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  1. Home
  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. Boise St. Broncos vs Colorado State Rams
Sat 6:00 PM ET
Boise St. Broncos logo
Boise St.
Broncos
7-1
versus
Colorado State Rams logo
Colorado State
Rams
3-5
NCAAF · Boise St. Broncos at Colorado State Rams

Your Picks on Boise St. vs Colorado State

Picks close 15 minutes before game time (ET)
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Total

Boise St. vs Colorado State consensus picks

Boise St. Broncos60%
40%Colorado State Rams
Odds comparison

Sportsbook lines for this game

Current lines

MatchupBest availableFanDuelBetMGMCircaBet105BovadaPinnacleUnibetYouWagertheScore Bet
Nov 7, 6:00 PM ETBoise St. BroncosColorado State Rams
Best available-900BetMGM+675Circa
FanDuel-950+640
BetMGM-900BEST+650
Circa-1000+675BEST
Bet105-942+647
Bovada——
Pinnacle-943+647
Unibet-910+575
YouWager-950+625
theScore Bet-900BEST+550

Boise St. Broncos vs Colorado State Rams Prediction, Odds and Projected Score

Game time: November 7, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET

Venue: Canvas Stadium — Fort Collins, CO

Article updated Nov 4, 2:28 AM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Boise State will beat Colorado State, with a projected score of Boise State 41, Colorado State 24. Dylan Riley's rushing production against the Rams' struggling run defense supplies the strongest matchup advantage. The supplied prices do not offer a compelling wager: pass on Boise State -17.5 (-110) and the 68.5 total, with quarterback uncertainty and conflicting spread forecasts limiting conviction.

Boise St. Broncos vs Colorado State Rams prediction and best bet

Boise State is the pick to win, but the official betting recommendation is Pass. The rushing matchup favors the Broncos enough to support a medium-confidence game forecast. Asking them to cover 17.5 points requires greater conviction about their winning margin, especially after Maddux Madsen left the previous game injured.

Colorado State Athletics reported that Riley ranked second nationally with 131.1 rushing yards per game, while the Rams ranked last in run defense at 261.1 yards allowed per game. That pairing gives Boise State a persuasive route to victory. It is less persuasive as a reason to lay a large spread when the quarterback outlook remains uncertain and outside analysts disagree on the cover.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game time: Saturday, November 7, 2026, at 4:00 p.m. MT, according to Colorado State Athletics. This is a 2026 college football matchup.

Venue: Canvas Stadium in Fort Collins, Colorado.

Records: Boise St. Broncos 7-1; Colorado State Rams 3-5.

SportsJaw odds: Boise St. Broncos -17.5 (-110); Colorado State Rams +17.5 (-110). Moneyline: Boise St. Broncos -950; Colorado State Rams +637. Total: Over 68.5 (-110); Under 68.5 (-108).

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

SportsJaw total: Over 68.5 (-110); Under 68.5 (-108).

SportsJaw moneyline: Boise State -950; Colorado State +637.

Boise St. Broncos outlook

Boise State beat Texas State 46-45 on October 31 after trailing 39-28 in the fourth quarter, according to the Broncos' official recap. The comeback is encouraging for their ability to recover from a deficit. The 45 points conceded also explain why a comfortable defensive performance should not be assumed.

After Madsen departed with an injury, Max Cutforth completed 8 of 13 passes for 131 yards and three touchdowns. That was productive relief work, although projecting the same efficiency over a larger role would be aggressive. Madsen's exit alone does not mean Cutforth will start against Colorado State.

Rasean Jones finished that game with nine catches, 117 yards and three touchdowns, while Akeem Wright caught eight passes for 116 yards. Riley added 86 rushing yards to reach 1,049 for the season. Those contributions give the forecast more substance than a rushing mismatch alone.

Colorado State Rams outlook

Colorado State's personnel outlook offers both concern and potential improvement. In the school's November 2 report, coach Jim Mora described Mel Brown's availability as uncertain. Mora expected receiver RJ Vick to be healthier against Boise State after reduced speed and burst the previous week.

The same report said John Holthaus played 15 snaps against Utah State and emphasized the team's need to have him back. These updates warrant caution about assuming full availability or effectiveness. Vick's expected improvement is encouraging, but it remains an expectation.

