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  1. Home
  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. Washington Huskies vs Michigan St. Spartans
Sat 4:15 PM ET
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Washington
Huskies
4-4
versus
Michigan St. Spartans logo
Michigan St.
Spartans
3-6
NCAAF · Washington Huskies at Michigan St. Spartans

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Washington vs Michigan St. consensus picks

Washington Huskies57%
43%Michigan St. Spartans
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Washington Huskies vs Michigan St. Spartans prediction, odds and best bet for Nov. 14, 2026

Game time: November 14, 2026 at 4:15 PM ET

Venue: Spartan Stadium — East Lansing, MI

Article updated Nov 12, 10:29 AM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Washington is our projected winner over Michigan State, 23-21, with the Huskies’ receiving production providing the strongest reason to favor them. Lawson and Roebuck give Washington two productive targets, but Michigan State’s recent defensive performance makes the margin uncertain. Neither Washington -3.5 (-103) nor the 43.5 total offers a convincing betting edge, so the official SportsJaw recommendation is Pass.

Washington Huskies vs Michigan St. Spartans prediction and best bet

Washington gets the win in our forecast, but the spread requires a separate decision. The Huskies’ passing production supports a narrow preference, while Michigan State’s 15-6 victory at Michigan supplies a substantial counterargument. Our prediction is Washington 23, Michigan State 21, with low confidence and no official wager.

Other analysts also favor Washington outright, though their estimates differ. Dimers assigns the Huskies a 59.6% win probability, and College Football Charts gives them 64%. BetMGM describes its winning-team model as having 55.2% confidence in Washington. Those are separate assessments, not a combined probability or proof that Washington will cover.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game time: Saturday, Nov. 14, 2026, at 4:15 p.m. ET / 1:15 p.m. PT. Both schools’ official previews confirm this 2026 college football matchup.

Venue: Spartan Stadium in East Lansing, Michigan.

Broadcast: BTN.

Records: Washington Huskies 4-4; Michigan St. Spartans 3-6.

SportsJaw moneyline: Washington -165; Michigan State +140.

SportsJaw odds: Washington Huskies -3.5 (-102); Michigan St. Spartans +3.5 (-113). Moneyline: Washington Huskies -160; Michigan St. Spartans +140. Total: Over 44 (-110); Under 44 (-110).

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Washington Huskies outlook

Michigan State’s official preview lists Demond Williams Jr. with 142 completions on 220 attempts, 1,667 passing yards, 11 touchdowns and four interceptions. He also leads Washington with 73 rushing attempts and 254 yards. His rushing contribution gives the forecast another consideration beyond the passing game, without making Washington’s ground attack an assumed advantage.

Chris Lawson has 49 receptions for 727 yards and three touchdowns, while Dezmen Roebuck has 57 catches for 539 yards and four touchdowns. Their production is the clearest personnel-based reason to favor Washington: the Huskies have two established receiving options with different yardage and reception totals.

Washington lost 28-25 to Penn State on Nov. 7 after trailing 28-6 at halftime. Williams finished with 172 passing yards, two touchdown throws, one interception and 43 rushing yards. The comeback showed recovery within that game, but the early deficit is a reason to temper expectations for a comfortable win in East Lansing.

Michigan St. Spartans outlook

Michigan State’s Nov. 7 win offers a concrete case for a competitive game. The Spartans outgained Michigan 298-192, forced four turnovers and recorded five sacks, according to their official preview. Repeating that pressure would challenge Washington’s passing-led path to victory, although another four-takeaway performance is too much to assume.

Alessio Milivojevic returned after an injury absence against UCLA and completed 21 of 32 passes for 188 yards at Michigan. His season totals stand at 142 completions on 217 attempts for 1,451 yards, seven touchdowns and three interceptions. That interception total is a useful counterweight to Washington’s takeaway threat.

