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  1. Home
  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Baylor Bears
Sat 8:00 PM ET
Texas Tech Red Raiders logo
Texas Tech
Red Raiders39
1-3
versus
Baylor Bears logo
Baylor
Bears14
1-3
Final
Team1234T
Texas Tech Red Raiders71071539
Baylor Bears0301114
NCAAF · Texas Tech Red Raiders at Baylor Bears

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Baylor Bears Look to Reverse Recent Trend Against Texas Tech Red Raiders

Game time: October 7, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET

Venue: McLane Stadium — Waco, TX

Article updated Oct 1, 6:36 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

This Big 12 matchup takes place at McLane Stadium with the host Bears looking to extend their two-game winning streak against the Red Raiders. With both teams holding a 2-3

Game outlook

This Big 12 matchup takes place at McLane Stadium with the host Bears looking to extend their two-game winning streak against the Red Raiders. With both teams holding a 2-3 record, this matchup is a critical one as the winner will gain some valuable momentum. Baylor has the advantage historically, having won seven out of the past ten meetings.

Game Info

When: Saturday, 10/7/2023 @ 8:00pm EST

Where: McLane Stadium Stadium Red Raiders vs Bears Betting Odds Moneyline: Red Raiders -120 | Bears +100

Spread: Red Raiders -1.5 (-110) | Bears +1.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 60.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Baylor will win straight-up is 50%.

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Texas Tech has endured a difficult road so far this season, beginning with an opening loss to Wyoming before taking Oregon down to the wire in week two. West Virginia provided yet another set back for the Red Raiders as they hope to continue generating wins and move through the Big 12 slate. Injuries are an issue for Texas Tech in this matchup; being without Tyler Shough (leg) until November is a major absence, while Jordan Brown (hip) is also questionable. As a result, they'll need to lean heavily on Tahj Brooks (518 yards, 6.2 yards per carry) to set the tone. Their offense started the season looking like it could match anyone however they rank in the middle of the pack nationally when it comes to most categories. While struggling to protect the quarterback has been their biggest flaw, and they'll need to get Brooks going if they want to control the clock and flip the script. Currently, Texas Tech is 58th in the power ranking with a record of 2-3 (2-3 ATS). Offensively, they are ranked 67th, averaging 29.25 points per game, while defensively they are 69th, allowing 24.00 points per game.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Baylor Bears Analysis

Baylor is looking to mount a winning streak against Iowa State this week, as they have dominated this particular matchup in the past. Baylor head into the game with a healthy depth chart; with the exception of Mike Smith Jr. (knee), who is out for the season. The Bears have average offensive production, typically involving a balanced passing and running game, but are likely to lean more towards the run against Iowa State. Offensively, they have suffered from inconsistency at both quarterback and running back, but have plenty of depth at wide receiver. On defense, the Bears have more weapons set to make an impact and have Matt Jones (33 tackles, 2 sacks) as the headliner. With all of this in place, Baylor has the confidence and momentum they need to win against their in-state rival.

Red Raiders Heavily Favored to Beat Baylor Despite Struggles This Season

The Red Raiders have had three losses this season, however, their upcoming schedule looks increasingly impressive. Their talent has been displayed and despite Baylor being the weakest opponent so far, the Raiders are heavily favored. Although they have struggled in controlling the clock, their running back has been a key player in their last few games and will continue to be vital. With questions about Baylor's offense and the Raiders' defense's capability to cause disruption, it's likely that the Bears will fall short. Despite playing at home, they will be unable to win.

Written by Bjenkins Published on 10/05/2023 Category: NCAAF Picks

About the Author: Benny Jenkins is the most consistent handicapper across all sports that the industry has to offer. Consistently beating the books for the last 10 years.

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Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
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#TexasTechRedRaiders#BaylorBears

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Red Raiders vs Bears archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Red Raiders vs Bears matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Texas Tech Red Raiders-105 → -132Moved
  • Moneyline · Baylor Bears-117 → +112Moved
  • Spread · Texas Tech Red Raiders+1 (-110) → -2.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Baylor Bears-1 (-110) → +2.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over58 (-110) → 59.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under58 (-110) → 59.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Texas Tech Red Raiders
1-3 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Baylor Bears
1-3 matchup record · 4-5-1 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-10-01T22:36:36.050Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Texas Tech has endured a difficult road so far this season, beginning with an opening loss to Wyoming before taking Oregon down to the wire in week two. West Virginia provided yet another set back for the Red Raiders as they hope to continue generating wins and move through the Big 12 slate. Injuries are an issue for Texas Tech in this matchup; being without Tyler Shough (leg) until November is a major absence, while Jordan Brown (hip) is also questionable. As a result, they'll need to lean heavily on Tahj Brooks (518 yards, 6.2 yards per carry) to set the tone. Their offense started the season looking like it could match anyone however they rank in the middle of the pack nationally when it comes to most categories. While struggling to protect the quarterback has been their biggest flaw, and they'll need to get Brooks going if they want to control the clock and flip the script. Currently, Texas Tech is 58th in the power ranking with a record of 2-3 (2-3 ATS). Offensively, they are ranked 67th, averaging 29.25 points per game, while defensively they are 69th, allowing 24.00 points per game.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-10-29Baylor Bears 45 · Texas Tech Red Raiders 17
  • 2021-11-27Texas Tech Red Raiders 24 · Baylor Bears 27
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Texas Tech Red Raiders defeated Baylor Bears 39-14

Texas Tech Red Raiders defeated Baylor Bears 39-14 on October 7, 2023, a 25-point decision in the series. Texas Tech Red Raiders' strongest period was the 1st quarter, when it outscored its opponent 7-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Texas Tech Red Raiders -2.5 (-110) spread, Texas Tech Red Raiders covered, while the 53 combined points finished under the recorded total of 59.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • StevedSpread · Texas Tech Red Raiders +1 (-110)Win
  • DerekFisherSpread · Texas Tech Red Raiders -1 (-110)Win
  • KrockpicksTotal · Over 57.5 (-110)Loss
  • JackCohenSpread · Texas Tech Red Raiders -1 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · Texas Tech Red Raiders -2.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Under 60 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · Texas Tech Red Raiders -2.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 60 (-110)Loss
  • CoversSpread · Texas Tech Red Raiders -2.5 (-110)Win