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  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. Fresno St. Bulldogs vs Air Force Falcons
Sat 9:45 PM ET
Fresno St. Bulldogs logo
Fresno St.
Bulldogs28
4-4
versus
Air Force Falcons logo
Air Force
Falcons36
0-7
Final
Team1234T
Fresno St. Bulldogs7140728
Air Force Falcons71091036
NCAAF · Fresno St. Bulldogs at Air Force Falcons

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Fresno St. Bulldogs vs Air Force Falcons Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: November 9, 2024 at 9:45 PM ET

Venue: Falcon Stadium — USAF Academy, CO

Article updated Nov 7, 6:28 PM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Fresno State Bulldogs (5-4) will be facing off against the Air Force Falcons (1-7) in a Mountain West Conference matchup at Falcon Stadium on Saturday, November 9, 2024.

Game outlook

The Fresno State Bulldogs (5-4) will be facing off against the Air Force Falcons (1-7) in a Mountain West Conference matchup at Falcon Stadium on Saturday, November 9, 2024. Fresno State is coming off a close loss to Hawaii, while Air Force suffered a defeat against Army. The game will be broadcast on Fox Sports 1 at 9:45 p.m. ET. Fresno State is favored to win, with a current line of -10.5, as both teams aim to bounce back from recent losses. The Bulldogs will look to leverage their stronger record, while the Falcons hope to use home-field advantage to turn their season around.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Bulldogs -400 | Falcons +315

Spread: Bulldogs -10.5 (-110) | Falcons +10.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 41 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Fresno St. will win straight-up is 80%.

Fresno St. Bulldogs

In a closely contested game, Fresno State suffered a heartbreaking 21-20 loss to Hawai'i at Valley Children's Stadium. Despite a strong start, the Bulldogs struggled offensively and were outgained by their opponents. Junior linebacker Phoenix Jackson stood out with key turnovers, but penalties and a crucial pass interference call in the closing moments allowed Hawai'i to secure the win with a last-minute touchdown. Looking ahead to their upcoming game against Air Force, Fresno State quarterback Mikey Keene leads the offense with impressive passing stats, while key players like Mac Dalea and Elijah Gilliam contribute to the team's offensive and defensive efforts. Several injuries could impact the team, but Fresno State aims to secure a victory to become bowl eligible for the fourth consecutive season. In terms of power rankings, Fresno State currently sits at 37, with rankings of 62 in offense, 70 in defense, and holds a record of 5-4 for the season.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Air Force Falcons Analysis

The Air Force football team recently suffered a 20-3 loss to Army in the Commander-in-Chief's trophy competition, despite a solid defensive effort that limited Army's rushing yards. The Falcons struggled offensively, only scoring once and failing to score in the second half. Quarterback Quentin Hayes led the team with 61 rushing yards and completed seven of 14 passes. Air Force currently holds a 1-7 overall record and is at the bottom of the Mountain West standings. Despite these challenges, the team is aiming to leverage past success against Fresno State to turn their season around. In terms of power rankings, Air Force is ranked #115 and #131 for offense, averaging 15.29 points per game, and #86 for defense, giving up an average of 27.43 points per game. Fresno State has won their last three matchups against Air Force, with a 0-7 record.

Air Force Struggles Continue on Both Sides of the Ball

This season, Air Force has encountered significant challenges on the field, particularly evident in their offensive and defensive statistics. Offensively, they are averaging just 12.7 points and 291.3 yards per game, placing them among the lowest in college football rankings. Defensively, they struggle to contain opponents, allowing 207 rushing yards per game and conceding 8.8 yards per pass play. The Falcons' performance against the spread has been lackluster, with a 1-7 straight-up record and a poor 2-7 ATS record at home since the 2023 season. While they managed to cover the spread last week, betting on them in this upcoming matchup with Fresno State may not be advisable. With Fresno State's strong passing attack, solid defense, and balanced performance ATS this season, they are a more promising choice for wagering in this Mountain West Conference battle. Their potential to exploit Air Force's weaknesses suggests a difficult challenge for the Falcons on Saturday.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#FresnoStBulldogs#AirForceFalcons

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Bulldogs vs Falcons archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Bulldogs vs Falcons matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Fresno St. Bulldogs-420 → -355Moved
  • Moneyline · Air Force Falcons+320 → +285Moved
  • Spread · Fresno St. Bulldogs-10 (-110) → -9.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Air Force Falcons+10 (-110) → +9.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over41 (-110) → 40.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under41 (-110) → 40.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Fresno St. Bulldogs
4-4 matchup record · 5-4-1 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Air Force Falcons
0-7 matchup record · 2-8-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-11-07T23:28:53.135Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

In a closely contested game, Fresno State suffered a heartbreaking 21-20 loss to Hawai'i at Valley Children's Stadium. Despite a strong start, the Bulldogs struggled offensively and were outgained by their opponents. Junior linebacker Phoenix Jackson stood out with key turnovers, but penalties and a crucial pass interference call in the closing moments allowed Hawai'i to secure the win with a last-minute touchdown. Looking ahead to their upcoming game against Air Force, Fresno State quarterback Mikey Keene leads the offense with impressive passing stats, while key players like Mac Dalea and Elijah Gilliam contribute to the team's offensive and defensive efforts. Several injuries could impact the team, but Fresno State aims to secure a victory to become bowl eligible for the fourth consecutive season. In terms of power rankings, Fresno State currently sits at 37, with rankings of 62 in offense, 70 in defense, and holds a record of 5-4 for the season.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Air Force Falcons defeated Fresno St. Bulldogs 36-28

Air Force Falcons defeated Fresno St. Bulldogs 36-28 on November 9, 2024, a 8-point decision in the series. Air Force Falcons' strongest period was the 3rd quarter, when it outscored its opponent 9-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Fresno St. Bulldogs -9.5 (-110) spread, Air Force Falcons covered, while the 64 combined points finished over the recorded total of 40.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • JoeThomasTotal · Under 41 (-110)Loss
  • Barry713Spread · Air Force Falcons +10.5 (-110)Win
  • TjwinsSpread · Fresno St. Bulldogs -10.5 (-110)Loss
  • Fisher49Total · Under 41 (-110)Loss
  • Sarah_MillerSpread · Air Force Falcons +10.5 (-110)Win
  • Hustle$Total · Over 41 (-110)Win
  • 1118240754Spread · Fresno St. Bulldogs -10.5 (-110)Loss
  • MikeVargasSpread · Air Force Falcons +10.5 (-110)Win
  • JamescashiolaSpread · Fresno St. Bulldogs -10.5 (-110)Loss
  • JackCohenTotal · Under 41 (-110)Loss