SportsJaw
LeaderboardToday's GamesBest BetsOdds ComparisonConsensus PicksMake Picks
Login / Sign In
Today's GamesLatest PredictionsToday’s Best BetsOdds ComparisonConsensus PicksTeam PredictionsHead-to-Head MatchupsSJ CoinsAbout SportsJawContact UsLogin / Sign In
HomeMatchupsMake PicksLeaders
SportsJaw

The social platform for sports bettors.

Explore SportsJaw

  • Today’s Picks
  • Predictions
  • Best Bets
  • Leaderboard
  • Make Picks
  • Odds Comparison
  • Consensus Picks
  • Team Predictions
  • Head-to-Head
  • Game Briefing

Picks by Sport

  • NFL Picks
  • NCAAF Picks
  • NBA Picks
  • NCAAB Picks
  • MLB Picks
  • NHL Picks

About SportsJaw

  • How It Works
  • SJ Coins
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Contact Us

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

© 2026 SportsJaw. For entertainment purposes only. SportsJaw does not accept or place wagers.

  1. Home
  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. Kentucky Wildcats vs Missouri Tigers
Sat 7:30 PM ET
Kentucky Wildcats logo
Kentucky
Wildcats
7-3
versus
Missouri Tigers logo
Missouri
Tigers
6-4
NCAAF · Kentucky Wildcats at Missouri Tigers

Your Picks on Kentucky vs Missouri

Picks close 15 minutes before game time (ET)
Spread
Moneyline
Total

Kentucky vs Missouri consensus picks

Kentucky Wildcats52%
48%Missouri Tigers
Odds comparison

Sportsbook lines for this game

Current lines

MatchupBest availableDraftKingsFanDuelHeritage
Nov 21, 7:30 PM ETKentucky WildcatsMissouri Tigers
Best available+164FanDuel-192DraftKings
DraftKings+160-192BEST
FanDuel+164BEST-200
Heritage——

Kentucky Wildcats vs Missouri Tigers Prediction, Odds and Best Bet for Nov. 21, 2026

Game time: November 21, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET

Venue: Memorial Stadium — Columbia, MO

Article updated Nov 15, 1:34 AM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Missouri is projected to beat Kentucky 24-20, with Austin Simmons’ recent touchdown production offering the strongest matchup reason against a Wildcats offense coming off a 242-yard performance. Kentucky’s better overall and SEC records make this a low-confidence forecast. Neither the supplied Missouri -6.5 (-9,900) spread nor the 50.5 total offers a strong enough case for a wager; SportsJaw’s official recommendation is Pass.

Kentucky Wildcats vs Missouri Tigers prediction and best bet

Missouri is the pick to win a close game in Columbia. Simmons threw three touchdown passes at Georgia, while Kentucky scored 14 points against Florida. Those contrasting offensive performances give the Tigers a slight editorial edge, although results against different opponents are an imperfect comparison.

The best betting decision is Pass. A four-point Missouri victory would favor Kentucky against the supplied 6.5-point spread, but Kentucky’s -9,900 price demands far more certainty than this matchup warrants. The projected 44 points lean below 50.5, yet the scoring evidence is too mixed for an official Under wager.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Date and location: Nov. 21, 2026, in Columbia, Missouri. Kentucky visits Missouri in this 2026 college football matchup.

Broadcast: SEC Network, according to Kentucky’s Nov. 14 postgame report.

SportsJaw odds: Kentucky Wildcats +5.5 (-100); Missouri Tigers -5.5 (-150). Moneyline: Kentucky Wildcats +160; Missouri Tigers -203. Total: Over 48.5 (-110); Under 48.5 (-110).

Records and streaks: Kentucky is 7-3 overall and 5-3 in the SEC. Missouri is 6-4 overall and 3-4 in conference play, with a two-game losing streak.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Kentucky Wildcats outlook

Kentucky’s official recap of its Nov. 14 loss to Florida shows why its offense is the central concern. Kenny Minchey passed for 181 yards and one touchdown, but the Wildcats finished with just 61 rushing yards and 242 total yards in a 21-14 defeat.

The opening possession offered a better version of that offense: Kentucky completed a 15-play touchdown drive. Sustaining a possession that long is encouraging, but the final production makes it difficult to project a substantial scoring rebound with confidence.

Florida later put together a 14-play, 67-yard touchdown drive in the fourth quarter. For this forecast, that finish raises a practical question: can Kentucky generate enough offense to answer when an opponent consumes possessions late? Its stronger season record keeps an outright road victory plausible, even after the disappointing offensive showing.

Missouri Tigers outlook

Missouri’s official report on the 48-21 loss at Georgia contains both the case for the Tigers and the reason for caution. Simmons recovered from an early interception to throw three touchdown passes, but that production came in a game Missouri lost by 27 points.

His scoring passes went to Naeshaun Montgomery from 15 yards, Donovan Olugbode from 11 yards and Kenric Lanier II from two yards on fourth down. Olugbode’s catch was his eighth touchdown reception of the season; Lanier’s was his first career touchdown.

