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  1. Home
  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. Jacksonville St. Gamecocks vs New Mexico St. Aggies
Sat 4:00 PM ET
Jacksonville St. Gamecocks logo
Jacksonville St.
Gamecocks17
6-3
versus
New Mexico St. Aggies logo
New Mexico St.
Aggies20
8-2
Final
Team1234T
Jacksonville St. Gamecocks0301417
New Mexico St. Aggies1430320

Jacksonville State, New Mexico State Set for Exciting Show Down in Conference USA Championship Game

Game time: November 25, 2023 at 4:00 PM ET

Venue: Aggie Memorial Stadium — Las Cruces, NM

Article updated Nov 20, 1:37 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Jacksonville State Gamecocks and the New Mexico State Aggies have both been playing at an high level in recent weeks, with the Gamecocks coming off a 56-17 win over

Game outlook

The Jacksonville State Gamecocks and the New Mexico State Aggies have both been playing at an high level in recent weeks, with the Gamecocks coming off a 56-17 win over Louisiana Tech who saw their Senior running back Zion Webb rush for 122 yards and 3 touchdowns, and the Aggies winning their last seven games capped off with a 31-10 win over the Auburn Tigers. Junior quarterback Diego Pavia was very good for New Mexico St. finishing 19-of-28 for 201 yards and three touchdown passes with eight rushing attempts for 35 yards. New Mexico State is the opening favorite at -1.5, with the current line favoring Jacksonville St. -2.5.

Game Info

When: Saturday, 11/25/2023 @ 4:00pm EST

Where: Aggie Memorial Stadium Stadium Betting Odds Moneyline: Gamecocks -140 | Aggies +120

Spread: Gamecocks -2.5 (-110) | Aggies +2.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 49.75 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that New Mexico St. will win straight-up is 55%.

Jacksonville St. Gamecocks

Jacksonville State has been having a successful season as they recently won 56-17 at home against Louisiana Tech. The Gamecock defense was impressive in the victory, holding the Bulldogs to 2 of 15 on third downs. The offense, led by sophomore QB Kaidon Salter, has been averaging 39.9 points, best in Conference USA, with Salter passing for 2,409 yards and 28 touchdowns. The defense has been giving up an average of 20.4 points per game, second-best in the Conference, with 34 sacks, 38 pass deflections, 14 interceptions, 12 forced fumbles, and seven fumble recoveries. Junior defensive lineman Jaylin Swain has been leading the defensive charge with four sacks, one interception, two pass deflections, one forced fumble and two fumble recoveries. Currently ranked 0 in offense, 0 in defense, and 8-3 overall (8-2-1 ATS), Jacksonville State looks poised for success. There are no reported injuries.

NCAAF · Jacksonville St. Gamecocks at New Mexico St. Aggies

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New Mexico St. Aggies Analysis

Junior QB Diego Pavia has 2,458 pass yards with 22 TDs & 6 Int, and sophomore LB Buddha Peleti has 4.5 sacks and a pair of forced fumbles for the defense. Monte Watkins (RB) and Diego Pavia (QB) are both questionable for their next game due to undisclosed injuries. The New Mexico State Aggies are performing exceptionally at 47th in the power ranking. Offense-wise, they are scoring an average of 28.9 points per game, which ranks them 61st overall. On defense, they have a 37th ranking with 19.9 points per game being allowed. They stand with 9 wins and 3 losses (10-2 ATS). Junior QB Diego Pavia has achieved 60.5% completions for 2,458 pass yards, 22 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. For defense, sophomore LB Buddha Peleti has led with 4.5 sacks and two forced fumbles. Running back Monte Watkins and Quarterback Diego Pavia are both questionable due to undisclosed injuries for the next game.

New Mexico State Aggies Heading to Conference USA Championship Game as Favourites

New Mexico State Aggies have secured a seat in the Conference USA Championship Game and are set for an intriguing matchup. In their last three games, the Aggies have conceded an average of 15.3 points whereas their opponents, the Gamecocks, have yielded 27.5 points in their preceding two games. For this game, they are favoured to win by a field goal at home.

SportsJawGame Predictions
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Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
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#JacksonvilleStGamecocks#NewMexicoStAggies

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Gamecocks vs Aggies archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Gamecocks vs Aggies matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Jacksonville St. Gamecocks+101 → -134Moved
  • Moneyline · New Mexico St. Aggies-120 → +114Moved
  • Spread · Jacksonville St. Gamecocks+1.5 (-110) → -2.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · New Mexico St. Aggies-1.5 (-110) → +2.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over50 (-110) → 48.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under50 (-110) → 48.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Jacksonville St. Gamecocks
6-3 matchup record · 6-3-1 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
New Mexico St. Aggies
8-2 matchup record · 9-1-0 ATS · 2-8-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-11-20T06:37:10.991Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Jacksonville State has been having a successful season as they recently won 56-17 at home against Louisiana Tech. The Gamecock defense was impressive in the victory, holding the Bulldogs to 2 of 15 on third downs. The offense, led by sophomore QB Kaidon Salter, has been averaging 39.9 points, best in Conference USA, with Salter passing for 2,409 yards and 28 touchdowns. The defense has been giving up an average of 20.4 points per game, second-best in the Conference, with 34 sacks, 38 pass deflections, 14 interceptions, 12 forced fumbles, and seven fumble recoveries. Junior defensive lineman Jaylin Swain has been leading the defensive charge with four sacks, one interception, two pass deflections, one forced fumble and two fumble recoveries. Currently ranked 0 in offense, 0 in defense, and 8-3 overall (8-2-1 ATS), Jacksonville State looks poised for success. There are no reported injuries.

Junior QB Diego Pavia has 2,458 pass yards with 22 TDs & 6 Int, and sophomore LB Buddha Peleti has 4.5 sacks and a pair of forced fumbles for the defense. Monte Watkins (RB) and Diego Pavia (QB) are both questionable for their next game due to undisclosed injuries. The New Mexico State Aggies are performing exceptionally at 47th in the power ranking. Offense-wise, they are scoring an average of 28.9 points per game, which ranks them 61st overall. On defense, they have a 37th ranking with 19.9 points per game being allowed. They stand with 9 wins and 3 losses (10-2 ATS). Junior QB Diego Pavia has achieved 60.5% completions for 2,458 pass yards, 22 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. For defense, sophomore LB Buddha Peleti has led with 4.5 sacks and two forced fumbles. Running back Monte Watkins and Quarterback Diego Pavia are both questionable due to undisclosed injuries for the next game.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

New Mexico St. Aggies defeated Jacksonville St. Gamecocks 20-17

New Mexico St. Aggies defeated Jacksonville St. Gamecocks 20-17 on November 25, 2023, a 3-point decision in the series. New Mexico St. Aggies' strongest period was the 1st quarter, when it outscored its opponent 14-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Jacksonville St. Gamecocks -2.5 (-110) spread, New Mexico St. Aggies covered, while the 37 combined points finished under the recorded total of 48.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • CoversSpread · New Mexico St. Aggies +3 (-110)Win
  • StevedSpread · Jacksonville St. Gamecocks -3 (-110)Loss
  • RainmanTotal · Over 49.5 (-110)Loss
  • GeauxtigersSpread · Jacksonville St. Gamecocks -3 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioSpread · New Mexico St. Aggies +3 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 49 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · New Mexico St. Aggies +3 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 49 (-110)Loss
  • TgodfreyTotal · Over 48.5 (-110)Loss