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  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. Arizona St. Sun Devils vs Central Florida Golden Knights
Sat 3:30 PM ET
Arizona St. Sun Devils logo
Arizona St.
Sun Devils
5-4
versus
Central Florida Golden Knights logo
Central Florida
Golden Knights
5-4
NCAAF · Arizona St. Sun Devils at Central Florida Golden Knights

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Arizona St. Sun Devils vs Central Florida Golden Knights prediction, odds and best bet

Game time: November 14, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET

Venue: FBC Mortgage Stadium — Orlando, FL

Article updated Nov 9, 12:47 AM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Central Florida is our projected winner, 24-21 over Arizona State, with Alonza Barnett III’s recent passing performance providing the strongest reason for a narrow home victory. Arizona State’s sustained run defense makes this a low-confidence forecast. Neither Central Florida -3 (-108) nor the total of 48.5 offers a sufficiently convincing betting edge, so the official SportsJaw recommendation is Pass.

Arizona St. Sun Devils vs Central Florida Golden Knights prediction and best bet

Central Florida gets the nod in a close game, but the best betting decision is Pass. Barnett’s productive outing against Kansas gives the Knights a plausible route around Arizona State’s recent defensive strength against the run. That is a narrow matchup preference, not evidence that UCF will control the game.

Dimers also favors Central Florida. Its November 8 projection calls for UCF 26, Arizona State 23, with a 57.8% UCF win probability. That is another analyst’s model assessment, separate from our forecast. We agree on the winner and three-point margin, while projecting fewer points. Neither projection supplies a persuasive reason to lay three.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game: Arizona State visits Central Florida on Saturday, November 14, 2026, in this 2026 college football matchup.

Time: 3:30 p.m. ET, as listed by Dimers for this matchup.

Venue: Acrisure Bounce House in Orlando, according to UCF’s next-game announcement and Arizona State’s road-game announcement.

Records: Arizona St. Sun Devils 5-4; Central Florida Golden Knights 5-4.

SportsJaw odds: Arizona St. Sun Devils +3 (-115); Central Florida Golden Knights -3 (-105). Moneyline: Arizona St. Sun Devils +127; Central Florida Golden Knights -147. Total: Over 48.5 (-110); Under 48.5 (-110).

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Arizona St. Sun Devils outlook

Arizona State’s strongest recent evidence comes from its defense. Sun Devil Athletics reported that the 20-10 win over Colorado marked a third consecutive game holding an opponent below 100 rushing yards. Colorado finished with 64, and Albert Smith III recorded three sacks. The trip to UCF offers Arizona State a chance to reach bowl eligibility.

Freshman quarterback Jake Fette passed for 187 yards and a touchdown against Colorado. Reed Harris accounted for 104 receiving yards on four catches, including a 34-yard touchdown. Running back Cardae Mack added 80 rushing yards and 17 receiving yards, and threw a touchdown pass to Fette.

Those contributions give the Sun Devils several possible routes to points. The passing touchdown from Mack also shows how a nontraditional scoring play helped the latest victory. Our forecast leaves room for Arizona State to threaten an upset without assuming that particular play will produce another touchdown.

Central Florida Golden Knights outlook

UCF’s 33-32 victory at Kansas ended a 12-game road losing streak, according to UCF Athletics. Trailing 32-26, the Knights covered 73 yards in one minute. Barnett found Caden Piening for a six-yard touchdown with four seconds remaining to complete the comeback.

Barnett finished 18 of 31 for 251 yards and two touchdowns. Josh Derry caught eight passes for 143 yards and a touchdown. That connection is central to the UCF forecast because it gives the Knights a demonstrated passing option if Arizona State again limits rushing production.

UCF also forced two fumbles, recovered by Antione Jackson and Braeden Marshall; Jayden Williams forced one. Those plays helped the latest win, but another pair of recoveries should not be built into the prediction. The 32 points Kansas scored also temper enthusiasm for backing UCF to create separation.

Key matchup factors

The central question is whether Arizona State’s defensive success can carry into a different matchup. Its three-game rushing streak is more useful than a single strong result, but it says less about how Barnett and Derry will fare through the air. A strong run defense alone is not a complete answer to UCF’s offense.

Conversely, one productive passing game does not make UCF certain to win another close finish. Arizona State’s pressure could disrupt that route to victory. We give the Knights a slight advantage because of their recent passing execution, while treating the Sun Devils’ defensive form as a substantial counterweight.

Arizona St. Sun Devils vs Central Florida Golden Knights spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Central Florida -3 (-108) and Arizona State +3 (-110). Our projected three-point UCF victory lands directly on the spread, leaving neither side with a forecast-based cushion.

Dimers’ separate three-point projection points to the same pricing problem. Agreement on a margin is not proof of betting value. Arizona State has a credible defensive route to an outright win, while UCF’s passing performance supports the favorite. The evidence favors a competitive game more clearly than it favors either spread wager.

Arizona St. Sun Devils vs Central Florida Golden Knights total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 48.5 (-110) and Under 48.5 (-108). Our projected 45 points lean below the number, but a projected score alone is too thin a reason to make the under an official wager.

The recent results pull in different directions: Arizona State’s Colorado game produced 30 points, while UCF’s Kansas game produced 65. Dimers projects 49 here, slightly above the supplied total. Arizona State’s run defense offers an under argument, but UCF’s passing production and latest defensive result keep the over scenario credible.

Arizona St. Sun Devils vs Central Florida Golden Knights Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: Central Florida 24, Arizona State 21. Barnett and Derry provide the narrow offensive reason to select UCF, while Arizona State’s recent rushing defense and pass pressure are the strongest counterargument.

Confidence is low because the matchup evidence supports competing outcomes and only a slight preference. The official SportsJaw betting lean is Pass. Keep the projected UCF victory separate from the wagering decision: neither the supplied spread nor the total presents a demonstrated edge.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Sun Devils21

Golden Knights24

Projected winner Central Florida Golden KnightsConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass on Central Florida -3 (-108) and Arizona State +3 (-110)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass on Over 48.5 (-110) and Under 48.5 (-108)

Sources

  • UCF AthleticsPrevious-game context: Football Wins Final-Second Thriller at Kansas, 33-32
  • Sun Devil AthleticsPrevious-game context: Defense and freshmen phenoms propel Sun Devil Football to win over Colorado
  • DimersArizona State vs. UCF: College Football Week 11 Prediction, Picks & Odds
#ArizonaStSunDevils#CentralFloridaGoldenKnights

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Sun Devils vs Golden Knights game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Sun Devils vs Golden Knights matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Arizona St. Sun Devils-156 → +127Moved
  • Moneyline · Central Florida Golden Knights-199 → -147Moved
  • Spread · Arizona St. Sun Devils+3.5 (-120) → +3 (-115)Moved
  • Spread · Central Florida Golden Knights-3.5 (-102) → -3 (-105)Moved
  • Total · Over51.5 (-110) → 48.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under51.5 (-110) → 48.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Arizona St. Sun Devils
5-4 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Central Florida Golden Knights
5-4 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-11-09T05:47:18.842Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-11-09Central Florida Golden Knights 31 · Arizona St. Sun Devils 35
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