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  3. Duke Blue Devils vs Virginia Cavaliers
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5-4
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Duke Blue Devils01031427
Virginia Cavaliers7314630
NCAAF · Duke Blue Devils at Virginia Cavaliers

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Duke Blue Devils Aim To Overcome Leonard Injury, Cover Spread Against Virginia Cavaliers

Game time: November 18, 2023 at 3:00 PM ET

Venue: Scott Stadium — Charlottesville, VA

Article updated Nov 13, 1:36 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Duke Blue Devils are attempting to finish the regular season strongly after a tough double-overtime road loss against the North Carolina Tar Heels. Freshman quarterback

Game outlook

The Duke Blue Devils are attempting to finish the regular season strongly after a tough double-overtime road loss against the North Carolina Tar Heels. Freshman quarterback Grayson Loftis has stepped up in the wake of Riley Leonard's injury and performed decently. The Virginia Cavaliers are facing a three-game losing streak and their freshman QB Anthony Colandrea posted steady numbers in the passing and running games against the Louisville Cardinals last Thursday. The Duke Blue Devils are the betting favorite in this matchup, opening at -4 and currently sitting at -3.5.

Game Info

When: Saturday, 11/18/2023 @ 3:00pm EST

Where: David A. Harrison III Field at Scott Stadium Stadium Betting Odds Moneyline: Blue Devils -182 | Cavaliers +155

Spread: Blue Devils -3.5 (-110) | Cavaliers +3.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 47 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Duke will win straight-up is 65%.

Duke Blue Devils

QB Riley Leonard (3-3 TD-INT ratio, 70.1 QBR, 1,102 passing yards) and RB Jordan Waters (12 rushing touchdowns, 677 rushing yards, 67.7 yards per game) are their two standout players. In their last game, the defense allowed 13-of-21 conversions on third/fourth down, although Henry Belin IV and Riley Leonard are both questionable for their next game with upper and toe injuries respectively. The Duke Blue Devils have had a strong season, boasting a 6-4 (5-5 ATS) record and a 40th power ranking. With a defense allowing an average of 15.67 points to be scored against them per game, they remain the third-best defensive team in their conference, with linebacker Tre Freeman leading the team in tackles (85) and defensive tackle Aeneas Peebles having 3.0 sacks. On offense, Quarterback Riley Leonard (3-3 TD-INT ratio, 70.1 QBR, 1,102 passing yards) and Running back Jordan Waters (12 rushing touchdowns, 677 rushing yards, 67.7 yards per game) are the standout players, with Waters averaging 67.7 yards per game and scoring 12 total touchdowns. Despite their success, injuries have hampered the team with Quarterback Henry Belin IV and Riley Leonard both listed as questionable with upper and toe injuries respectively.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Virginia Cavaliers Analysis

The team is led by freshman quarterback Anthony Colandrea, who ranks 11th in the conference for pass yards, averaging 239.5 yards per game. Wide receiver Malik Washington is their top threat, with 1,199 yards and seven touchdowns. Virginia's passing defense ranks 5th in the conference with 248.9 yards per game, but their defense struggles ranking last in the conference giving up 32.3 points per game. The Cavaliers have 11 takeaways (seven interceptions). The Injury report for Northern Illinois includes quarterback Tony Muskett (foot, doubtful), defensive back Coen King (elbow, out), running back Perris Jones (spine, out), running back Xavier Brown (arm, out), safety Antonio Clary (ankle, out), linebacker Langston Long (foot, out) and defensive tackle Olasunkonmi Agunloye (knee, out).

Duke Blue Devils Strongly Poised to Cover Spread at Virginia Cavaliers

The teams are quite mismatched in talent, which is raising questions about why the spread is not more lopsided. Although Riley Leonard's injury has caused the offense to suffer, Grayson Loftis and Jordan Waters are providing enough support that the Cavaliers defense should not be able to make stops. Comparing offensive lines, Duke has allowed only 14 sacks versus Virginia's 36. Therefore, Duke Blue Devils appear to be the logical pick to cover the spread when they visit.

