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  3. Michigan St. Spartans vs Indiana Hoosiers
Sat 12:00 PM ET
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Michigan St.
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2-7
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Indiana Hoosiers logo
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Michigan St. Spartans7701024
Indiana Hoosiers077721
NCAAF · Michigan St. Spartans at Indiana Hoosiers

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Michigan State to Outscore Indiana in Closely Matched Game at Memorial Stadium on Saturday

Game time: November 18, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET

Venue: Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) — Bloomington, IN

Article updated Nov 13, 1:36 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

5 as the two teams look to break into the top of the Big Ten standings. Both teams are 3-7 on the season and 1-6 in the Big Ten. Michigan State was run off the field against

Game outlook

5 as the two teams look to break into the top of the Big Ten standings. Both teams are 3-7 on the season and 1-6 in the Big Ten. Michigan State was run off the field against #1 Ohio State in their last game while Indiana fell 48-45 in overtime vs. Illinois, covering as the 4.5-point underdog spread. Saturday's game at Memorial Stadium in Bloomington is set to kickoff at 12PM EST on the Big Ten Network.

Game Info

When: Saturday, 11/18/2023 @ 12:00pm EST

Where: Memorial Stadium Stadium Betting Odds Moneyline: Spartans +160 | Hoosiers -180

Spread: Spartans +4 (-110) | Hoosiers -4 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 47 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Indiana will win straight-up is 64%.

Michigan St. Spartans

Michigan St. has struggled offensively, as freshman quarterback Katin Houser averages only 121.6 yards through the air and relies on running back Nathan Carter for production, as Carter averages 71.1 rushing yards per game with four total touchdowns. The Spartans are led defensively by linebacker Cal Haladay, who has 74 tackles, linebacker Aaron Brule with four sacks and defensive back Jaden Mangham with four interceptions. With four games left on their schedule, Michigan St. is hoping to gain some momentum with a strong finish. Michigan State has an overall power ranking of 104 and is struggling to find success this season. They rank 73rd in defense (allowing an average of 26.56 points) and 122nd in offense (scoring an average of 18.22 points) and hold a 3-7 record (4-5-1 ATS). Freshman quarterback Katin Houser leads the offense, averaging 121.6 yards per game, while sophomore running back Nathan Carter averages 71.1 rushing yards per game and four touchdowns. The Spartan defense is led by Cal Haladay (74 tackles), Aaron Brule (four sacks) and Jaden Mangham (four interceptions). With four games remaining, Michigan State is hoping to gain some momentum with a strong finish.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Indiana Hoosiers Analysis

Quarterback Brendan Sorsby has been successful this season, averaging 217.5 yards per game with 8 touchdowns and only 2 interceptions. Donaven McCulley is their top player on offense, with 5 receiving touchdowns and averaging 52.4 yards per game. Linebacker Aaron Casey leads the team in tackles and sacks with 86 and 5.5 respectively, while defensive backs Louis Moore and Phillip Dunnam each have three interceptions. Indiana lost their second Big Ten game of the season in overtime to Illinois, with their secondary allowing 507 passing yards from the Illini. Indiana is struggling this season with their record at 2-7, ranked #119 in offense and #84 in defense. The Hoosiers have been able to keep their turnovers low and their top player on offense is Donaven McCulley with 5 receiving touchdowns and averaging 52.4 yards per game. The leader of the team on defense is linebacker Aaron Casey with 86 tackles, 5.5 sacks, and defensive backs Louis Moore and Phillip Dunnam each have three interceptions. Unfortunately, Indiana was close to grabbed their second Big Ten win of the season but fell in overtime due to the Illini's passing attack.

Michigan State Favored to Win Closely Matched Game with Exploitation of Weak Indiana Run Defense

Michigan State holds an obvious edge in this closely matched game: their strong rushing attack versus Indiana's weak run defense. The Spartans have the better ground game, with Nathan Carter carrying 711 yards this season compared to the Hoosiers' highest figure of 265. Indiana's worst-in-the-Big-Ten run defense (allowing 160.9 yards per game) suggests Michigan State will be smart to keep the ball on the ground and maintain control of the field position. Ultimately, this game may come down to a last second field goal - making a smart bet on the Spartans and their points an obvious choice.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#MichiganStSpartans#IndianaHoosiers

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Spartans vs Hoosiers archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Spartans vs Hoosiers matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Michigan St. Spartans+173 → +159Moved
  • Moneyline · Indiana Hoosiers-208 → -180Moved
  • Spread · Michigan St. Spartans+4.5 (-110) → +3.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Indiana Hoosiers-4.5 (-110) → -3.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over47 (-110) → 47 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under47 (-110) → 47 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Michigan St. Spartans
2-7 matchup record · 3-5-2 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Indiana Hoosiers
2-7 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-11-13T06:36:06.091Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-11-19Indiana Hoosiers 39 · Michigan St. Spartans 31
  • 2021-10-16Michigan St. Spartans 20 · Indiana Hoosiers 15
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Michigan St. Spartans defeated Indiana Hoosiers 24-21

Michigan St. Spartans defeated Indiana Hoosiers 24-21 on November 18, 2023, a 3-point decision in the series. Michigan St. Spartans' strongest period was the 1st quarter, when it outscored its opponent 7-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Michigan St. Spartans +3.5 (-110) spread, Michigan St. Spartans covered, while the 45 combined points finished under the recorded total of 47.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • EljefeSpread · Michigan St. Spartans -4.5 (-110)Win
  • TphamSpread · Michigan St. Spartans +4.5 (-110)Win
  • Philly267Spread · Michigan St. Spartans +4.5 (-110)Win
  • BjenkinsSpread · Michigan St. Spartans +4 (-110)Win
  • CovergirlTotal · Over 47 (-110)Loss
  • 1735203231Spread · Michigan St. Spartans +3.5 (-110)Win
  • Altuve27Spread · Michigan St. Spartans +3.5 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · Indiana Hoosiers -3.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioSpread · Michigan St. Spartans +3.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Under 47 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · Michigan St. Spartans +3.5 (-110)Win