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  1. Home
  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. Kennesaw St. Owls vs Sam Houston St. Bearkats
Sat 2:00 PM ET
Kennesaw St. Owls logo
Kennesaw St.
Owls
3-6
versus
Sam Houston St. Bearkats logo
Sam Houston St.
Bearkats
1-8
NCAAF · Kennesaw St. Owls at Sam Houston St. Bearkats

Your Picks on Kennesaw St. vs Sam Houston St.

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Kennesaw St. vs Sam Houston St. consensus picks

Kennesaw St. Owls45%
55%Sam Houston St. Bearkats
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Kennesaw St. Owls vs Sam Houston St. Bearkats prediction, odds and best bet for Nov. 14, 2026

Game time: November 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET

Venue: Elliott T. Bowers Stadium — Huntsville, TX

Article updated Nov 9, 12:36 AM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Kennesaw State will beat Sam Houston, with a projected score of Kennesaw State 27, Sam Houston 20. The Owls’ stronger scoring average and two-game winning streak give them the advantage against a struggling home team. However, Kennesaw State -8.5 (-110) asks for more separation than our forecast, and neither that spread nor the 47.5 total offers a strong enough case for an official wager.

Kennesaw St. Owls vs Sam Houston St. Bearkats prediction and best bet

Kennesaw State is the pick to win this Nov. 14, 2026 college football matchup. The Owls have the stronger offensive scoring baseline, while Sam Houston enters with six consecutive losses. Our forecast is Kennesaw State 27, Sam Houston 20, with medium confidence in the winner.

The official SportsJaw betting lean is Pass. Choosing the likely winner is easier than backing that team to cover 8.5 points. Sam Houston’s scoring struggles also make taking the points less appealing than the projected margin alone suggests. The total deserves its own assessment, with personnel uncertainty complicating a modest Under lean.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game time: Saturday, Nov. 14, 2026, at 2 p.m. ET, according to CollegeFFB’s matchup report.

Location: Huntsville, Texas. Kennesaw State visits Sam Houston in Conference USA play.

Records and streaks: Kennesaw State is 3-6 overall and 2-3 in conference, with two straight wins. Sam Houston is 1-8 overall and 0-5 in conference, with six straight losses.

SportsJaw odds: Kennesaw St. Owls -8 (-110); Sam Houston St. Bearkats +8 (-110). Moneyline: Kennesaw St. Owls -320; Sam Houston St. Bearkats +260. Total: Over 47.5 (-108); Under 47.5 (-110).

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

SportsJaw total: Over 47.5 (-110); Under 47.5 (-110).

SportsJaw moneyline: Kennesaw State -325; Sam Houston +260.

Kennesaw St. Owls outlook

CollegeFFB reports that Kennesaw State averages 25.1 points per game and beat Delaware 42-40 on Nov. 7. That victory extended the Owls’ winning streak to two games, but the narrow result tempers enthusiasm about asking them to win comfortably here. Scoring 42 points and winning by two are different signals for a favorite laying more than a touchdown.

Boogie Woods averaged 13.3 carries over the previous three games and handled 48% of Kennesaw State’s carries, according to CollegeFFB. His workload makes him a useful player to watch, although those usage figures alone say nothing about how efficiently the Owls will run against Sam Houston.

Quarterback Rickie Collins and receiver Zion Booker were listed as questionable in CollegeFFB’s Nov. 8 updates. Neither designation means a confirmed absence. Their status matters because the forecast asks Kennesaw State to produce enough offense to maintain an advantage on the road.

Sam Houston St. Bearkats outlook

Sam Houston’s 17.6-point scoring average is the clearest obstacle to an upset. The Bearkats need a better offensive result than that baseline to reach our projected 20 points, and their six-game losing streak offers little reason to assume an easy turnaround.

Chris Reed supplied a positive individual performance in the Nov. 7 loss at Jacksonville State. CollegeFFB credits him with six catches for 80 yards and a touchdown. That gives Sam Houston a recent example of receiving production, without proving it can sustain the same output throughout this matchup.

The injury picture adds difficulty. CollegeFFB lists receivers Kyan Berry-Johnson and Kamari Maxwell as out for the season, with running backs MJ Dowdy and Jerrian Parker questionable. Those concerns leave the Bearkats with offensive questions of their own.