Olugbode’s season scoring total gives the passing outlook substance beyond one afternoon. Still, allowing 48 points is a serious counterweight to the offensive positives. The forecast requires Missouri to keep this game considerably tighter, and the recent result leaves that expectation uncertain.

Key matchup factors

The deciding question is whether Missouri’s passing production translates more reliably than Kentucky’s offense improves. I give the Tigers a small advantage there. Kentucky’s better records pull the other way, but records alone do not measure how these particular offenses and defenses will interact.

The spread consensus is nearly even. As of Nov. 15 at 06:25 UTC, the external and blended readings both favored Kentucky +5.5 (-100) at 52%. The combined modeled equivalent sample was 600 selections, split 312 for Kentucky and 288 for Missouri. Those estimates are not observed sportsbook tickets or a standalone count of SportsJaw member picks.

The reported day-over-day change was two percentage points toward Missouri -5.5 (-150). That modest movement still left Kentucky ahead. These consensus selections use different lines and prices from the supplied SportsJaw spread, so the 52% reading is neither a win probability nor evidence of value at -9,900.

Kentucky Wildcats vs Missouri Tigers spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Kentucky +6.5 (-9,900) and Missouri -6.5 (-9,900). The projected margin points toward Kentucky covering, while the projected winner is Missouri. Those positions are compatible in a close game.

The price makes restraint straightforward. At -9,900, a bettor risks $99 to profit $1, requiring a 99% break-even success rate. Neither side merits anything approaching that certainty. Kentucky’s offensive struggles and Missouri’s recent defensive result leave substantial room for the margin to depart from the forecast.

Kentucky Wildcats vs Missouri Tigers total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 50.5 (-110) and Under 50.5 (-110). The 24-20 projection totals 44 points, making Under the directional preference, but a projected score alone is not enough to justify a wager.

Kentucky’s recent offensive output favors a lower-scoring expectation. Missouri’s three passing touchdowns and the 48 points it allowed at Georgia create the opposite possibility. With those competing signals, I would leave the total alone rather than attach betting confidence to a precise scoring estimate.

Kentucky Wildcats vs Missouri Tigers Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: Missouri Tigers 24, Kentucky Wildcats 20. Simmons’ recent scoring production earns Missouri the narrow nod. Kentucky’s superior overall and conference records, together with Missouri’s two-game skid, are the strongest counterargument.

Confidence is low. This is a fragile winner prediction, with enough uncertainty on both sides of the ball to keep the spread and total recommendations at Pass. SportsJaw’s single official wager: Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Wildcats20

Tigers24

Projected winner Missouri TigersConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Sources

  • UK AthleticsPrevious-game context: No. 11 Kentucky Falls to Florida on Saturday
  • University of Missouri AthleticsPrevious-game context: No. 22 Football Falls at No. 1 Georgia
#KentuckyWildcats#MissouriTigers

Share this preview

Facebook X Reddit Email
SportsJaw logo
Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Wildcats vs Tigers game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Wildcats vs Tigers matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Kentucky Wildcats+150 → +160Moved
  • Moneyline · Missouri Tigers-208 → -203Moved
  • Spread · Kentucky Wildcats+5.5 (-117) → +5.5 (-100)Moved
  • Spread · Missouri Tigers-5.5 (-117) → -5.5 (-150)Moved
  • Total · Over50.5 (-110) → 48.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under50.5 (-110) → 48.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Kentucky Wildcats
7-3 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Missouri Tigers
6-4 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-11-15T06:34:34.546Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Keep browsing

More NCAAF matchups

Compare predictions, consensus picks and recorded odds for other NCAAF games on this slate.

View all NCAAF games
NCAAFSat 12:00 AM
INDIAN-7.5 (-105)
WASH+7.5 (-115)
O/U43.5
NCAAFSat 12:00 AM
BYU-7.5 (-110)
KANSAS+7.5 (-110)
O/U50.5
NCAAFSat 12:00 PM
TXAM+2.5 (-115)
OKLA-2.5 (-105)
O/U51.5
NCAAFSat 12:00 PM
OHIOST-3.5 (-150)
NEBR+3.5 (-102)
O/U44.5
NCAAFSat 12:00 PM
VANDY+12.5 (-120)
FLA-12.5 (+100)
O/U49.5
NCAAFSat 2:30 PM
IOWA-6.5 (-150)
ILLINO+6.5 (-150)
O/U43.5
NCAAFSat 3:30 PM
LSU-1.5 (-144)
TENN+1.5 (-158)
O/U47.5
NCAAFSat 3:30 PM
ARK+20.5 (-105)
TEXAS-20.5 (-115)
O/U48.5
NCAAFSat 7:30 PM
SMU+17.5 (-113)
NOTRD-17.5 (-108)
O/U58.5
NCAAFSat 7:30 PM
GEORGI-15.5 (-115)
S.CARO+15.5 (-105)
O/U49.5