For the Rams, competitive scoring is the clearest route to keeping the margin manageable. Boise State's previous defensive result leaves that possibility open, even though Texas State's production is no promise of similar success for Colorado State. The Rams need their own offense to capitalize.

Key matchup factors

The central question is how much Boise State's rushing advantage can offset uncertainty at quarterback. A productive ground game could reduce the burden on either passer. It would not automatically prevent Colorado State from scoring enough to stay within the spread.

The outside forecasts agree on the winner but differ on the margin. Dimers projects Boise State 41, Colorado State 25 and assigns the Broncos an 88.2% win probability. Its spread selection is Colorado State +17.5 at 52.4%. BetMGM assigns Boise State an 89.0% win probability, while reporting only 50.8% confidence in a Broncos cover.

Blue Chip Analytics projects a 19.4-point Boise State advantage. These are other analysts' estimates, not verified outcomes or SportsJaw confidence ratings. Their shared winner preference strengthens the context for the forecast without settling the betting decision.

The November 4, 07:14 UTC consensus update shows external support of 60% for Boise State -17.5 (-110) and 78% for Under 68.5 (-108). The blended percentages match those figures. Neither percentage is a win probability or a separately reported SportsJaw member-pick percentage.

Boise St. Broncos vs Colorado State Rams spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Boise State -17.5 (-110) and Colorado State +17.5 (-110). Our projected 17-point margin falls just inside the Rams' number, but that narrow difference is too fragile to make Colorado State an official selection.

Blue Chip's projection favors laying the points, while Dimers prefers taking them. BetMGM's slight cover lean adds little separation. Riley's matchup supports the favorite; quarterback uncertainty and the recent defensive showing support restraint. Neither side offers a convincing advantage at the supplied price.

Boise St. Broncos vs Colorado State Rams total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 68.5 (-110) and Under 68.5 (-108). Our projection totals 65 points, giving the Under a directional lean without making it an official wager.

The 78% external Under preference measures selection support, not the chance of a winning bet. Boise State's previous game produced 91 combined points, while uncertainty at quarterback complicates this week's scoring forecast. One high-scoring result and a popular Under position are insufficient reasons to choose either price.

Boise St. Broncos vs Colorado State Rams Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: Boise State 41, Colorado State 24. Confidence is medium. Riley against the Rams' run defense is the strongest reason to expect a Broncos victory, with the recent receiving production providing another route to points.

The strongest counterargument is the combination of Boise State's quarterback uncertainty and its 45 points conceded to Texas State. Those concerns matter to both the result and the margin. Boise State remains the winner selection, but the single official betting recommendation is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Broncos41

Rams24

Projected winner Boise St. BroncosConfidencemedium
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass on Boise St. Broncos -17.5 (-110) and Colorado State Rams +17.5 (-110)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass on Over 68.5 (-110) and Under 68.5 (-108)

Sources

  • Colorado State AthleticsGame Week: vs. Boise State
  • Colorado State AthleticsMonday Presser: Fox Gets First Extended Look
  • Boise State University AthleticsPrevious-game context: No. 20/22 Broncos Prevail in After Dark Thriller
#BoiseStBroncos#ColoradoStateRams

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Broncos vs Rams game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Broncos vs Rams matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Boise St. Broncos-1,000 → -950Moved
  • Moneyline · Colorado State Rams+650 → +637Moved
  • Spread · Boise St. Broncos-18 (-108) → -17.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Colorado State Rams+18 (-108) → +17.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over68.5 (-110) → 68.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under68.5 (-110) → 68.5 (-108)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Boise St. Broncos
7-1 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Colorado State Rams
3-5 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 9-1-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-11-03T06:22:54.315Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Boise State is the pick to win, but the official betting recommendation is Pass. The rushing matchup favors the Broncos enough to support a medium-confidence game forecast. Asking them to cover 17.5 points requires greater conviction about their winning margin, especially after Maddux Madsen left the previous game injured.

After Madsen departed with an injury, Max Cutforth completed 8 of 13 passes for 131 yards and three touchdowns. That was productive relief work, although projecting the same efficiency over a larger role would be aggressive. Madsen's exit alone does not mean Cutforth will start against Colorado State.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2025-11-22Colorado State Rams 21 · Boise St. Broncos 49
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