SportsJaw
LeaderboardToday's GamesBest BetsOdds ComparisonConsensus PicksMake Picks
Login / Sign In
Today's GamesLatest PredictionsToday’s Best BetsOdds ComparisonConsensus PicksTeam PredictionsHead-to-Head MatchupsSJ CoinsAbout SportsJawContact UsLogin / Sign In
HomeMatchupsMake PicksLeaders
SportsJaw

The social platform for sports bettors.

Explore SportsJaw

  • Today’s Picks
  • Predictions
  • Best Bets
  • Leaderboard
  • Make Picks
  • Odds Comparison
  • Consensus Picks
  • Team Predictions
  • Head-to-Head
  • Game Briefing

Picks by Sport

  • NFL Picks
  • NCAAF Picks
  • NBA Picks
  • NCAAB Picks
  • MLB Picks
  • NHL Picks

About SportsJaw

  • How It Works
  • SJ Coins
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Contact Us

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

© 2026 SportsJaw. For entertainment purposes only. SportsJaw does not accept or place wagers.

  1. Home
  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. Purdue Boilermakers vs Iowa Hawkeyes
Sat 7:30 PM ET
Purdue Boilermakers logo
Purdue
Boilermakers
3-6
versus
Iowa Hawkeyes logo
Iowa
Hawkeyes
6-2
NCAAF · Purdue Boilermakers at Iowa Hawkeyes

Your Picks on Purdue vs Iowa

Picks close 15 minutes before game time (ET)
Spread
Moneyline
Total
Odds comparison

Sportsbook lines for this game

Current lines

MatchupBest availableDraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsBetOnlineBovadaHard RockHeritageLowvigPinnacleSportsbettingUnibetYouWagertheScore Bet
Nov 14, 7:30 PM ETPurdue BoilermakersIowa Hawkeyes
Best available+650BetMGM-900BetMGM
DraftKings——
FanDuel+640-950
BetMGM+650BEST-900BEST
Caesars——
BetOnline+624-925
Bovada+625-950
Hard Rock+600-1000
Heritage+629-967
Lowvig+624-925
Pinnacle+621-962
Sportsbetting+624-925
Unibet+600-1000
YouWager——
theScore Bet+600-1000

Purdue Boilermakers vs Iowa Hawkeyes prediction, odds and best bet

Game time: November 14, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET

Venue: Kinnick Stadium — Iowa City, IA

Article updated Nov 8, 10:19 AM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Iowa will beat Purdue 27-16 in our November 14 forecast, with its recent pass rush and rushing production providing the strongest reasons to favor the Hawkeyes. Purdue’s productive passing performance against Maryland makes a comfortable cover less convincing. Neither the supplied spread prices nor the total offers a compelling wager, so the official SportsJaw betting lean is Pass.

Purdue Boilermakers vs Iowa Hawkeyes prediction and best bet

Iowa is the pick to win, with medium confidence. Its November 7 performance offered a promising combination for this matchup: production on the ground and pressure on the opposing quarterback. Those are the main reasons to favor the Hawkeyes against a Purdue offense coming off a productive passing game.

The betting decision is separate. Our projected 11-point Iowa victory falls short of the 16.5-point spread, but Purdue’s supplied price of -9,900 makes backing that projected cover unattractive. The total deserves its own assessment, and the narrow gap between our forecast and 45.5 is not enough for an official play. Best bet: Pass.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game: Purdue Boilermakers at Iowa Hawkeyes, 2026 college football season.

Time: Saturday, November 14, 2026, at 6:30 p.m. CT, according to Iowa Athletics’ November 7 recap.

Venue: Kinnick Stadium, Iowa City, Iowa.

Broadcast: NBC.

Purdue record: 3-6 overall and 2-4 in the Big Ten following its November 7 loss to Maryland.

SportsJaw moneyline: Purdue +308; Iowa -900. Spread: Purdue +16.5 (-9,900); Iowa -16.5 (-9,900). Total: Over 45.5 (-110); Under 45.5 (-110).

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Purdue Boilermakers outlook

Purdue’s November 7 loss to Maryland, 34-29, showed an offense capable of generating scoring opportunities. According to Purdue Athletics, Ryan Browne completed 24 of 38 passes for 296 yards and found eight different receivers. Xavier Townsend and Fame Ijboi each caught five passes, while Tra'Mar Harris led Purdue with 76 receiving yards.

The distinction between moving the ball and finishing possessions matters here. Purdue recorded seven scoring drives, but five ended in field goals and only two produced touchdowns. Jacobo Echeverria Lozano made all five field-goal attempts, including a 47-yarder on the opening drive.

That distribution of scoring gives Purdue a plausible route to staying competitive and a clear concern for its upset chances. Repeated scoring opportunities would help the underdog, but converting more of them into touchdowns would put greater pressure on Iowa. Browne’s range of receiving options is encouraging; how those options hold up against Iowa’s pressure is the central question.

Iowa Hawkeyes outlook

Iowa beat Northwestern 24-10 on November 7. Iowa Athletics reported 296 total yards, including 170 rushing yards. L.J. Phillips Jr. accounted for 128 rushing yards on 21 carries, making him the leading contributor to that ground production.

Hank Brown completed 16 of 21 passes for 126 yards and a touchdown. He also finished with 18 rushing yards, including a 21-yard touchdown run. Tony Diaz caught two passes for 43 yards and a touchdown, his second consecutive game with a touchdown reception.

