New Mexico St. Aggies vs Missouri St. Bears Prediction, Odds and Best Bet
Missouri State will beat New Mexico State 24-21 in our forecast, with recent receiving production from Jmariyae Robinson and Isiaih Myers providing the strongest matchup reason for a slight Bears lean. Missouri State’s struggles against FIU’s running game keep confidence low. Neither Bears -2.5 (-108) nor the 49.5 total offers a compelling wager at the supplied prices. SportsJaw’s official recommendation is Pass.
New Mexico St. Aggies vs Missouri St. Bears prediction and best bet
Missouri State is the pick in this November 14, 2026 college football matchup, but the expected separation is small. The Bears showed useful production from two receivers in their latest game, giving the forecast a modest offensive foundation. Their defensive performance in that same loss makes a comfortable victory harder to envision.
Both teams enter 3-6 overall and 2-3 in Conference USA. Those matching records offer no obvious separator. Our forecast favors Missouri State 24-21, while the single official SportsJaw betting recommendation is Pass. Picking the likely winner requires less conviction than paying to back a narrow spread.
Odds, game time and how to watch
Date: November 14, 2026. New Mexico State visits Missouri State.
Venue: Robert W. Plaster Stadium in Springfield, Missouri.
Broadcast: ESPN+.
SportsJaw moneyline: New Mexico State +106; Missouri State -128.
SportsJaw odds: New Mexico St. Aggies +1.5 (-105); Missouri St. Bears -1.5 (-115). Moneyline: New Mexico St. Aggies +109; Missouri St. Bears -125. Total: Over 49.5 (-105); Under 49.5 (-115).