| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | ODDS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VANDY | 7 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 52.5 |
| LSU | 7 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 24 | -10 |
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Vanderbilt Commodores vs
LSU TigersPredictions & Preview
LSU Tigers favored against Vanderbilt Commodores in SEC matchup at Tiger Stadium
This weekend's SEC football matchup features the Vanderbilt Commodores facing off against the LSU Tigers. LSU currently holds a 24-7-1 head-to-head edge in the series, with their last meeting resulting in a 41-7 victory for LSU in 2020. Both teams enter the game with 6-4 overall records and 3-3 records in SEC play. LSU is favored to win, opening at -8.5 and currently sitting at -7.5. Kickoff is set for 7:45 ET at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, LA. Stay tuned for my predictions on the side and total of the game.
Betting Odds
- Moneyline: Commodores +250 | Tigers -300
- Spread: Commodores +7.5 (-110) | Tigers -7.5 (-110)
- Total: Over/Under 53.5 (-110)
- Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that LSU will win straight-up is 75%.
Vanderbilt vs LSU Stats
Vanderbilt Commodores
Coach Clark Lea and his Vanderbilt Commodores have had a successful season, highlighted by impressive wins over Virginia Tech and top-ranked Alabama. Despite recent losses to Texas and South Carolina, the team has shown resilience. Quarterback Diego Pavia has been a standout player, leading the offense with over 1,800 passing yards and 15 touchdowns. Running back Sedrick Alexander and receiver Eli Stowers have also made significant contributions. Defensively, the Commodores have held their own under coordinator Steve Gregory, ranking 54th in points allowed and 68th in yardage. With a power ranking of 85, Vanderbilt is positioned well in offense and defense, boasting a 6-4 record for the season.
LSU Tigers Analysis
LSU Tigers, led by Coach Brian Kelly, started the season with high expectations but have recently faced three consecutive losses to Texas A&M, Alabama, and Florida. Despite this setback, the team is still on track to make a bowl game. Quarterback Garrett Nussmeier has had a solid season, with top receiver Kyren Lacy and leading rusher Caden Durham contributing to the offensive effort. The defense has shown improvement from previous years but is still allowing a significant number of points and yards per game. Currently ranked 42nd in power rankings, LSU's offense ranks 50th and defense ranks 71st in the country. The team has a record of 6-4 and is 3-7 against the spread. They will face Vanderbilt in their upcoming games.
Vanderbilt's Competitive Edge Makes Them a Smart Bet to Cover the Spread Against LSU
I had initially anticipated a higher point spread favoring Vanderbilt in this match, indicating the market's recognition of their competitive nature as a team. Despite this, I still believe that taking Vanderbilt with a spread greater than a touchdown is a solid choice in this scenario. A key factor contributing to my decision is Vanderbilt's recent bye week, enabling them to enhance their game plan against LSU, who has been struggling in recent games. A significant aspect to highlight is the quarterback turnover rates, with Diego Pavia boasting a 15/3 TD/INT ratio compared to LSU's Garrett Nussmeier's 22/11 ratio. Combined with Vanderbilt's superior turnover margin and stronger defense, I anticipate a close game. Therefore, I am placing my bet on the Commodores to cover the spread in this matchup.