Chrishon McCray caught six passes for 92 yards against Michigan and enters with 35 receptions for 381 yards and one touchdown. Brandon Tullis supplied 86 rushing yards on 25 carries in that victory. Those contributions outline Michigan State’s route to another close contest without assuming last week’s result will repeat.

Key matchup factors

Washington’s official preview credits its defense with 12 interceptions, seventh nationally. That creates a plausible route to an extra possession, but Milivojevic’s three interceptions make this a matchup between a productive takeaway defense and a quarterback whose season turnover count remains modest.

Washington’s two Big Ten wins came on the road, at Purdue and Nebraska. Those results offer relevant experience for this trip; they do not determine Saturday’s margin. The more immediate question is whether Williams and his receivers can keep the offense moving against a defense coming off five sacks.

As of Nov. 12 at 15:22 UTC, SportsJaw’s blended spread consensus favored Washington -3.5 (-106) at 57%, up one percentage point from the previous day. The total leader was Over 43 (-110) at 87%. These are consensus preferences, not win probabilities or observed ticket counts, and their quoted prices differ from the current SportsJaw markets.

Washington Huskies vs Michigan St. Spartans spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Washington -3.5 (-103) and Michigan State +3.5 (-117). Our two-point forecast favors the Spartans against the number, but the cushion is small and their price makes that distinction important.

Dimers gives Michigan State +3.5 a 51.6% cover probability, below the roughly 53.9% break-even rate required at -117. BetMGM’s spread model instead favors Washington, reporting 53.5%. College Football Charts projects Washington 26, Michigan State 17, but also reports that its PRIME component favors Michigan State by 1.7. The disagreement leaves neither side compelling enough for an official bet.

Washington Huskies vs Michigan St. Spartans total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 43.5 (-108) and Under 43.5 (-110). Our Washington 23, Michigan State 21 projection totals 44 points, only half a point above the line. That is too narrow a margin to turn a score forecast into an Over recommendation.

Dimers also projects 44 combined points, while College Football Charts projects 43. The 87% consensus preference concerns Over 43 (-110), a different threshold and price. Michigan State’s recent defensive result adds uncertainty, but one low-scoring game is not enough to make Under 43.5 the stronger wager.

Washington Huskies vs Michigan St. Spartans Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: Washington 23, Michigan State 21. Washington’s receiving production earns the narrow selection, with its interception total offering another possible advantage. Michigan State’s pressure and takeaway performance against Michigan is the strongest counterargument.

Confidence is low because the evidence supports a close contest more readily than a dependable margin. Washington is the predicted winner; both spread sides and the 43.5 total are passes. The single official SportsJaw betting recommendation is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Huskies23

Spartans21

Projected winner Washington HuskiesConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass: Washington Huskies -3.5 (-103) and Michigan St. Spartans +3.5 (-117)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Sources

  • University of Washington AthleticsDawgs Return To Road To Face Michigan State In East Lansing
  • Michigan State University AthleticsSpartans Host Washington Saturday on Military Appreciation Day
  • DimersWashington vs. Michigan State: College Football Week 11 Prediction, Picks & Odds
#WashingtonHuskies#MichiganStSpartans

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Huskies vs Spartans game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Huskies vs Spartans matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Washington Huskies-264 → -160Moved
  • Moneyline · Michigan St. Spartans+135 → +140Moved
  • Spread · Washington Huskies-4.5 (-106) → -3.5 (-102)Moved
  • Spread · Michigan St. Spartans+4.5 (-114) → +3.5 (-113)Moved
  • Total · Over43.5 (-110) → 44 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under43.5 (-110) → 44 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Washington Huskies
4-4 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Michigan St. Spartans
3-6 matchup record · 6-3-1 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-11-12T15:29:00.072Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Alessio Milivojevic returned after an injury absence against UCLA and completed 21 of 32 passes for 188 yards at Michigan. His season totals stand at 142 completions on 217 attempts for 1,451 yards, seven touchdowns and three interceptions. That interception total is a useful counterweight to Washington’s takeaway threat.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

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