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  1. Home
  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. Ball St. Cardinals vs Ohio Bobcats
Tue 7:00 PM ET
Ball St. Cardinals logo
Ball St.
Cardinals
3-7
versus
Ohio Bobcats logo
Ohio
Bobcats
7-3
NCAAF · Ball St. Cardinals at Ohio Bobcats

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Ball St. Cardinals vs Ohio Bobcats Prediction, Odds and Best Bet for Nov. 17, 2026

Game time: November 17, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET

Venue: Peden Stadium — Athens, OH

Article updated Nov 13, 1:23 AM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Ohio will beat Ball State 24-17 in our forecast for November 17, with Nick Poulos’ passing and rushing production giving the Bobcats the stronger offensive case against a Cardinals team coming off missed scoring opportunities. Ohio’s collapse against Miami makes laying 8.5 points unattractive, however. Neither the spread nor the 49.5 total offers a convincing wager; the official recommendation is Pass.

Ball St. Cardinals vs Ohio Bobcats prediction and best bet

Ohio is the pick to win, but the best betting decision is Pass. Poulos contributed through the air and on the ground against Miami, while Ball State struggled to turn its yardage against Buffalo into points. That supports a modest preference for the Bobcats rather than a confident prediction of a comfortable victory.

Both teams bring a substantial concern into this matchup. Ohio lost after building a 17-0 lead, and Ball State allowed a 7-7 game to become a 28-7 defeat. Neither finish inspires confidence in laying more than a touchdown. Our Ohio Bobcats 24, Ball State Cardinals 17 forecast reflects that uncertainty.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game: Ball St. Cardinals at Ohio Bobcats, November 17, 2026, in college football’s 2026 season.

Venue/location: Peden Stadium, Athens, Ohio.

Broadcast: CBSSN.

Records: Ball St. Cardinals 3-7; Ohio Bobcats 7-3.

SportsJaw odds: Ball St. Cardinals +8.5 (-117); Ohio Bobcats -8.5 (-117). Moneyline: Ball St. Cardinals +245; Ohio Bobcats -376. Total: Over 49.5 (-117); Under 49.5 (-117).

Ball St. Cardinals outlook

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Ball State’s official recap of its November 11 loss to Buffalo describes an offense that moved the ball without enough reward. The Cardinals totaled 325 yards, including 189 rushing yards and 136 passing yards. They also reported six opportunities inside Buffalo’s 30-yard line that produced no points. Those missed chances matter more to this forecast than the yardage alone.

Keldric Luster completed 20 passes for 136 yards, with no touchdown and no interception. That performance offers no reason to blame interceptions for the defeat, but it also leaves a clear question about whether the passing game can help finish possessions against Ohio.

The defense supplied a more encouraging detail: a season-high four sacks. Jared Badie recorded two, and Mikeah Webster and Sam Feeney added one each. Ball State remained tied with Buffalo until 3:30 remained in the third quarter before surrendering 21 unanswered second-half points. Its competitiveness lasted considerably longer than the final margin might suggest.

Ohio Bobcats outlook

Ohio’s official account of the November 10 Miami game presents two sharply different phases. The Bobcats established a 17-0 advantage, then lost 34-17. Their early scoring is encouraging, but the reversal is a serious reason to temper expectations for the favorite.

Poulos passed for 193 yards and a touchdown and rushed for another 63 yards. Duncan Brune contributed 47 rushing yards and a touchdown, while Riley Neer finished with 74 receiving yards and a touchdown. Poulos’ contribution in both phases is the most useful personnel detail behind the Ohio forecast, although one performance cannot promise the same production here.

Linebacker Michael Molnar recorded eight tackles and an interception. That individual contribution offers a positive from the defeat, but Ohio still needs a more complete performance to justify winning by the margin its spread requires.

Key matchup factors

The first question is whether Ball State can turn possession into points. A repeat of its missed opportunities against Buffalo would make an Ohio victory easier to envision. Better finishing could instead make the Cardinals dangerous with an 8.5-point cushion. Their last result leaves both possibilities open.

The second is how Ohio handles pressure. Ball State’s recent sacks give the Cardinals a plausible way to interrupt drives, while Poulos’ rushing contribution suggests another route for Ohio to gain yards. The evidence favors watching that interaction closely rather than assuming either side controls it.

Late-game execution is a concern for both teams. Ohio’s lost lead and Ball State’s late separation against Buffalo do not create a reliable advantage for either side. They make a narrow Ohio win more appealing as a forecast than a decisive cover.

Ball St. Cardinals vs Ohio Bobcats spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Ohio -8.5 (-108) and Ball State +8.5 (-108). The projected seven-point margin falls inside Ball State’s cushion, but that score is an editorial estimate, not proof that the underdog is mispriced.

Ohio’s offensive contributions support selecting the winner. Its collapse against Miami weakens the case for laying 8.5. Ball State’s missed scoring opportunities also make taking the points uncomfortable. Neither side earns an official spread recommendation at these prices.

Ball St. Cardinals vs Ohio Bobcats total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 49.5 (-110) and Under 49.5 (-110). Our projection totals 41 points, giving the forecast an Under direction without making Under a wager.

Ball State’s struggles to finish possessions could keep scoring down, but improved conversion would change that picture. Ohio’s Miami game also shows how dramatically scoring can shift within one contest. These recent performances leave too much uncertainty to price the total confidently, and rushing yardage alone is no measure of game pace.

Ball St. Cardinals vs Ohio Bobcats Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: Ohio Bobcats 24, Ball State Cardinals 17. Confidence: low. Poulos’ production and Ball State’s recent difficulty converting opportunities give Ohio the slight edge. The strongest counterargument is the Bobcats’ inability to protect a 17-point lead against Miami, especially with Ball State coming off an effective pass-rushing performance.

Ohio remains the projected winner. Both the spread and total are passes, and the single official SportsJaw betting lean is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Cardinals17

Bobcats24

Projected winner Ohio BobcatsConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass on Ohio Bobcats -8.5 (-108) and Ball St. Cardinals +8.5 (-108)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass on Over 49.5 (-110) and Under 49.5 (-110)

Sources

  • Ohio University AthleticsPrevious-game context: Ohio Football Falls on The Road to Miami (OH)
  • Ball State University AthleticsPrevious-game context: Cardinals Fall to Bulls at Rainy Scheumann
#BallStCardinals#OhioBobcats

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Cardinals vs Bobcats game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Cardinals vs Bobcats matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Ball St. Cardinals+228 → +245Moved
  • Moneyline · Ohio Bobcats-376 → -376Unchanged
  • Spread · Ball St. Cardinals+8.5 (-108) → +8.5 (-117)Moved
  • Spread · Ohio Bobcats-8.5 (-108) → -8.5 (-117)Moved
  • Total · Over49.5 (-110) → 49.5 (-117)Moved
  • Total · Under49.5 (-110) → 49.5 (-117)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Ball St. Cardinals
3-7 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 7-2-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Ohio Bobcats
7-3 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-11-13T06:23:53.652Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2025-10-04Ohio Bobcats 14 · Ball St. Cardinals 20
  • 2024-11-29Ball St. Cardinals 21 · Ohio Bobcats 42
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