Baylor Bears vs BYU Cougars prediction, odds and best bet for Nov. 14, 2026
BYU is our pick to beat Baylor 27-23, with its lower yardage allowed and strong third-down conversion rate providing the strongest matchup reasons. Baylor's higher offensive production and lower points allowed make the margin less convincing than the winner. Neither BYU -7.5 (-110) nor the supplied total of 49.5 offers a compelling wager, so the official betting recommendation is Pass.
Baylor Bears vs BYU Cougars prediction and best bet
BYU gets the nod in this Big 12 matchup, but laying more than a touchdown asks too much of a close forecast. The Cougars' ability to sustain possessions is a useful advantage: the Associated Press reports a 50.9% third-down conversion rate, ranked 11th in FBS. That gives BYU a credible route to controlling stretches of the game.
The defensive comparison is mixed. BYU allows fewer yards, while Baylor allows fewer points. Those measures favor different teams, so calling the Cougars clearly superior defensively would oversell the case. Our forecast favors BYU by four points, with low confidence and no official wager.
Odds, game time and how to watch
Time: Saturday, November 14, 2026, at 2:30 p.m. CT, equivalent to 3:30 p.m. EST, according to Baylor's official preview and the Associated Press.
Venue: LaVell Edwards Stadium in Provo, Utah.
Broadcast: FOX.
Records: Baylor Bears 5-3; BYU Cougars 7-2.
SportsJaw spread and moneyline: Baylor +7.5 (-110) and +250; BYU -7.5 (-110) and -300.
SportsJaw total: Over 49.5 (-104); Under 49.5 (-113).