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  1. Home
  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. Northwestern Wildcats vs Ohio St. Buckeyes
Sat 12:00 PM ET
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Northwestern
Wildcats
6-3
versus
Ohio St. Buckeyes logo
Ohio St.
Buckeyes
5-3
NCAAF · Northwestern Wildcats at Ohio St. Buckeyes

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Northwestern vs Ohio St. consensus picks

Northwestern Wildcats65%
35%Ohio St. Buckeyes
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Northwestern Wildcats vs Ohio St. Buckeyes Prediction, Odds and Best Bet for Nov. 14, 2026

Game time: November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET

Venue: Ohio Stadium — Columbus, OH

Article updated Nov 10, 10:54 AM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Ohio State will beat Northwestern, with a projected score of Ohio State 30, Northwestern 17. Jeremiah Smith’s receiving production gives the Buckeyes the strongest verified offensive anchor in this matchup, while outside forecasts consistently favor them outright. Neither Ohio State -12.5 (-110) nor the 46.5 total offers a convincing betting cushion, so the official SportsJaw wager is Pass.

Northwestern Wildcats vs Ohio St. Buckeyes prediction and best bet

Ohio State is the pick to win, but backing the Buckeyes to cover requires a stronger margin forecast than this matchup offers. Smith’s production supports the scoring outlook, and the outside analysts agree on the winner while differing substantially on the size of the victory.

The best bet is Pass. Blue Chip Analytics projects Ohio State by 12.4 points and explicitly sees no meaningful spread value. Our 13-point forecast lands similarly close to Ohio State -12.5 (-110). Medium confidence applies to the winner selection; it is not a claim that either betting market offers an edge.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game: Northwestern Wildcats at Ohio St. Buckeyes, 2026 college football season, Saturday, November 14.

Kickoff and venue: Noon ET at Ohio Stadium, according to Ohio State’s official game-week preview.

Record and series: Northwestern is 6-3 overall and 1-2 on the road. Ohio State’s official preview reports an 11-game Buckeyes winning streak against Northwestern and a 66-14-1 series record.

SportsJaw odds: Northwestern Wildcats +12.5 (-110); Ohio St. Buckeyes -12.5 (-110). Moneyline: Northwestern Wildcats +366; Ohio St. Buckeyes -472. Total: Over 46.5 (-108); Under 46.5 (-110).

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

SportsJaw total: Over 46.5 (-108); Under 46.5 (-110). Moneyline: Northwestern +363; Ohio State -469.

Northwestern Wildcats outlook

Northwestern’s most useful recent evidence comes from Nicco Marchiol’s first Wildcats start against Iowa. Ohio State’s official preview says Aidan Chiles missed that game with an injury. Marchiol completed 24 of 32 passes for 181 yards and a touchdown, adding a team-high 52 rushing yards. That performance shows a potential contribution through both passing and rushing, without settling who starts Saturday.

Griffin Wilde offers an established receiving option. Through nine games, he had 49 catches for 813 yards and five touchdowns. His five catches for 52 yards against Iowa followed consecutive 100-yard receiving performances, including 146 yards and a touchdown on five receptions at Oregon.

The Wildcats’ 1-2 road record tempers enthusiasm about an upset. Their losses came at Indiana and Oregon and against Iowa. Wilde’s Oregon performance nevertheless gives Northwestern a concrete example of productive receiving play on the road, which matters more here than assuming the underdog must struggle in every phase.

Ohio St. Buckeyes outlook

Smith is the clearest individual reason to expect Ohio State to score enough to win. The official team preview credits him with 69 receptions, 1,200 yards and 14 receiving touchdowns through nine games. Those totals support treating him as a central scoring threat, although they do not guarantee a particular matchup result.

Quarterback reporting warrants restraint. College Football Charts lists Julian Sayin as out indefinitely, while The Sports Wire says no official availability report had been issued. The latter identifies Luke Fahey only as Ohio State’s leading passer by attempts in its previous game. These accounts do not confirm Saturday’s starter or Sayin’s status.

Ohio State’s long series winning streak supplies historical context, but it carries less weight in this forecast than current receiving production. Past meetings alone are no reason to lay nearly two touchdowns.

