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  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. SMU Mustangs vs Virginia Cavaliers
Sat 12:00 PM ET
SMU Mustangs logo
SMU
Mustangs33
8-1
versus
Virginia Cavaliers logo
Virginia
Cavaliers7
3-5
Final
Team1234T
SMU Mustangs71031333
Virginia Cavaliers00077
NCAAF · SMU Mustangs at Virginia Cavaliers

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SMU Mustangs vs Virginia Cavaliers Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: November 23, 2024 at 12:00 PM ET

Venue: Scott Stadium — Charlottesville, VA

Article updated Nov 21, 8:44 PM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The ACC's top SMU Mustangs, with a 9-1 record and 6-0 in the ACC, will travel to Charlottesville to take on the 5-5 Virginia Cavaliers in a crucial match for both teams. SMU

Game outlook

The ACC's top SMU Mustangs, with a 9-1 record and 6-0 in the ACC, will travel to Charlottesville to take on the 5-5 Virginia Cavaliers in a crucial match for both teams. SMU is looking to finish strong and secure a spot in the College Football Playoffs, while Virginia is aiming for bowl eligibility with just two games left in the season. The game is set for an early morning kick-off at Scott Stadium on November 23, with SMU opening as the favorite at -10 and the current line at -9.5. Stay tuned for more updates on this SMU Mustangs vs. Virginia Cavaliers prediction.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Mustangs -350 | Cavaliers +280

Spread: Mustangs -9.5 (-110) | Cavaliers +9.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 57.25 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that SMU will win straight-up is 78%.

SMU Mustangs

The Virginia Cavaliers are coming off a tough loss to Notre Dame and are in danger of missing a bowl game as they have lost 4 of their last 5 games. Coach Tony Elliot is in his 3rd year at the school but has yet to take them to a bowl game. They need to win just one of their two remaining games to be bowl eligible, but face tough matchups against SMU and Virginia Tech. Virginia has a profitable record of 6-3-1 ATS and tends to go under with a 3-7 O/U split. Against Notre Dame, the Cavaliers struggled with turnovers, leading to QB Anthony Colandrea being replaced by backup Tony Muskett. However, Coach Elliot has stated that there is no quarterback controversy. Virginia's offense averages 24.8 points per game and is well-balanced with 142 rushing yards and 246 passing yards per game. They have struggled with sustaining drives and their defense allows a 38% 3rd-down conversion rate to opponents. Placekicker Will Bettridge has been a standout performer, making 17 of 19 field goals. SMU, ranked 21st in power rankings, has a strong offense averaging 40.11 points per game and a defense allowing 21.78 points per game. They have a record of 9-1 (6-4 ATS) this season.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Virginia Cavaliers Analysis

SMU has had a successful season so far, with a 9-1 record and a strong chance of making it to the CFP. However, their spot is not guaranteed as they currently sit in 14th place, behind Miami at 11th. If both teams win out, they will face off in the ACC title game with a shot at the CFP. Head Coach Rhett Lashlee emphasizes the importance of winning to secure a spot. SMU's offense has been impressive, averaging 40 points per game and led by QB Kevin Jennings and RB Brashard Smith. The defense has also performed well, allowing only 346 total yards per game. In comparison, Virginia has a lower power ranking and has struggled on offense and defense, with a 3-5 record. In their last three matchups, SMU has gone 0-0 against Virginia.

SMU Football Confidently Positioned to Dominate Matchup Against Virginia

Southern Methodist University (SMU) confidently navigates their football season, understanding the importance of maintaining their competitive edge in pursuit of a College Football Playoff (CFP) spot. With an impressive average margin of victory of nearly 20 points, SMU exhibits a well-balanced team dynamic characterized by a potent offense and a robust defense. Ahead of their upcoming match against Virginia, SMU's strong defensive capabilities are poised to exploit the vulnerabilities of Virginia's unsettled quarterback, Colandrea. Recent trends indicate SMU's consistent performance against the spread, while Virginia has struggled defensively in recent losses. Anticipating a double-digit victory, SMU is favored to cover the -9 point spread in this matchup.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#SMUMustangs#VirginiaCavaliers

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Mustangs vs Cavaliers archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Mustangs vs Cavaliers matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · SMU Mustangs-345 → -415Moved
  • Moneyline · Virginia Cavaliers+273 → +320Moved
  • Spread · SMU Mustangs-10 (-110) → -11.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Virginia Cavaliers+10 (-110) → +11.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over58.75 (-110) → 54.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under58.75 (-110) → 54.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

SMU Mustangs
8-1 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Virginia Cavaliers
3-5 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-11-22T01:44:32.199Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

SMU Mustangs defeated Virginia Cavaliers 33-7

SMU Mustangs defeated Virginia Cavaliers 33-7 on November 23, 2024, a 26-point decision in the series. SMU Mustangs' strongest period was the 2nd quarter, when it outscored its opponent 10-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded SMU Mustangs -11.5 (-110) spread, SMU Mustangs covered, while the 40 combined points finished under the recorded total of 54.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

No graded public tipster picks were recorded for this matchup.