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  1. Home
  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. Kansas St. Wildcats vs TCU Horned Frogs
Sat 12:00 PM ET
Kansas St. Wildcats logo
Kansas St.
Wildcats31
9-3
versus
TCU Horned Frogs logo
TCU
Horned Frogs28
11-0
Final/OT
Team12345T
Kansas St. Wildcats7777331
TCU Horned Frogs73711028

Kansas St. vs TCU Football Predictions & Best Bets

Game time: December 3, 2022 at 12:00 PM ET

Venue: AT&T Stadium — Arlington, TX

Article updated Dec 1, 3:12 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

Kansas St. is on the road playing TCU at the AT&T Stadium stadium on Saturday, 12/3/2022 @ 12:00pm EST. TCU -2.5 was the opening favorite and line hasn't

Game outlook

Kansas St. is on the road playing TCU at the AT&T Stadium stadium on Saturday, 12/3/2022 @ 12:00pm EST. TCU -2.5 was the opening favorite and line hasn't moved.

Down in the Lone Star State, it's the Conference 12 Championship Game between two ranked foes battling it out for the right to be crowned the conference's premier team. Taking on the #4 TCU Horned Frogs on Saturday afternoon, the #12 Kansas State Wildcats are the "road" team. Last Saturday, Kansas State beat Kansas 47-27 at home to win the title by 11.5 points. The Horned Frogs beat Iowa State 62-14 at home to remain unbeaten and cover the 9.5-point spread. In their meeting on October 22, the Horned Frogs won 38-28 as 3.5-point favorites at home in the all-time series between the schools.

A conference title is on the line for the Kansas State Wildcats

As Kansas State defeated Kansas to advance to the Conference 12 title game, they won their third straight game. The Wildcats entered this game 9-3 overall and 7-2 in the Mountain 12. With a 23-7 lead after the opening quarter, Kansas State never trailed the Jayhawks by more than nine points the rest of the way. It led 443-307 in total offense, forced two turnovers while committing one, and recorded a safety. First downs were even at 20, but time of possession was 31:00 to 29:00 in favor of the Wildcats.

As a team, the Wildcats average 211.5 yards per game in passing offense while they average 210 yards per game in rushing offense. Kansas State ranks 34th in scoring offense with an average of 33.4 points per game, while they rank 14th in scoring defense with 19.4 points surrendered per game. Martinez has completed 118 of 184 passes for 1,261 yards, six touchdowns, and one interception. He has rushed for 615 yards and scored 10 touchdowns. During his career, Howard has completed 83 of 132 passes for 1,224 yards with 13 touchdowns and two interceptions, while rushing for 48 yards and two touchdowns.

NCAAF · Kansas St. Wildcats at TCU Horned Frogs

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A CFP berth is the goal for the unbeaten TCU Horned Frogs

Sonny Dykes' first season at TCU ended with a rout of Iowa State, which ranked in the top 20 in scoring defense entering the game. With a record of 12-0, the Horned Frogs finished the regular season 9-0 in conference play. To qualify for the College Football Playoff, they must win here. TCU dominated Iowa State early, jumping to a 24-0 lead in the first quarter, then cruised the rest of the way. The Frogs led 34-7 at the half and never let Iowa State get closer than that. During the game, TCU held a 377-330 advantage in total offense, won the first down battle 21-19 and controlled the clock from 33:52 to 26:08. The Horned Frogs forced three turnovers, including a pair of pick-sixes, without committing a turnover.

In the FBS, TCU comes into this game ranked 25th in passing offense with 274.8 yards per game. In addition, they rank 27th in rushing offense with 198.5 yards per game. By scoring 41.3 points per game, the Horned Frogs are 4th in the nation in scoring offense, while allowing 24.5 points per game in scoring defense. As a passer, Max Duggan is 221 of 332 for 3,070 yards with 29 touchdowns and three interceptions while adding 294 yards and five touchdowns on the ground. As a result of a sprained knee suffered in the opener against Colorado, Chandler Morris is 18 of 26 for 145 yards plus a touchdown. He also has 20 yards on the ground. During garbage time, Sam Jackson (five of five, 63 yards, 64 rushing yards, two touchdowns) and Josh Hoover (one of one, two yards) saw action.

The teams met in late October, with TCU winning by a 10-point margin. During that game, the Horned Frogs threw for 280 yards and ran for 215 yards and two touchdowns. TCU forced two turnovers while not making any mistakes. Over the final 38:09, the defense blanked Kansas State, helping the team rally from a 28-10 deficit. The Wildcats' Martinez was knocked out early in that game, forcing Howard to start. Howard has improved Kansas State's passing game, but Martinez's ability to create with his legs has waned. TCU has Duggan in spades when it comes to that. Dykes' team is battle tested, motivated and determined to reach the CFP. As a result of their play, they emerged victorious.

