCAAF Picks

About the Author: Real deal Holyfield - I spend countless hours each day and night handicapping the games to find a select few that will put the odds in your favor. College Hoops has always been my jam, so follow me this season for NCAAB weekly winners. #LFG

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#TexasStateBobcats#BaylorBears

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Bobcats vs Bears archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Bobcats vs Bears matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Texas State Bobcats+1,281 → +1,275Moved
  • Moneyline · Baylor Bears-5,000 → -3,705Moved
  • Spread · Texas State Bobcats+26 (-110) → +26.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Baylor Bears-26 (-110) → -26.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over58 (-110) → 59 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under58 (-110) → 59 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Texas State Bobcats
0-0 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Baylor Bears
0-0 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 8-2-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-08-19T06:36:14.448Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-09-17Texas State Bobcats 7 · Baylor Bears 42
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Texas State Bobcats defeated Baylor Bears 42-31

Texas State Bobcats defeated Baylor Bears 42-31 on September 2, 2023, a 11-point decision in the series. Texas State Bobcats' strongest period was the 1st quarter, when it outscored its opponent 14-6. Against SportsJaw's recorded Texas State Bobcats +26.5 (-110) spread, Texas State Bobcats covered, while the 73 combined points finished over the recorded total of 59.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • JtmcentireSpread · Texas State Bobcats +26 (-110)Win
  • MookiebetsTotal · Under 59 (-110)Loss
  • IrishblueSpread · Texas State Bobcats +26 (-110)Win
  • Hustle$Spread · Baylor Bears -26 (-110)Loss
  • DemarcusBryantSpread · Texas State Bobcats +26 (-110)Win
  • Roderick806Spread · Baylor Bears -26 (-110)Loss
  • EmcSpread · Baylor Bears -26 (-110)Loss
  • BluedevilTotal · Under 59 (-110)Loss
  • BrycetSpread · Texas State Bobcats +27.5 (-110)Win
  • Novacek84Total · Under 60 (-110)Loss
  • JaredkuntzSpread · Texas State Bobcats -27.5 (-110)Win
  • DoclocksSpread · Texas State Bobcats +27.5 (-110)Win
  • HitmanhartSpread · Baylor Bears -27.5 (-110)Loss
  • MickeytSpread · Baylor Bears -27.5 (-110)Loss
  • CovergirlSpread · Texas State Bobcats -27.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · Texas State Bobcats +27 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Under 59 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · Texas State Bobcats +27 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · Baylor Bears -27 (-110)Loss