Southern Miss. Golden Eagles vs Troy Trojans prediction, odds and projected score for Oct. 6
Troy will beat Southern Miss 27-20 in this projection for Oct. 6, 2026. Southern Miss’ vulnerability against the run gives Troy its strongest matchup advantage, with quarterback Goose Crowder offering a threat after contact. That favors the Trojans to win, but their recent offensive result makes laying 10.5 points less appealing. Neither the supplied spread nor the 50.5 total warrants an official wager.
Southern Miss. Golden Eagles vs Troy Trojans prediction and best bet
Troy is the pick to win, with a low-confidence forecast and an official betting recommendation of Pass. Southern Miss is allowing 235.2 rushing yards per game, ranked 136th of 138 teams according to Troy’s preview. That weakness offers the home team a promising route to sustained offense.
The size of the favorite’s assignment matters, however. Troy scored 10 points in its latest game, while Southern Miss quarterback Landry Lyddy threw three touchdown passes in his. Those results leave a credible path for the Golden Eagles to stay within the spread even if Troy wins.
Odds, game time and how to watch
Date and competition: Tuesday, Oct. 6, 2026, in the teams’ Sun Belt football opener.
Venue: Veterans Memorial Stadium, also called The Vet, in Troy, Alabama. Television: ESPN2.
Records and streaks: Southern Miss is 1-3 with three consecutive losses. Troy is 2-2 with two consecutive losses.
Expected starter: Southern Miss lists Lyddy for his second start of 2026 and third career start.
SportsJaw odds: Southern Miss. Golden Eagles +9.5 (-104); Troy Trojans -9.5 (-116). Moneyline: Southern Miss. Golden Eagles +316; Troy Trojans -400. Total: Over 51.5 (-110); Under 51.5 (-110).