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  1. Home
  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. UNLV Rebels vs Air Force Falcons
Sat 3:30 PM ET
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UNLV
Rebels31
7-2
versus
Air Force Falcons logo
Air Force
Falcons27
7-2
Final
Team1234T
UNLV Rebels7714331
Air Force Falcons7200027
NCAAF · UNLV Rebels at Air Force Falcons

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UNLV on Winning Streak as Quarterback Maiava Outperforms Air Force's Falcon Jones in Spread Betting Matchup

Game time: November 18, 2023 at 3:30 PM ET

Venue: Falcon Stadium — USAF Academy, CO

Article updated Nov 13, 1:36 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The UNLV Rebels are 8-2 with a 5-1 record in the Mountain West Conference and have been on a two-game winning streak. Freshman quarterback Jayden Maiava had a successful

Game outlook

The UNLV Rebels are 8-2 with a 5-1 record in the Mountain West Conference and have been on a two-game winning streak. Freshman quarterback Jayden Maiava had a successful game, passing 17-of-24 for 232 yards with a touchdown and 11 rushing attempts for 40 yards with a pair of rushing touchdowns. The Air Force Falcons (8-2, 5-1) are also in contention for the Mountain West Championship, yet are on a two-game losing streak. Senior quarterback Jensen Jones went 3-of-7 for 114 yards with an interception and 13 rushing attempts with a touchdown. Air Force is the opening favorite at -3.5.

Game Info

When: Saturday, 11/18/2023 @ 3:30pm EST

Where: Falcon Stadium Stadium Betting Odds Moneyline: Rebels +135 | Falcons -155

Spread: Rebels +3 (-110) | Falcons -3 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 47 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Air Force will win straight-up is 61%.

UNLV Rebels

Quarterback Jayden Maiava is 5th in the Mountain West with 2,060 yards, a solid 11-4 TD-INT ratio, and a 68.5 QBR (ranked 36th in the nation). Wide receiver Ricky White leads the conference in receiving yards with 1,020 and six touchdowns. The Rebels have a strong rush game (3rd in the Mountain West) with 195.7 yards per game. Linebacker Jackson Woodard has 84 tackles and defensive back Jerrae Williams leads with 3 sacks. UNLV has 21 takeaways through 10 games and coming off a 34-14 victory over Wyoming last week.

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Air Force Falcons Analysis

Senior quarterback Jensen Jones leads the team, 20th in the conference in pass yards with 125, and 0:1 TD-INT ratio. Fullback Emmanuel Michel is 4th in the MWC with 733 rushing yards on 163 attempts and nine touchdowns. Linebacker Alec Mock leads the team in tackles with 78 and PJ Ramsey has registered 6.5 sacks so far. There are five players listed as questionable for Air Force due to undisclosed injuries. The Air Force Falcons are 8-2 (4-5-1 ATS) and rank highly in offense (63rd) and defense (7th). Led by senior quarterback Jensen Jones, they are 4th in the MWC in rushing yards, with fullback Emmanuel Michel the leader (733 yards and 9 touchdowns). Linebackers Alec Mock and PJ Ramsey lead in tackles (78) and sacks (6.5) respectively. Five players are listed as questionable due to undisclosed injuries.

UNLV's Offense and Air Force's Defense Boosts 9-1 Against the Spread Record

UNLV's 9-1 against the spread record this season is due in part to their strong program and talented quarterback, Jayden Maiava. Meanwhile, Air Force's 5-5 record is likely affected by their 10 turnovers in the past two games, compounded by their one-dimensional offensive attack—making them vulnerable to strong defenses. Overall, UNLV's formidable offense, combined with Air Force's poor defense, makes them the more favorable choice as a spread bet.

SportsJawGame Predictions
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Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
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#UNLVRebels#AirForceFalcons

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Rebels vs Falcons archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Rebels vs Falcons matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · UNLV Rebels+150 → +125Moved
  • Moneyline · Air Force Falcons-175 → -146Moved
  • Spread · UNLV Rebels+3.5 (-110) → +3 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Air Force Falcons-3.5 (-110) → -3 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over47 (-110) → 47 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under47 (-110) → 47 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

UNLV Rebels
7-2 matchup record · 8-2-0 ATS · 5-3-2 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Air Force Falcons
7-2 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-11-13T06:36:43.059Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Senior quarterback Jensen Jones leads the team, 20th in the conference in pass yards with 125, and 0:1 TD-INT ratio. Fullback Emmanuel Michel is 4th in the MWC with 733 rushing yards on 163 attempts and nine touchdowns. Linebacker Alec Mock leads the team in tackles with 78 and PJ Ramsey has registered 6.5 sacks so far. There are five players listed as questionable for Air Force due to undisclosed injuries. The Air Force Falcons are 8-2 (4-5-1 ATS) and rank highly in offense (63rd) and defense (7th). Led by senior quarterback Jensen Jones, they are 4th in the MWC in rushing yards, with fullback Emmanuel Michel the leader (733 yards and 9 touchdowns). Linebackers Alec Mock and PJ Ramsey lead in tackles (78) and sacks (6.5) respectively. Five players are listed as questionable due to undisclosed injuries.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-10-15Air Force Falcons 42 · UNLV Rebels 7
  • 2021-11-26UNLV Rebels 14 · Air Force Falcons 48
Final result

Matchup pick recap

UNLV Rebels defeated Air Force Falcons 31-27

UNLV Rebels defeated Air Force Falcons 31-27 on November 18, 2023, a 4-point decision in the series. UNLV Rebels' strongest period was the 3rd quarter, when it outscored its opponent 14-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded UNLV Rebels +3 (-110) spread, UNLV Rebels covered, while the 58 combined points finished over the recorded total of 47.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • KrockpicksSpread · UNLV Rebels +3 (-110)Win
  • ThinkmakegrowSpread · Air Force Falcons -3 (-110)Loss
  • Destiny09Spread · Air Force Falcons -3 (-110)Loss
  • JamescashiolaSpread · UNLV Rebels +3 (-110)Win
  • EmcSpread · UNLV Rebels +2.5 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · UNLV Rebels +2.5 (-110)Win
  • MrpinkSpread · Air Force Falcons -2.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioSpread · UNLV Rebels +2.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 47 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · UNLV Rebels +2.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 47 (-110)Win