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  1. Home
  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. Texas Longhorns vs LSU Tigers
Sat 7:30 PM ET
Texas Longhorns logo
Texas
Longhorns
7-2
versus
LSU Tigers logo
LSU
Tigers
5-3
NCAAF · Texas Longhorns at LSU Tigers

Your Picks on Texas vs LSU

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Texas vs LSU consensus picks

Texas Longhorns62%
38%LSU Tigers
Odds comparison

Sportsbook lines for this game

Current lines

MatchupBest availableDraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsCircaBet105BetOnlineBovadaHeritageLowvigPinnacleSportsbettingUnibetYouWagertheScore Bet
Nov 14, 7:30 PM ETTexas LonghornsLSU Tigers
Best available+155BetMGM-165Sportsbetting
DraftKings+145-175
FanDuel+138-166
BetMGM+155BEST-190
Caesars+146-173
Circa——
Bet105+145-168
BetOnline+145-165BEST
Bovada+145-170
Heritage+144-172
Lowvig+145-165BEST
Pinnacle+145-168
Sportsbetting+145-165BEST
Unibet+145-182
YouWager——
theScore Bet+140-165BEST

Texas Longhorns vs LSU Tigers prediction, odds and projected score for Nov. 14

Game time: November 14, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET

Venue: Tiger Stadium (LA) — Baton Rouge, LA

Article updated Nov 8, 12:09 AM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

LSU is projected to beat Texas 24-21, with its ability to sustain offense providing the strongest reason for the home-team lean. The Tigers gained 457 yards against Alabama, although poor finishing limited them to 13 points. Texas brings the stronger recent result, making this a low-confidence forecast. Neither the supplied spread nor total offers a sufficiently persuasive wager; the official recommendation is Pass.

Texas Longhorns vs LSU Tigers prediction and best bet

LSU gets the narrow pick, but the best betting decision is Pass. The Tigers showed enough offensive movement against Alabama to make a rebound plausible. Turning that movement into touchdowns is the assumption behind the forecast, and it leaves considerable room for Texas to win.

The Longhorns offer a strong counterweight after their third consecutive victory. Their latest performance gives them a credible route to an upset, particularly if LSU again wastes scoring opportunities. A close-game projection makes Texas +5.5 (-115) tempting, but the recent results alone are too thin a foundation for an official wager.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Date and matchup: Texas Longhorns at LSU Tigers, Saturday, Nov. 14, 2026, in the 2026 college football season.

Venue: Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, Louisiana. Broadcast: ABC, according to Texas Athletics’ Nov. 7 recap.

Records and streaks: Texas is 7-2 overall and 4-2 in the SEC, with three straight wins. LSU is 6-3 overall and 3-3 in the SEC, following a loss to Alabama.

SportsJaw odds: Texas Longhorns +3.5 (-115); LSU Tigers -3.5 (-105). Moneyline: Texas Longhorns +145; LSU Tigers -168. Total: Over 46 (-110); Under 46 (-110).

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Texas Longhorns outlook

Texas Athletics’ recap of the Nov. 7 Missouri game reports a 34-20 road win powered by Arch Manning’s passing. He completed 28 of 38 attempts for 297 yards and three touchdowns. That performance is the clearest recent reason to believe Texas can challenge LSU through the air.

Raleek Brown contributed in both phases of the offense, recording 85 rushing yards and 48 receiving yards. His 23-yard touchdown reception put Texas ahead with 5:03 remaining. The timing matters: the final 14-point margin followed a game in which Texas still needed a late go-ahead score.

Brown’s dual contribution offers a useful complement to Manning. For this forecast, the question is whether Texas can reproduce that combination against LSU. The Missouri result supports optimism about the offense, without making another similarly productive road performance automatic.

LSU Tigers outlook

LSU’s official recap presents two sides of its 31-13 loss to Alabama on Nov. 7. The Tigers accumulated 457 yards, but two first-half red-zone visits yielded only three points. One opportunity ended with an incomplete fourth-and-4 pass from the Alabama 9.

The opening possession of the second half brought another missed opportunity for a touchdown. LSU traveled 53 yards in 11 plays before Scott Starzyk made a 41-yard field goal. Later, Dilin Jones finished an 11-play, 90-yard possession with a five-yard touchdown run that put LSU ahead 13-10.

That lead did not last. Alabama answered with a five-play, 75-yard touchdown drive and added two more touchdowns. LSU therefore needs more than improved finishing: preventing Texas from answering its scoring drives is also central to the projected home win.

Key matchup factors

The most consequential question is how efficiently LSU turns possessions into points. Its latest yardage total suggests offensive potential, while the scoring return shows why that potential deserves a cautious interpretation. Better finishing would strengthen both the outright-win case and the possibility of covering.

Texas presents the opposite forecasting challenge. Its recent quarterback and running back production is encouraging, but those numbers describe a different opponent. Neither recap supplies a direct measure of how these units match up against each other. That limits how aggressively to translate recent form into a margin or total.

Texas Longhorns vs LSU Tigers spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Texas +5.5 (-115) and LSU -5.5 (-105). The projected three-point LSU victory falls on the Texas side of the spread, but an exact-score forecast is not enough to justify paying -115.

Texas has a plausible path to covering or winning outright. LSU has a plausible path to winning by more than 5.5 if its finishing improves. The evidence leaves too much uncertainty around the margin to elevate either possibility into the official bet. A close game also does not automatically mean a Texas cover: a six- or seven-point loss would lose this spread.

Texas Longhorns vs LSU Tigers total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 46.5 (-112) and Under 46.5 (-108). The projected 45 points sit below the line, but the 1.5-point difference is too fragile to treat as a meaningful advantage.

LSU’s stalled opportunities against Alabama explain that game’s scoring without establishing what will happen against Texas. Improved touchdown conversion could quickly undermine an Under position. Manning’s latest performance adds another reason to hesitate before betting on a restrained scoring game.

Texas Longhorns vs LSU Tigers Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: LSU 24, Texas 21. LSU’s demonstrated ability to sustain possessions earns it a slight nod at home, with the projection assuming a better scoring return. Texas’ productive road passing performance and winning streak are the strongest counterarguments.

Confidence is low because LSU’s improvement is an inference, while Texas has a credible winning case of its own. The forecast selects LSU; the separate assessment of betting value leaves both markets as passes. Official SportsJaw wager: Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Longhorns21

Tigers24

Projected winner LSU TigersConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Sources

  • University of Texas AthleticsPrevious-game context: No. 10/11/7 Football secures 34-20 victory at No. 19/19/18 Missouri
  • LSUsports.netPrevious-game context: Football Falls to No. 5 Alabama, 31-13
  • CoversTexas Longhorns vs LSU Tigers Odds & Betting Lines For November 14, 2026 - NCAAF
#TexasLonghorns#LSUTigers

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Longhorns vs Tigers game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Longhorns vs Tigers matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Texas Longhorns-145 → +145Moved
  • Moneyline · LSU Tigers+125 → -168Moved
  • Spread · Texas Longhorns-2.5 (-115) → +3.5 (-115)Moved
  • Spread · LSU Tigers+2.5 (-105) → -3.5 (-105)Moved
  • Total · Over54.5 (-110) → 46 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under54.5 (-110) → 46 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Texas Longhorns
7-2 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
LSU Tigers
5-3 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-11-08T05:09:52.529Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

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