Kansas St. Highlights

With a power ranking of 19, Kansas St. is ranked #38 in offense (scoring an average of 32.18 per game), #14 in defense (allowing an average of 18.73 points to be scored against them per game) and are 9-3 (8-3-1 ATS) this season.

TCU Highlights

TCU Horned Frogs has a power ranking of 12 and are #8 for offense (scoring an average of 39.45 per game), #59 for defense (giving up an average of 18.73 points per game) and 12-0 (9-2-1 ATS) overall. Kansas St. went 1-2 (1-2 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against TCU.

Curated Picks & Predictions

From the lines set by Sportsbooks, they predict the score to be KAN.ST 33.5, TCU 28.5. 58% of SportsJaw predicts TCU Horned Frogs to cover. OddsShark predicts Texas Christian will win, kansas state will cover, and the total will go over.

67% picked TCU Horned Frogs on Covers.com

Our ScoreCaster predicts Wildcats 34 to Horned Frogs 42.

Staff Prediction

Our prediction: Wildcats 34 to Horned Frogs 42.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAF Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#KansasStWildcats#TCUHornedFrogs

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Wildcats vs Horned Frogs archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Wildcats vs Horned Frogs matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Kansas St. Wildcats+110 → -118Moved
  • Moneyline · TCU Horned Frogs-130 → -101Moved
  • Spread · Kansas St. Wildcats+2.5 (-110) → -1 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · TCU Horned Frogs-2.5 (-110) → +1 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over61.5 (-110) → 60.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under61.5 (-110) → 60.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Kansas St. Wildcats
9-3 matchup record · 6-3-1 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
TCU Horned Frogs
11-0 matchup record · 7-2-1 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2022-12-01T08:12:46.000Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-10-22Kansas St. Wildcats 28 · TCU Horned Frogs 38
  • 2021-10-30TCU Horned Frogs 12 · Kansas St. Wildcats 31
  • 2020-10-10Kansas St. Wildcats 21 · TCU Horned Frogs 14
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Kansas St. Wildcats defeated TCU Horned Frogs 31-28

Kansas St. Wildcats defeated TCU Horned Frogs 31-28 on December 3, 2022, a 3-point decision in the series. Kansas St. Wildcats' strongest period was the 2nd quarter, when it outscored its opponent 7-3. Against SportsJaw's recorded Kansas St. Wildcats -1 (-110) spread, Kansas St. Wildcats covered, while the 59 combined points finished under the recorded total of 60.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • Mr_BiggsSpread · Kansas St. Wildcats -1 (-110)Win
  • AliencreationMoneyline · TCU Horned Frogs -101Loss
  • AliencreationSpread · TCU Horned Frogs +1 (-110)Loss
  • MOSTDOPE94 Spread · TCU Horned Frogs +1 (-110)Loss
  • MOSTDOPE94 Moneyline · TCU Horned Frogs -101Loss
  • CoversSpread · TCU Horned Frogs +1 (-110)Loss
  • DtownsendTotal · Over 60.5 (-110)Loss
  • MackintoshSpread · Kansas St. Wildcats -1 (-110)Win
  • FlyigglesflySpread · Kansas St. Wildcats -1 (-110)Win
  • GustavosintoSpread · Kansas St. Wildcats -1 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 60.5 (-110)Loss
  • MaddogSpread · Kansas St. Wildcats -1 (-110)Win
  • JoeyBergSpread · Kansas St. Wildcats -1 (-110)Win
  • VfernandezSpread · Kansas St. Wildcats -1 (-110)Win
  • SimonsaysSpread · Kansas St. Wildcats -1 (-110)Win
  • LiquidbananaTotal · Over 60.5 (-110)Loss
  • LiquidbananaMoneyline · TCU Horned Frogs -101Loss
  • MambaNBASpread · TCU Horned Frogs +1 (-110)Loss
  • MrshinyMoneyline · TCU Horned Frogs -101Loss
  • MrshinySpread · TCU Horned Frogs +1 (-110)Loss
  • CorMoneyline · Kansas St. Wildcats -118Win
  • CoolioSpread · TCU Horned Frogs +1 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Under 60.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · TCU Horned Frogs +1 (-110)Loss
  • XyoojsterSpread · TCU Horned Frogs +1 (-110)Loss
  • XyoojsterMoneyline · TCU Horned Frogs -101Loss
  • Amp2224Moneyline · TCU Horned Frogs -101Loss
  • Amp2223Moneyline · TCU Horned Frogs -101Loss