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  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. Michigan St. Spartans vs Ohio St. Buckeyes
Sat 7:30 PM ET
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Michigan St.
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2-6
versus
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Ohio St.
Buckeyes38
8-0
Final
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Michigan St. Spartans03003
Ohio St. Buckeyes14213038
NCAAF · Michigan St. Spartans at Ohio St. Buckeyes

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Michigan State Seeks Upset Over No. 1 Ohio State in Saturday Showdown

Game time: November 11, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET

Venue: Ohio Stadium — Columbus, OH

Article updated Nov 6, 5:38 PM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

When: Saturday, 11/11/2023 @ 7:30pm

Game Info

When: Saturday, 11/11/2023 @ 7:30pm EST

Where: Ohio Stadium Stadium Spartans vs Buckeyes Betting Odds Moneyline: Spartans +2,800 | Buckeyes -10,242

Spread: Spartans +31.5 (-110) | Buckeyes -31.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 47 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Ohio St. will win straight-up is 99%.

Michigan St. Spartans

Injury-plagued and under underperforming, the Spartans have had three different quarterbacks and have had to rely on back-up Nathan Carter in the running game. Michigan State Football has had a challenging season due to various off-the-field scandals and under-performance on-the-field, resulting in a 3-6 record (4-4-1 ATS). With a power ranking of 100, they rank 126 in offense and 84 in defense, averaging 18.00 points per game and conceding 27.75 points per game, respectively. Injury issues have meant they've had to rotate their quarterbacks and rely on back-up Nathan Carter in the running game.

Ohio St. Buckeyes Analysis

Ohio St. coach, Ryan Day, is off to a strong start, with the Buckeyes in the top spot in the College Football Playoff rankings and having big wins against Notre Dame and Penn State. Quarterback Kyle McCord leads the offense with 2,352 yards (65.0% completion rate) and 17 touchdowns, while TreVeyon Henderson anchors the rushing attack with 585 yards on 90 carries. The defense, led by Jim Knowles in his second year, has held opponent offenses to 11.1 points per game and 275.9 yards per contest. Under fifth-year head coach Ryan Day, the Ohio State Buckeyes have gotten off to a 9-0 (4-3-2 ATS) start, earning the #1 spot in the College Football Playoff Rankings. Notable wins include Notre Dame (17-14) and Penn State (20-12). Quarterback Kyle McCord has thrown for 2,352 yards, 65.0% completion rate, 17 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions, and TreVeyon Henderson leads the ground game with 585 yards on 90 carries. Coach Jim Knowles’ defense has allowed 11.1 points per game (2nd in country) and 275.9 yards per contest (5th in country). The Buckeyes have a #7 power ranking, and come in #37 for offense (32.50 PPG) and #2 for defense (10.00 PPG).

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Michigan State Poised to Take Advantage of Ohio State's Vulnerability in Saturday Match-Up

Ohio State may have key victories against Notre Dame (17-14) and Penn State (20-12), but their track record is unimpressive this season. Only two of their wins have come by more than 30 points. Michigan State is poised to take advantage of the Buckeyes’ vulnerability, having scored an average of 16 points in their last two games. MSU will rely on Nathan Carter (659 yards, 4.2 YPC) to establish their run game and possess the ball for a greater share of time. My prediction is that MSU will cover the points spread.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#MichiganStSpartans#OhioStBuckeyes

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Spartans vs Buckeyes archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Spartans vs Buckeyes matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Michigan St. Spartans+2,373 → +2,800Moved
  • Moneyline · Ohio St. Buckeyes-10,000 → -10,000Unchanged
  • Spread · Michigan St. Spartans+30.5 (-110) → +32 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Ohio St. Buckeyes-30.5 (-110) → -32 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over46.5 (-110) → 48.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under46.5 (-110) → 48.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Michigan St. Spartans
2-6 matchup record · 3-5-2 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Ohio St. Buckeyes
8-0 matchup record · 6-3-1 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-11-06T22:38:31.141Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Injury-plagued and under underperforming, the Spartans have had three different quarterbacks and have had to rely on back-up Nathan Carter in the running game. Michigan State Football has had a challenging season due to various off-the-field scandals and under-performance on-the-field, resulting in a 3-6 record (4-4-1 ATS). With a power ranking of 100, they rank 126 in offense and 84 in defense, averaging 18.00 points per game and conceding 27.75 points per game, respectively. Injury issues have meant they've had to rotate their quarterbacks and rely on back-up Nathan Carter in the running game.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-10-08Ohio St. Buckeyes 49 · Michigan St. Spartans 20
  • 2021-11-20Michigan St. Spartans 7 · Ohio St. Buckeyes 56
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Ohio St. Buckeyes defeated Michigan St. Spartans 38-3

Ohio St. Buckeyes defeated Michigan St. Spartans 38-3 on November 11, 2023, a 35-point decision in the series. Ohio St. Buckeyes' strongest period was the 2nd quarter, when it outscored its opponent 21-3. Against SportsJaw's recorded Michigan St. Spartans +32 (-110) spread, Ohio St. Buckeyes covered, while the 41 combined points finished under the recorded total of 48.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • PurplebloodSpread · Ohio St. Buckeyes +31.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · Michigan St. Spartans +32 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 48 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · Michigan St. Spartans +32 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 48 (-110)Loss
  • CoversSpread · Ohio St. Buckeyes -32 (-110)Win