Iowa St. Cyclones vs BYU Cougars Predictions October 9, 2026
BYU is the pick to beat Iowa State 27-20, with its defensive performance against TCU providing the strongest reason to favor the Cougars. Iowa State’s productive offense makes a competitive game plausible, however. Neither Iowa State +14.5 (-133) nor the total of 50.5 offers a strong enough edge for an actionable wager. The official recommendation is Pass.
Iowa St. Cyclones vs BYU Cougars prediction and best bet
BYU gets the straight-up pick because its latest win offered a credible defensive foundation: 10 points allowed and 259 yards conceded at TCU. Pair that performance with Bear Bachmeier’s ability to contribute on the ground, and the Cougars have a plausible route to containing Iowa State while generating enough offense to win.
The betting decision is less convincing. Iowa State’s offensive showing against West Virginia argues against laying 14.5 points, but its 42 points allowed also make the underdog uncomfortable at -133. The best-bet decision is Pass, with a low-confidence forecast of a narrower BYU victory.
Odds, game time and how to watch
Date and location: Iowa State visits BYU in Provo on Friday, October 9, 2026, in college football.
Records: Iowa State enters at 3-2 overall and 1-1 in Big 12 play. BYU improved to 4-0 with its October 3 victory at TCU.
SportsJaw moneyline: Iowa State +455; BYU -625.
SportsJaw spread: Iowa State +14.5 (-133); BYU -14.5 (-133).
SportsJaw total: Over 50.5 (-113); Under 50.5 (-108).
Iowa St. Cyclones outlook
Iowa State beat West Virginia 45-42 on October 3 behind a versatile performance from Aiden Flora. He carried 22 times for 212 yards and three touchdowns, while also throwing two touchdown passes. His contributions in both roles give BYU more to prepare for than a conventional rushing threat.