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  1. Home
  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. Baylor Bears vs TCU Horned Frogs
Sat 3:30 PM ET
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TCU Horned Frogs logo
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TCU Horned Frogs014141442
NCAAF · Baylor Bears at TCU Horned Frogs

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TCU Hopes to Extend Streak Against Struggling Bears in Big 12 Tilt

Game time: November 18, 2023 at 3:30 PM ET

Venue: Amon G. Carter Stadium — Fort Worth, TX

Article updated Nov 13, 5:37 PM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

Baylor and TCU will meet on Saturday afternoon for a Big 12 tilt. Baylor is currently 2-7 SU and 2-5 in conference play, while TCU is 4-6 SU and 2-5 in conference play, both

Game outlook

Baylor and TCU will meet on Saturday afternoon for a Big 12 tilt. Baylor is currently 2-7 SU and 2-5 in conference play, while TCU is 4-6 SU and 2-5 in conference play, both on three-game losing streaks. TCU is the betting favorite opening at -13 and the line hasn't moved. Kickoff from Amon G. Carter Stadium is scheduled for 3:30 EST and the weather is not expected to be a factor.

Game Info

When: Saturday, 11/18/2023 @ 3:30pm EST

Where: Amon G. Carter Stadium Stadium Betting Odds Moneyline: Bears +400 | Horned Frogs -550

Spread: Bears +13 (-110) | Horned Frogs -13 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 58.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that TCU will win straight-up is 85%.

Baylor Bears

Baylor is having one of their worst seasons in the last 14 years, with a power ranking of 114 and a record of 3-7. On defense, they are allowing 32.4 points and 400.6 total yards per game, and have the lowest interceptions and second fewest sacks in the Big 12. Offensively, they are averaging 22.9 points and 386.3 total yards per game, with their passing game ranking fourth in the Big 12 with 274.2 yards per game. Blake Shapen has thrown for 1,991 yards in seven games this season, and threw for a season-high four touchdowns last time out. Linebacker Matt Jones leads the team in tackles, with 65, and is tied for most deflected passes with 4. Baylor QB Blake Shapen leading his guys into the Bounce House #SicEm pic.twitter.com/IcvL8wzVRg

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

TCU Horned Frogs Analysis

TCU is in a tough position to become bowl eligible with an overall record of 3-6. They have to win out for a bowl bid, and their offense has been struggling lately with only averaging 19 points over the past three games. Their ranking offense is 8th in the Big 12 with 28.9 total yards per game and ranking #57 overall. TCU's defense has allowed 24.33 points per game and has a ranking of #59 overall. They have 22 sacks with 76 tackles which puts them in the top three of the conference. Baylor went 3-0 in their last 3 matchups against TCU.

TCU Brings Balance to Rivalry: Horned Frogs Aiming for Fourth Straight Win Against Bears

TCU leads their long-running rivalry with a 58-53 SU advantage, having won the last three straight up and 11-4 over the last 15 meetings. In the past ten meetings, they have a 7-3 ATS record with last year's result favoring Baylor (plus 1.5 underdogs). The Horned Frogs' balanced offensive options allow them to implement their desired strategy. In their last game, Emani Bailey rushed for 98 yards and a TD against the Big 12's best-ranked rushing defense, the Longhorns. If Bailey receives 21 carries again he is set for a strong performance. The Bears have lost their momentum this year, going 2-7-1 ATS and 0-3 ATS in the last three, while TCU maintains a glimmer of hope that begins with a win here. Taking the Horned Frogs with the points is recommended.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#BaylorBears#TCUHornedFrogs

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Bears vs Horned Frogs archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Bears vs Horned Frogs matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Baylor Bears+390 → +400Moved
  • Moneyline · TCU Horned Frogs-550 → -550Unchanged
  • Spread · Baylor Bears+13 (-110) → +13 (-110)Unchanged
  • Spread · TCU Horned Frogs-13 (-110) → -13 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Over58.5 (-110) → 61 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under58.5 (-110) → 61 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Baylor Bears
2-7 matchup record · 2-7-1 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
TCU Horned Frogs
3-6 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-11-13T22:37:13.817Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-11-19TCU Horned Frogs 29 · Baylor Bears 28
  • 2021-11-06Baylor Bears 28 · TCU Horned Frogs 30
Final result

Matchup pick recap

TCU Horned Frogs defeated Baylor Bears 42-17

TCU Horned Frogs defeated Baylor Bears 42-17 on November 18, 2023, a 25-point decision in the series. TCU Horned Frogs' strongest period was the 4th quarter, when it outscored its opponent 14-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Baylor Bears +13 (-110) spread, TCU Horned Frogs covered, while the 59 combined points finished under the recorded total of 61.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • DengWinsSpread · TCU Horned Frogs -13 (-110)Win
  • MackintoshSpread · TCU Horned Frogs -13 (-110)Win
  • ThehitmanSpread · TCU Horned Frogs -13 (-110)Win
  • DrpaulSpread · TCU Horned Frogs -13 (-110)Win
  • KrockpicksSpread · Baylor Bears +13 (-110)Loss
  • AveragejoeSpread · TCU Horned Frogs -13 (-110)Win
  • Hustle$Spread · Baylor Bears +13 (-110)Loss
  • CoversSpread · Baylor Bears +13 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioSpread · Baylor Bears +13.25 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Under 61 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · Baylor Bears +13.25 (-110)Loss