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  1. Home
  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. Purdue Boilermakers vs Michigan Wolverines
Sat 7:30 PM ET
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Boilermakers13
2-6
versus
Michigan Wolverines logo
Michigan
Wolverines41
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Final
Team1234T
Purdue Boilermakers060713
Michigan Wolverines17371441
NCAAF · Purdue Boilermakers at Michigan Wolverines

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Michigan Looking to Conquer Purdue, Cover -32.5 Spread at Home

Game time: November 4, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET

Venue: Michigan Stadium — Ann Arbor, MI

Article updated Oct 30, 2:36 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

5 against Purdue this Saturday at 7:30 p.m. EST. Ranked 3rd in the nation, the Wolverines are 8-0 and have a 4-3-1 ATS record, while the Boilermakers are 2-6 with a 2-6 ATS.

Game outlook

5 against Purdue this Saturday at 7:30 p.m. EST. Ranked 3rd in the nation, the Wolverines are 8-0 and have a 4-3-1 ATS record, while the Boilermakers are 2-6 with a 2-6 ATS. After a 49-0 win over Michigan State on the road, Michigan look to continue its success against Purdue who is coming off its own 31-14 road loss against Nebraska.

Game Info

When: Saturday, 11/4/2023 @ 7:30pm EST

Where: Michigan Stadium Stadium Boilermakers vs Wolverines Betting Odds Moneyline: Boilermakers +3,000 | Wolverines -19,412

Spread: Boilermakers +33 (-110) | Wolverines -33 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 50.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Michigan will win straight-up is 99%.

Purdue Boilermakers

Purdue is currently 2-6 and sits at 6th place in the Big Ten West, having recently suffered a loss against Nebraska. Hudson Card, Jaden Dixon-Veal, and Devin Mockobee were the leading offensive players with 16/32 for 100 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions for Card, four receptions for 38 yards and a touchdown for Dixon-Veal, and seven carries for 42 yards and an average of six yards per carry for Mockobee. The Boilermakers defense allowed Nebraska to rack up 300 yards and 31 points, but managed to contain them through the air, only allowing one 73-yard touchdown play. For their upcoming game against the highly ranked Michigan, Purdue is 32.5-point underdogs due to Michigan's defensive success. Purdue will look to produce offensively, throw the ball often, and have their offensive line step up to lessen pressure from the quarterback, while their defense will aim for big stops in the red zone.

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Michigan Wolverines Analysis

The Wolverines won their most recent match up against their rival, Michigan State, by a shutout score of 49-0. Quarterback J.J. McCarthy had 21/27 passing for 287 yards and four touchdowns, while AJ Barner led the receivers with eight receptions for 99 yards and two touchdowns. The Wolverines will be at full strength for their upcoming game against Purdue at home and will need to incorporate the run game to open up the offense, as well as maintain their defensive play to cover the spread.

Wolverines Poised to Dominate Purdue: Track Record and Matchup Favors Michigan Covering -32.5 Spread

The Wolverines have built a reputation as one of the best teams in the country. With an impressive defense, they have held opponents to an average of 230 yards and six points per game. On the opposite side of the ball, the Wolverines have consistently tallied up an average of 420 yards and 41 points per game. Facing weaker competition, they have been covering spreads like this all season long. Averaging just 21 points per game, Purdue could struggle against Michigan's formidable defense. Conversely, Michigan is likely to have their fair share of offensive success against the Boilermakers, who allow opponents to average about 380 yards and 30 points per game. Given the mismatch in this game and the Wolverines' track record, I am confident in taking them to cover their spread of -32.5.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#PurdueBoilermakers#MichiganWolverines

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Boilermakers vs Wolverines archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Boilermakers vs Wolverines matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Purdue Boilermakers+3,000 → +3,000Unchanged
  • Moneyline · Michigan Wolverines-19,432 → -15,295Moved
  • Spread · Purdue Boilermakers+32.5 (-110) → +31 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Michigan Wolverines-32.5 (-110) → -31 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over48.5 (-110) → 54 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under48.5 (-110) → 54 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Purdue Boilermakers
2-6 matchup record · 2-8-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Michigan Wolverines
8-0 matchup record · 5-4-1 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-10-30T06:36:41.258Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-12-03Purdue Boilermakers 22 · Michigan Wolverines 43
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Michigan Wolverines defeated Purdue Boilermakers 41-13

Michigan Wolverines defeated Purdue Boilermakers 41-13 on November 4, 2023, a 28-point decision in the series. Michigan Wolverines' strongest period was the 1st quarter, when it outscored its opponent 17-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Purdue Boilermakers +31 (-110) spread, Purdue Boilermakers covered, while the 54 total pushed.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • Drew_WestcottTotal · Under 49 (-110)Loss
  • JohnTharpMoneyline · Michigan Wolverines -18,077Win
  • CoolioSpread · Purdue Boilermakers +31.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 54 (-110)Push
  • OddssharkSpread · Purdue Boilermakers +31.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 54 (-110)Push
  • CoversSpread · Michigan Wolverines -31.5 (-110)Loss