Key matchup factors

The main football question is whether Northwestern can turn its demonstrated receiving production and Marchiol’s recent dual contribution into enough points to challenge Ohio State. Smith gives the Buckeyes a compelling answer on offense. The forecast favors Ohio State, while leaving room for Northwestern to keep the margin competitive.

Outside projections reinforce the winner selection without settling the spread. Dimers gives Ohio State an 80.9% win probability, but its page contains conflicting score forecasts: Ohio State 30, Northwestern 18 and Ohio State 30, Northwestern 17. College Football Charts assigns Ohio State a 79% win chance and publishes an SP+ score of Ohio State 34, Northwestern 16.

The Sports Wire assigns Ohio State an 85% win probability and says all nine listed models favor the Buckeyes. Its margins range from 6.9 to 19.0 points. These are other analysts’ estimates, not SportsJaw probabilities, and agreement on the winner does not make their models independent confirmations of a betting advantage.

Northwestern Wildcats vs Ohio St. Buckeyes spread prediction

Pass on Northwestern +12.5 (-110) and Ohio St. Buckeyes -12.5 (-110). The 13-point editorial projection barely clears the favorite’s required margin, while Blue Chip Analytics’ 12.4-point estimate falls just below it. That difference is too small to make either side an official wager.

The November 10 SportsJaw combined consensus favors Northwestern at 65%, matching the external consensus percentage. This is selection sentiment, not the Wildcats’ probability of covering. The competing model margins span both sides of the spread, making the underdog’s popularity useful context rather than a reason to bet.

Northwestern Wildcats vs Ohio St. Buckeyes total prediction

Pass on Over 46.5 (-108) and Under 46.5 (-110). Our projected 47 points lean slightly above the line, but a half-point difference in an estimated score is a thin foundation for a wager. The conflicting quarterback reporting further reduces confidence in a precise scoring expectation.

As of November 10 at 15:46 UTC, the combined consensus favors Over at 84%, up eight percentage points from November 9. Its modeled equivalent sample allocates 504 of 600 selections to Over. Those are estimated counts, not observed sportsbook tickets or SportsJaw member-pick totals. Strong sentiment does not establish that the Over price is favorable.

Northwestern Wildcats vs Ohio St. Buckeyes Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: Ohio State 30, Northwestern 17, with medium confidence. Smith’s verified production and the consistent direction of outside forecasts support selecting the Buckeyes. The score is an editorial estimate, with considerably more uncertainty around the margin than the winner.

Northwestern’s strongest counterargument is its demonstrated receiving threat and Marchiol’s productive contribution against Iowa. Combined with unsettled quarterback reporting, that keeps a closer game plausible. The official SportsJaw wager remains Pass, with both the supplied spread and total passed independently.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Wildcats17

Buckeyes30

Projected winner Ohio St. BuckeyesConfidencemedium
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass on Northwestern Wildcats +12.5 (-110) and Ohio St. Buckeyes -12.5 (-110)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass on Over 46.5 (-108) and Under 46.5 (-110)

Sources

  • DimersNorthwestern vs. Ohio State Week 11 Prediction, Picks & Odds [11/14/2026]
  • College Football ChartsNorthwestern vs. Ohio State Prediction and Pick, Week 11 2026
  • The Sports WireNorthwestern vs Ohio State Prediction, Week 11 2026 · CFB
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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Wildcats vs Buckeyes game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Wildcats vs Buckeyes matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Northwestern Wildcats+251 → +366Moved
  • Moneyline · Ohio St. Buckeyes-1,438 → -472Moved
  • Spread · Northwestern Wildcats+9.5 (-110) → +12.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Ohio St. Buckeyes-9.5 (-110) → -12.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over48.5 (-110) → 46.5 (-108)Moved
  • Total · Under48.5 (-110) → 46.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Northwestern Wildcats
6-3 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 4-4-2 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Ohio St. Buckeyes
5-3 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-11-10T15:54:22.562Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Northwestern’s most useful recent evidence comes from Nicco Marchiol’s first Wildcats start against Iowa. Ohio State’s official preview says Aidan Chiles missed that game with an injury. Marchiol completed 24 of 32 passes for 181 yards and a touchdown, adding a team-high 52 rushing yards. That performance shows a potential contribution through both passing and rushing, without settling who starts Saturday.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-11-16Ohio St. Buckeyes 31 · Northwestern Wildcats 7
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