Key matchup factors

The 7.5-point difference between the teams’ scoring averages favors Kennesaw State, but it is not an expected winning margin. Offensive averages do not account for this opponent’s defense or settle how the questionable players will affect Saturday’s game.

Other analysts also favor the Owls. Dimers projects Kennesaw State 26, Sam Houston 18 and assigns Kennesaw State a 74.5% win probability. Luck Adjusted forecasts a 6.9-point Owls victory with a 67% win probability. College Football Now’s editorial pick is Kennesaw State 27, Sam Houston 20.

Those views agree on the winner but differ on its likelihood and margin. Luck Adjusted’s middle-50% outcome range stretches from Kennesaw State winning by 18 to Sam Houston winning by four. Three matching winner picks do not turn a competitive matchup into a guaranteed result or demonstrate value at the supplied prices.

Kennesaw St. Owls vs Sam Houston St. Bearkats spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Kennesaw State -8.5 (-110) and Sam Houston +8.5 (-110). Our seven-point projection would favor the Bearkats against this spread, but the cushion is modest and their offensive personnel concerns weaken that case.

Dimers’ reported 51.0% cover probability applies to Kennesaw State -7.5, not SportsJaw’s -8.5. It should not be transferred to the larger number. The outside winning-margin forecasts all fall below 8.5 points, which discourages backing the Owls, but none supplies a verified cover probability for Sam Houston at this exact line.

Kennesaw St. Owls vs Sam Houston St. Bearkats total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 47.5 (-110) and Under 47.5 (-110). Our 27-20 forecast totals 47 points, just half a point below the line. That is too narrow a difference to make Under the official wager.

Dimers’ projected total is 44, while College Football Now’s is 47. Both lean below the supplied number, but neither prediction includes a supplied probability for Under 47.5. Kennesaw State’s latest game produced 82 combined points, a reminder that recent results can vary sharply from a season scoring baseline. The personnel questions add uncertainty in both directions.

Kennesaw St. Owls vs Sam Houston St. Bearkats Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: Kennesaw State 27, Sam Houston 20. The Owls’ scoring advantage and recent wins support medium confidence in the winner. The strongest counterargument is their questionable quarterback status, coupled with a latest victory that required 42 points to win by two.

Kennesaw State remains the selection to win, but our projected margin falls short of covering -8.5 and our projected total sits barely below 47.5. Both markets are a Pass. The single official SportsJaw betting lean is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Owls27

Bearkats20

Projected winner Kennesaw St. OwlsConfidencemedium
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass on Over 47.5 (-110) and Under 47.5 (-110).

Sources

  • CollegeFFBKennesaw State at Sam Houston Breakdown: Week 11, Nov. 14, 2026
  • DimersKennesaw State vs. Sam Houston State Week 11 Prediction, Picks & Odds [11/14/2026]
  • Luck AdjustedCollege football predictions week 11: luck-adjusted picks
#KennesawStOwls#SamHoustonStBearkats

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Owls vs Bearkats game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Owls vs Bearkats matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Kennesaw St. Owls-325 → -320Moved
  • Moneyline · Sam Houston St. Bearkats+260 → +260Unchanged
  • Spread · Kennesaw St. Owls-8.5 (-110) → -8 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Sam Houston St. Bearkats+8.5 (-110) → +8 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over46.5 (-110) → 47.5 (-108)Moved
  • Total · Under46.5 (-110) → 47.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Kennesaw St. Owls
3-6 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Sam Houston St. Bearkats
1-8 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-11-09T05:36:51.706Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Quarterback Rickie Collins and receiver Zion Booker were listed as questionable in CollegeFFB’s Nov. 8 updates. Neither designation means a confirmed absence. Their status matters because the forecast asks Kennesaw State to produce enough offense to maintain an advantage on the road.

The injury picture adds difficulty. CollegeFFB lists receivers Kyan Berry-Johnson and Kamari Maxwell as out for the season, with running backs MJ Dowdy and Jerrian Parker questionable. Those concerns leave the Bearkats with offensive questions of their own.

The 7.5-point difference between the teams’ scoring averages favors Kennesaw State, but it is not an expected winning margin. Offensive averages do not account for this opponent’s defense or settle how the questionable players will affect Saturday’s game.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-11-16Sam Houston St. Bearkats 23 · Kennesaw St. Owls 17
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