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  1. Home
  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. Fresno St. Bulldogs vs San Diego St. Aztecs
Sat 10:30 PM ET
Fresno St. Bulldogs logo
Fresno St.
Bulldogs18
7-3
versus
San Diego St. Aztecs logo
San Diego St.
Aztecs33
1-8
Final
Team1234T
Fresno St. Bulldogs730818
San Diego St. Aztecs31371033
NCAAF · Fresno St. Bulldogs at San Diego St. Aztecs

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Fresno State Set to Roll Past San Diego State in Final Matchup of the Season

Game time: November 25, 2023 at 10:30 PM ET

Venue: Snapdragon Stadium — San Diego, CA

Article updated Nov 20, 1:37 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

Fresno State is 8-3 overall and 4-3 in the Mountain West Conference, while San Diego State is 3-8 overall and 1-6 in the Mountain West. Fresno is bowl-bound and holds 6th in

Game outlook

Fresno State is 8-3 overall and 4-3 in the Mountain West Conference, while San Diego State is 3-8 overall and 1-6 in the Mountain West. Fresno is bowl-bound and holds 6th in the MWC, but is coming off an unexpected home loss. SDSU has been unable to make a late season push, suffering a loss to San Jose State at home, and will play their last game Saturday night. Both teams are going into the matchup in a must-win mentality, and the game can be viewed on FS1 at 10:30EST.

Game Info

When: Saturday, 11/25/2023 @ 10:30pm EST

Where: Snapdragon Stadium Stadium Betting Odds Moneyline: Bulldogs -210 | Aztecs +175

Spread: Bulldogs -5 (-110) | Aztecs +5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 47 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Fresno St. will win straight-up is 68%.

Fresno St. Bulldogs

Led by QB Mikey Keene and RB Malik Sherrod, Fresno have two top receivers - Eric Brooks and Jalen Moss, as well as an impressive defense led by Dean Clark, Jacob Holmes and Carlton Johnson who has four interceptions. Keene is questionable for the matchup due to concussion related issues. Fresno State began the season with eight consecutive wins, but have since lost their last two games. Despite these losses, the Bulldogs' top players Mikey Keene, Malik Sherrod, Erick Brooks and Jalen Moss have produced impressive points per game stats, and the defense has recorded an impressive 22 takeaways this season. Keene is questionable for the matchup due to a concussion, but if he is available, their superb stat-line will be a major asset.

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San Diego St. Aztecs Analysis

However, the Aztecs have the advantage over the Bulldogs, as they have a +7 turnover margin compared to the Bulldogs’ -6. Jalen Mayden leads the Aztecs' offense and is among the top passers in the conference. He averages 167.5 passing yards per game and has a 9-9 TD-INT ratio. Zyrus Fiaseu is the defensive leader, recording 64 tackles and 5.5 sacks. Their defense has a total of 17 takeaways on the season. The San Diego State Aztecs have had a tough season, with a record of 3-8 in the Mountain West Conference. With one game left, they have only one conference win against Hawaii. Jalen Mayden leads the offense as quarterback, passing for an average of 167.5 yards with a 9-9 TD-INT ratio. The defense is led by Zyrus Fiaseu with 64 tackles and 5.5 sacks. The defense has 17 takeaways so far this season, resulting in a +7 turnover margin. The Aztecs' offense and defense rank #116 and #84 in the Mountain West Conference respectively.

Fresno State Favored to Win and Cover in Final San Diego State Home Game of the Season

San Diego State is set to have their last home game of the season, however Fresno State has acquitted itself quite well, starting 8-1. However, San Diego State has gone 1-8 over their last nine. With Fresno State boasting the 2nd best scoring defense in the league, and San Diego State ranked 13th in scoring, this is clearly a mismatch. This season, the Bulldogs defeated some of the more successful teams in the conference such as UNLV, Boise State and Utah State. Due to this, Fresno State is likely to have little trouble and should be taken to win and cover.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#FresnoStBulldogs#SanDiegoStAztecs

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Bulldogs vs Aztecs archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Bulldogs vs Aztecs matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Fresno St. Bulldogs-210 → -190Moved
  • Moneyline · San Diego St. Aztecs+175 → +165Moved
  • Spread · Fresno St. Bulldogs-5 (-110) → -4.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · San Diego St. Aztecs+5 (-110) → +4.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over46 (-110) → 47 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under46 (-110) → 47 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Fresno St. Bulldogs
7-3 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
San Diego St. Aztecs
1-8 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 4-5-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-11-20T06:37:26.730Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Led by QB Mikey Keene and RB Malik Sherrod, Fresno have two top receivers - Eric Brooks and Jalen Moss, as well as an impressive defense led by Dean Clark, Jacob Holmes and Carlton Johnson who has four interceptions. Keene is questionable for the matchup due to concussion related issues. Fresno State began the season with eight consecutive wins, but have since lost their last two games. Despite these losses, the Bulldogs' top players Mikey Keene, Malik Sherrod, Erick Brooks and Jalen Moss have produced impressive points per game stats, and the defense has recorded an impressive 22 takeaways this season. Keene is questionable for the matchup due to a concussion, but if he is available, their superb stat-line will be a major asset.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-10-29San Diego St. Aztecs 28 · Fresno St. Bulldogs 32
  • 2021-10-30Fresno St. Bulldogs 30 · San Diego St. Aztecs 20
Final result

Matchup pick recap

San Diego St. Aztecs defeated Fresno St. Bulldogs 33-18

San Diego St. Aztecs defeated Fresno St. Bulldogs 33-18 on November 25, 2023, a 15-point decision in the series. San Diego St. Aztecs' strongest period was the 2nd quarter, when it outscored its opponent 13-3. Against SportsJaw's recorded Fresno St. Bulldogs -4.5 (-110) spread, San Diego St. Aztecs covered, while the 51 combined points finished over the recorded total of 47.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • NutinbutlocksSpread · San Diego St. Aztecs +5 (-110)Win
  • Tbone91Spread · San Diego St. Aztecs +5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · San Diego St. Aztecs +4.75 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 47 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · San Diego St. Aztecs +4.75 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 47 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · Fresno St. Bulldogs -4.5 (-110)Loss