SportsJawGame Predictions
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Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
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Pick on the Total

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#DukeBlueDevils#VirginiaCavaliers

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Blue Devils vs Cavaliers archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Blue Devils vs Cavaliers matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Duke Blue Devils-188 → -145Moved
  • Moneyline · Virginia Cavaliers+160 → +125Moved
  • Spread · Duke Blue Devils-4 (-110) → -3 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Virginia Cavaliers+4 (-110) → +3 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over48 (-110) → 46 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under48 (-110) → 46 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Duke Blue Devils
5-4 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Virginia Cavaliers
1-8 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 7-1-2 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-11-13T06:36:35.682Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The Duke Blue Devils are attempting to finish the regular season strongly after a tough double-overtime road loss against the North Carolina Tar Heels. Freshman quarterback Grayson Loftis has stepped up in the wake of Riley Leonard's injury and performed decently. The Virginia Cavaliers are facing a three-game losing streak and their freshman QB Anthony Colandrea posted steady numbers in the passing and running games against the Louisville Cardinals last Thursday. The Duke Blue Devils are the betting favorite in this matchup, opening at -4 and currently sitting at -3.5.

QB Riley Leonard (3-3 TD-INT ratio, 70.1 QBR, 1,102 passing yards) and RB Jordan Waters (12 rushing touchdowns, 677 rushing yards, 67.7 yards per game) are their two standout players. In their last game, the defense allowed 13-of-21 conversions on third/fourth down, although Henry Belin IV and Riley Leonard are both questionable for their next game with upper and toe injuries respectively. The Duke Blue Devils have had a strong season, boasting a 6-4 (5-5 ATS) record and a 40th power ranking. With a defense allowing an average of 15.67 points to be scored against them per game, they remain the third-best defensive team in their conference, with linebacker Tre Freeman leading the team in tackles (85) and defensive tackle Aeneas Peebles having 3.0 sacks. On offense, Quarterback Riley Leonard (3-3 TD-INT ratio, 70.1 QBR, 1,102 passing yards) and Running back Jordan Waters (12 rushing touchdowns, 677 rushing yards, 67.7 yards per game) are the standout players, with Waters averaging 67.7 yards per game and scoring 12 total touchdowns. Despite their success, injuries have hampered the team with Quarterback Henry Belin IV and Riley Leonard both listed as questionable with upper and toe injuries respectively.

The team is led by freshman quarterback Anthony Colandrea, who ranks 11th in the conference for pass yards, averaging 239.5 yards per game. Wide receiver Malik Washington is their top threat, with 1,199 yards and seven touchdowns. Virginia's passing defense ranks 5th in the conference with 248.9 yards per game, but their defense struggles ranking last in the conference giving up 32.3 points per game. The Cavaliers have 11 takeaways (seven interceptions). The Injury report for Northern Illinois includes quarterback Tony Muskett (foot, doubtful), defensive back Coen King (elbow, out), running back Perris Jones (spine, out), running back Xavier Brown (arm, out), safety Antonio Clary (ankle, out), linebacker Langston Long (foot, out) and defensive tackle Olasunkonmi Agunloye (knee, out).

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-10-01Virginia Cavaliers 17 · Duke Blue Devils 38
  • 2021-10-16Duke Blue Devils 0 · Virginia Cavaliers 48
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Virginia Cavaliers defeated Duke Blue Devils 30-27

Virginia Cavaliers defeated Duke Blue Devils 30-27 on November 18, 2023, a 3-point decision in the series. Virginia Cavaliers' strongest period was the 3rd quarter, when it outscored its opponent 14-3. Against SportsJaw's recorded Duke Blue Devils -3 (-110) spread, Virginia Cavaliers covered, while the 57 combined points finished over the recorded total of 46.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • PeytoncSpread · Virginia Cavaliers +4.5 (-110)Win
  • DtownsendTotal · Over 47 (-110)Win
  • Leadpipe_LocksSpread · Duke Blue Devils -3.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Under 47 (-110)Loss
  • Destiny09Spread · Duke Blue Devils -3.5 (-110)Loss
  • GeorgewTotal · Over 46 (-110)Win
  • 1735203231Spread · Virginia Cavaliers +3.5 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · Duke Blue Devils -3 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioSpread · Virginia Cavaliers +3 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · Virginia Cavaliers +3 (-110)Win