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  1. Home
  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. Vanderbilt Commodores vs Tennessee Volunteers
Sat 3:30 PM ET
Vanderbilt Commodores logo
Vanderbilt
Commodores24
0-9-1
versus
Tennessee Volunteers logo
Tennessee
Volunteers48
6-4
Final
Team1234T
Vanderbilt Commodores7301424
Tennessee Volunteers141714348
NCAAF · Vanderbilt Commodores at Tennessee Volunteers

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Tennessee Expected to Cruise to Victory in SEC Rivalry Showdown vs. Vanderbilt

Game time: November 25, 2023 at 3:30 PM ET

Venue: Neyland Stadium — Knoxville, TN

Article updated Nov 20, 1:36 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

5 for Saturday's game vs. Vanderbilt in an SEC rivalry matchup. Vanderbilt is 2-9 SU and 1-10 ATS this season and comes in to this game 0-7 in conference play with a 0-5

Game outlook

5 for Saturday's game vs. Vanderbilt in an SEC rivalry matchup. Vanderbilt is 2-9 SU and 1-10 ATS this season and comes in to this game 0-7 in conference play with a 0-5 ledger on the road. Tennessee is 7-4 SU and 6-5 ATS and 5-1 at home while going 3-4 in conference play. Vandy's injury report includes four questionable players while Tennessee lists two out. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET.

Game Info

When: Saturday, 11/25/2023 @ 3:30pm EST

Where: Neyland Stadium Stadium Betting Odds Moneyline: Commodores +1,400 | Volunteers -5,000

Spread: Commodores +27 (-110) | Volunteers -27 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 56.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Tennessee will win straight-up is 98%.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Vanderbilt suffered a ninth straight loss, as the University of South Carolina dominated in the second half, scoring 34 points to Vanderbilt's total of 234 yards, including 104 passing yards. While Tennessee managed a total of 319.7 yards per game, including 222.9 passing yards and 96.8 rushing yards, the Gamecocks achieved nearly 500 total yards and averaged 5.7 yards per carry. Vanderbilt is ranked 125th in power ranking and 100th in offense, having scored an average of 22.73 points per game. On defense, they are 122nd in the nation, allowing an average of 35.09 points to be scored against them per game. They are 2-9 (1-10 ATS) this season.

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Tennessee Volunteers Analysis

This season, Tennessee has been outplayed in two consecutive games, leading to a decline in their national ranking. In their losses against Mizzou and UGA, they were outscored 74-17 and outgained 1,002-627. Tennessee averages 438.6 total yards (27th) and 44.2% conversion rate on third-down attempts (26th). Their defense yields 21.8 points (43rd) and 352.5 total yards (45th) per game. They have accumulated 34 sacks and 10 interceptions. Tennessee's opponents have achieved a 41.0% conversion rate on third-down attempts (87th) and have scored in 86.2% of their red zone trips (89th).

Tennessee's 12th-Ranked Rushing Offense and Noteworthy Pass Rush Make Easy Win Likely Against Vanderbilt

Vanderbilt is 1-10 against the spread, with more failures to cover than wins. Tennessee has a notable advantage with their 12th-ranked rushing offense and their 26th-ranked third-down offense going up against Vandy's 110th-ranked run defense and 123rd-ranked pass defense. Joe Milton is likely to have a productive afternoon passing with Tennessee's feared pass rush putting the Commodores in difficult third down situations. Vanderbilt averaging fewer than 100 rushing yards per game does not help their ability to move the chains. The edge makes it likely that Tennessee will take the win Saturday, and that the Vols will keep their foot on the pedal throughout.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#VanderbiltCommodores#TennesseeVolunteers

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Commodores vs Volunteers archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Commodores vs Volunteers matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Vanderbilt Commodores+1,300 → +1,500Moved
  • Moneyline · Tennessee Volunteers-5,000 → -5,000Unchanged
  • Spread · Vanderbilt Commodores+26.5 (-110) → +27 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Tennessee Volunteers-26.5 (-110) → -27 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over56.5 (-110) → 58 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under56.5 (-110) → 58 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Vanderbilt Commodores
0-9-1 matchup record · 1-9-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Tennessee Volunteers
6-4 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 5-4-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-11-20T06:36:58.829Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

5 for Saturday's game vs. Vanderbilt in an SEC rivalry matchup. Vanderbilt is 2-9 SU and 1-10 ATS this season and comes in to this game 0-7 in conference play with a 0-5 ledger on the road. Tennessee is 7-4 SU and 6-5 ATS and 5-1 at home while going 3-4 in conference play. Vandy's injury report includes four questionable players while Tennessee lists two out. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-11-26Tennessee Volunteers 56 · Vanderbilt Commodores 0
  • 2021-11-27Vanderbilt Commodores 21 · Tennessee Volunteers 45
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Tennessee Volunteers defeated Vanderbilt Commodores 48-24

Tennessee Volunteers defeated Vanderbilt Commodores 48-24 on November 25, 2023, a 24-point decision in the series. Tennessee Volunteers' strongest period was the 2nd quarter, when it outscored its opponent 17-3. Against SportsJaw's recorded Vanderbilt Commodores +27 (-110) spread, Vanderbilt Commodores covered, while the 72 combined points finished over the recorded total of 58.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • CoversSpread · Tennessee Volunteers -27 (-110)Loss
  • MikeVargasSpread · Tennessee Volunteers -27 (-110)Loss
  • Josh720Spread · Vanderbilt Commodores +27 (-110)Win
  • StevehTotal · Over 57 (-110)Win
  • AdrianMariucciSpread · Tennessee Volunteers -27 (-110)Loss
  • JohnTharpMoneyline · Tennessee Volunteers -5,000Win
  • CoolioSpread · Vanderbilt Commodores +27 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Under 57.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · Vanderbilt Commodores +27 (-110)Win