The defense supplied the most persuasive part of Iowa’s recent performance. Six different players recorded sacks, Cam Buffington made 12 tackles, and Northwestern converted just one of 11 third downs. That is a strong performance to bring into this matchup, although one game should not be treated as a promise that Iowa will reproduce those numbers against Purdue.

Key matchup factors

The most consequential contest is Purdue’s passing game against Iowa’s ability to disrupt it. If pressure forces Browne to rush throws or leaves Purdue facing longer third downs, the Hawkeyes could limit the scoring opportunities that kept the Boilermakers close against Maryland. If Purdue handles that pressure, its receiving distribution offers a credible counterargument to a lopsided result.

Iowa’s rushing attack gives the forecast another point of support. A productive day from Phillips could let the Hawkeyes sustain possessions without requiring a major increase in passing output. That is a projected route to victory, rather than an assumption about how quickly this game will be played.

Dimers takes a more emphatic view. In its November 8 update, it assigned Iowa an 89.9% win probability and projected Iowa 32, Purdue 14. Its model also gave Iowa -16.5 a 53.8% cover probability. Those are Dimers’ estimates. Our forecast agrees on the winner but anticipates a smaller margin and fewer total points.

Purdue Boilermakers vs Iowa Hawkeyes spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Purdue +16.5 (-9,900) and Iowa -16.5 (-9,900). Our projected result would put Purdue inside the spread, while Dimers’ projected 18-point margin would put Iowa beyond it.

The supplied price is the decisive obstacle. At -9,900, a bettor risks $9,900 to profit $100, requiring a 99% success rate to break even. Neither our forecast nor Dimers’ 53.8% Iowa cover estimate comes close to justifying that price. A preference about the likely margin is not enough to make either spread an official wager.

Purdue Boilermakers vs Iowa Hawkeyes total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 45.5 (-110) and Under 45.5 (-110). Our projected 43 points fall below the line, but the cushion is only 2.5 points.

The recent results illustrate the uncertainty: Iowa and Northwestern combined for 34 points, while Purdue and Maryland combined for 63. Those were different matchups, not interchangeable forecasts. Purdue’s scoring opportunities give the Over a plausible path, while Iowa’s recent defensive performance supports a quieter game. Dimers’ projected score totals 46, just above the line. We favor a lower-scoring outcome without making Under 45.5 an official bet.

Purdue Boilermakers vs Iowa Hawkeyes Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: Iowa Hawkeyes 27, Purdue Boilermakers 16. Iowa’s recent rushing production and defensive pressure earn the winner selection. Purdue’s passing output is the strongest counterargument, especially if more of its scoring possessions end in touchdowns.

Confidence is medium for the Iowa win, with greater uncertainty around the margin and total. The forecast allows Purdue to cover and lands below 45.5, but neither outcome earns a wager at the supplied terms. The single official SportsJaw betting lean is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Boilermakers16

Hawkeyes27

Projected winner Iowa HawkeyesConfidencemedium
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Sources

  • Iowa Hawkeyes AthleticsPrevious-game context: Hawkeyes Handle Wildcats, 24-10
  • Purdue Boilermakers AthleticsPrevious-game context: Purdue Falls on Homecoming to Maryland
  • DimersPurdue vs. Iowa: College Football Week 11 Prediction, Picks & Odds
#PurdueBoilermakers#IowaHawkeyes

Share this preview

Facebook X Reddit Email
SportsJaw logo
Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Boilermakers vs Hawkeyes game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Boilermakers vs Hawkeyes matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Purdue Boilermakers+570 → +625Moved
  • Moneyline · Iowa Hawkeyes-800 → -950Moved
  • Spread · Purdue Boilermakers+15.5 (-110) → +17.5 (-111)Moved
  • Spread · Iowa Hawkeyes-15.5 (-110) → -17.5 (-106)Moved
  • Total · Over46.5 (-110) → 47.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under46.5 (-110) → 47.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Purdue Boilermakers
3-6 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 8-2-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Iowa Hawkeyes
6-2 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-11-08T15:19:14.362Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Keep browsing

More NCAAF matchups

Compare predictions, consensus picks and recorded odds for other NCAAF games on this slate.

View all NCAAF games
NCAAFSat 7:00 PM
MINN+9.5 (-110)
PENNST-9.5 (-108)
O/U43.5
NCAAFSat 7:00 PM
TROY+2.5 (-105)
S.ALA-2.5 (-112)
O/U56
NCAAFSat 7:00 PM
SJSU+11.5 (-110)
AIRFOR-11.5 (-110)
O/U47.5
NCAAFSat 7:30 PM
TEXAS+3.5 (-115)
LSU-3.5 (-105)
O/U46
NCAAFSat 7:30 PM
UTAH-2.5 (-110)
ARIZON+2.5 (-110)
O/U53.5
NCAAFSat 7:30 PM
STANFO+15.5 (-110)
VTECH-15.5 (-110)
O/U59.5
NCAAFSat 7:30 PM
UNLV+14.5 (-114)
NEWMEX-14.5 (-106)
O/U46.5
NCAAFSat 7:45 PM
S.CARO-7.5 (-110)
ARK+7.5 (-110)
O/U51.5
NCAAFSat 9:00 PM
NTEXAS-1.5 (-107)
UTSA+1.5 (-113)
O/U77.5
NCAAFSat 9:30 PM
TXTECH+3.5 (-115)
OKLAST-3.5 (-105)
O/U72.5