Texas Longhorns vs Missouri Tigers Betting Picks & Predictions
Texas is projected to beat Missouri 24-21 in their November 7, 2026 SEC matchup in Columbia. The Longhorns’ documented defensive production, led by their conference-best passing-efficiency defense, supplies the strongest reason to favor them. Missouri’s home success makes the margin less convincing. Neither Texas -3.5 (-114) nor the 49.5-point total offers a persuasive betting edge, so the official recommendation is Pass.
Texas Longhorns vs Missouri Tigers prediction and best bet
Texas gets the winner pick because its defense offers the strongest statistical argument in this matchup. In its October 28 release, Texas reported allowing 285.4 yards and 19.1 points per game, alongside an SEC-leading 107.66 passing-efficiency defense rating. Those figures point toward a difficult scoring assignment for Missouri.
The best betting decision is Pass. Missouri’s 37-9 record at Faurot Field under Eli Drinkwitz, reported before October 31, is substantial counterevidence to a comfortable road victory. Texas 24, Missouri 21 reflects a narrow preference for the Longhorns. It also leaves Texas short of covering -3.5, without supplying enough conviction to recommend Missouri at +3.5.
Odds, game time and how to watch
Game: Texas at Missouri, Saturday, November 7, 2026, in SEC college football.
Kickoff: Noon ET / 11 a.m. CT, according to the SEC’s October 26 announcement.
Location: Columbia, Missouri.
Broadcast: The October 26 announcement listed ABC or ESPN, with a final assignment due after the October 31 games.
SportsJaw odds: Texas Longhorns -3.5 (-114); Missouri Tigers +3.5 (-106). Moneyline: Texas Longhorns -172; Missouri Tigers +142. Total: Over 49.5 (-110); Under 49.5 (-110).

