San Diego St. Aztecs vs
Boise St. BroncosPredictions & Preview

Boise State Broncos Prepare to Face San Diego State Aztecs in Mountain West Conference Showdown

The San Diego State Aztecs will be facing off against the Boise State Broncos in a conference matchup at Albertsons Stadium in Boise, ID on Friday evening. The Aztecs, currently 3rd in the Mountain West, are looking to bounce back from a tough loss to Washington State last week, while the Broncos, sitting at the top of the conference, aim to secure their sixth straight win. Both teams are undefeated in the Mountain West, with Boise State winning their previous matchup against San Diego State last season. Kickoff is set for 8:00 PM Eastern Time, with Boise State favored to win by 23.5 points according to betting odds.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Aztecs +1150 | Broncos -2450
• Spread: Aztecs +23.5 (-110) | Broncos -23.5 (-110)
• Total: Over/Under 57.5 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Boise St. will win straight-up is 96%.

San Diego St. vs Boise St. Stats

San Diego St. Aztecs

The Aztecs saw their two-game winning streak come to an end as they fell to Washington State 29-26 at home. Despite building a 26-14 lead in the fourth quarter, San Diego State allowed the Cougars to score the game's final 15 points. Senior Marquez Cooper led all rushers with 78 yards, while freshman QB Danny O'Neil completed 22 of 34 passes for 195 yards, including 80 to wideout Ja'Shaun Poke. The defense has allowed 24 or more points in three consecutive games. Head coach Sean Lewis emphasized the need to finish games strong. On a positive note, key injuries are not expected to keep O'Neil out of future games. In terms of power rankings, San Diego State ranks 105th in offense, 66th in defense, and holds a season record of 3-4.

Boise St. Broncos Analysis

The Boise State Broncos won their sixth straight game in Las Vegas, defeating the Rebels 29-24. The win bolstered their chances of making the College Football Playoffs. Junior Ashton Jeanty ran for 128 yards and scored the go-ahead touchdown, while quarterback Maddux Madsen passed for over 200 yards and threw a touchdown. The Boise State defense recorded six sacks and one interception. The offense has been strong this season, scoring 28 points or more in every game. Madsen praised UNLV's tough defense and highlighted the challenge they faced. Running backs Jambres Dubar and Sire Gaines are questionable with injuries. Boise State has a power ranking of 18 and ranks third in offense, averaging 44.29 points per game. On defense, they rank 78th, allowing 25.86 points per game. Boise State is 6-1 overall and has a 4-2-1 record against the spread. In their last three matchups, San Diego State has gone 2-1 against Boise State.

Boise State Primed for Home Victory Against San Diego State, Favorable Spread Expected

Boise State has demonstrated success on their home turf, with two consecutive wins against the spread and five out of their last six victories dating back to last season. In their most recent home game against the Utah State Aggies, the Broncos scored 62 points, with QB Maddux Madsen throwing three touchdowns and the ground game generating nearly 300 yards. The team has maintained a positive streak in pushing or exceeding the spread in their last four games. A strong offensive advantage is expected for the Broncos in the upcoming matchup, as they rank highly in key categories such as average yards per game and points scored per game, compared to the Aztecs' lower rankings. San Diego State has struggled on the road in 2024, scoring 21 points or fewer in two out of three games. Their previous visit to Albertson Stadium resulted in a 35-13 loss to the Broncos during the 2022-23 season. Based on statistics and trends, a decisive victory for Boise State at home on Friday is well-supported. Considering this, it is advisable to bet on the Broncos to cover the points spread.

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